12 Teams - 1 Trophy

lostinamerica

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New Orleans(-10)(-115) over Seattle (1*)
- -
this is not my work, just some info i have found on the net, take it fwiw

Everyone thinks theyre being 'sharp' by betting this traditionally "good home team" bc the Saints lost a couple games out West thisyr, and bc their hasnt been a Super Bowl Winner to Win a Playoff game since 2005, and bc Chris Ivory/Pierre Thomas are on the IR, and bc Drew Brees is 0-4 on the Road in the Playoffs... Guys, this doesnt make you sharp! This is what EVERYONE is seeing, this is EXACTLY what they want you to see!! This is EXACTLY how Vegas has somehow gotten 40+% of the Public to Bet on the WORST Playoff Team EVER!! . . . I dont believe this Saints team is going to "repeat", infact, I dont even think theyll get to the Super Bowl, but theyre 3 Classes above this Seattle team . . . this Saturday.... It is 1 Good Playoff Team Vs 1 BAD 7-9 Football team....Re-Cap this Game!!
My less artful take before I read the foregoing analysis . . . I'm not sure about "worst playoff team ever", but it's hard to make a case that this is a good 7-9 Seattle team that beat another good 7-9 St. Louis team in an elimination/playoff type game, and now carries matchup and emotional edges into the next elimination contest. Notwithstanding rah-rah Pete Carroll?s excellent job of getting Seattle into the playoffs, and though I?m not a great big fan of this play, when it?s all said and done, New Orleans has too many playmakers pushing the pedal to the metal for 60 minutes for Seattle to take the pumpkin away and do something with it and frustrate the defending champs.


GL
 

lostinamerica

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New York Jets(+3)(-140) over Indianapolis (1*)
- - My take on Indy starts with my post on opening day:
Houston(+1') over Indianapolis (1.5*) ** Top Play **
- - The Jim Caldwell led Colts are primed and poised for one thing, a rude start to their season, but with only one playoff team from last year to face in their first six games, Indy could sustain an illusion, and then eventually assume a more compelling and familiar identity. As it is, the opponent for today is actually the right team in the right spot to reveal the Colts as being a long way from one of the 2010 NFL's seasons best teams
My take on on the Jets starts before that. First, a capper I respect noted last year at midseason that the Jets defense was not playing their best, but he had seen plenty to expect the Jets defense would get opportunities to carry his cash in January. Second, for 50 weeks everyone has talked about the touchdown drive engineered by Indy at the end of the first half of last year?s AFC championship game, but only rarely is there mention of the injury to Shonn Greene at the start of the second half that completely changed the offense that had taken Sanchez and the Jets to the precipice of the Super Bowl.

Fast forward to today, and Indy arrives at the postseason via a very different December than usual, but count me as not having seen Indy demonstrating anything remotely resembling a Super Bowl look. The Jets have struggled in the middle and been less exotic with their schemes since the loss of their defensive QB in Jim Leonhard, but other playmakers added just for the Indy matchup, and a fresh Shonn Greene giving Sanchez the play action game he?s been good at in big spots before, and I expect the Jets will hit Peyton a few times and give Indy a hell of a prime time game.

?Burn the Boats.?
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/08/sports/football/08ryan.html?_r=1&ref=football

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Green Bay(+3)(-125) over Philadelphia
- - There is the McCarthy factor. There is the Vick factor. The live dog here will play lights out against a vulnerable opponent, but simply put, it's a right side that's hard to trust.

Green Bay(Ov22') vs. Philadelphia
- - Too much value to pass on this total unless Jim Johnson is back and doing next to the impossible with that defense and/or McCarthy is brain dead enough to think 21 points will ever be anything close to safe.

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Baltimore(-3)(-115) over Kansas City (1*)
- - Unlike two years ago when I thought Baltimore was holding a Royal Flush and Miami had no realistic chance of accomplishing much in terms of putting points on the board, this Kansas City team, especially at Arrowhead, can and will threaten to put up points, including potential contributions to the cause from all three phases. Unlike two years ago, the more the Baltimore defense is on the field, the less likely they are to take control of the game against a balanced attack. Baltimore needs to take advantage of their opportunities and get overrated QB Flacco untracked as more than a caretaker, especially in challenging the rookie safeties that have been best against the run, and they should be all right. But I'm afraid Baltimore will play it close to the vest and have a dangerous foe and not overrated QB Cassel hanging around in the 4th quarter.
http://www.thestar.com/sports/football/nfl/article/918675--chiefs-riding-their-fearless-rookies-into-the-playoffs

GL
 

lostinamerica

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8 Teams - 1 Trophy

ODDS and ENDS:

My capping of this next round has to start with a quick look back at the 2nd round in the NFC last year. Arizona came off an epic overtime win and went on the road to face the eventual champs and were blown out of the building. (The year before, Arizona bested Atlanta and then went on the road and embarrassed a not so good Carolina team.) A dangerous Dallas club got in the habit of drubbing Philadelphia and then found out it was facing a different animal at Minnesota and couldn't sustain the pace . . . This year we have four rematches, so that's important. Even more important in the AFC where they are rematches of divisional opponents . . . If you told Chicago a month ago that what they had to do was settle a score with Seattle at home to earn a birth in the NFC title game, IMO Da Bears would have been more than ready to storm the castle.

Baltimore(+3')(-118) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- - Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh was my preseason Super Bowl pick. What I was hearing about Pittsburgh's focus in camp had me convinced they would survive just fine during the Roethlisberger suspension, and then getting him back would fuel a strong stretch that would land the team in January as a tough out. The weakness in the Pittsburgh OL and running game have been disappointing, and IMO it has only been their defense that has been showing a Super Bowl look . . . Baltimore has surprised me a good bit this year in being consistently tough and focused, and not being a case of one thing one week and another thing the next week. A lot more of a Super Bowl identity than I expected at the start of the season . . . 26 years old tomorrow QB Flacco is now tied for the all-time NFL lead with four road playoff wins, but IMO is coming off a really breakout type performance last week; however, Flacco definitely needs to be much more judicious in his game this week and not try to play with the improvisation game of Roethlisberger on the other side . . . I think Rex Ryan played a strong hand when he said it was personal against Peyton Manning, while I don't understand playing the hand he's chosen for the New England game. But I think this game is very personal for the Ravens against the Roethlisberger led Steelers, and IMO being in Pittsburgh only adds to that dynamic. Baltimore has a great shot in this game which will be decided by less than a handful of plays, and each quarterback will likely be responsible for the decisive one or three.

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Green Bay(+1) over Atlanta (1*)
- - Packer Nation is needing McCarthy to do with his remarkable 2010 team what he does best and not do what he does worst.

http://packersnews.greenbaypressgazette.com/article/20110109/PKR01/110109052/1058/PKR03
?We feel like we left a lot of football out on the field in that (first Atlanta) game,? Packers cornerback Charles Woodson said. ?We had points defensively where we could have gotten off the field, third-down situations, missed tackles ? our tackling was probably the poorest we?ve been all season. We don?t foresee that happening again. We look forward to going down there.?

http://www.ajc.com/sports/atlanta-falcons/packers-falcons-what-ifs-804468.html


GL
 

lostinamerica

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New England(-8)(-125) over New York Jets (1*)
- - Seattle had virtually no chance of winning and only the slimmest of chances of covering against a QB making his first playoff start. New York definitely has a puncher's chance of getting the cover and even a realistic chance of getting the win against the greatest QB of the last decade because it's not a big mismatch by any means . . . but going about it by poking a stick in the eye of an experienced rival that hasn't played a meaningful game in a month is I guess why I'm letting the dark side carry my cash.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Playoffs: 5-4 (+0.32*)

- - I?ve thought it funny for half a season to hear all the talk about how some dream matchup was in the works involving Michael Vick and his Eagles going to Atlanta, ?cause in these parts what?s been on the minds and lips of most everyone paying attention during the last month - and before - has been how Packers vs. Bears was shaping up as the NFC Championship game.

- - I knew damn well after the Jets eliminated Indy that if the Packers made the Super Bowl, their ideal opponent would be the pretenders from New England; it?s painfully obvious from all of my posts in this thread discussing the Jets that I had plenty of reasons for liking Gang Green, and I?m disgusted about the lame reasoning I latched on to for the final game on Sunday, while ignoring so much of what I believed in the process.

- - And I can't move on without saying the most amazing sight from last weekend was how only Packers fans were left in the empty Georgia Dome in the closing minutes on Saturday night. Those shocking pictures provided by Atlanta "fans" were a brutal display of disrespect for the season provided by their hometown team.

4 Teams - 1 Trophy

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Pittsburgh(-4) over New York Jets (1*)
- - I think it's safe to say Packers vs. Bears has gotten the lion's share of the attention in most parts. After the curtain closes on that headline act, the focus will be squarely on the intriguing game that follows . . . It's been a quiet week, but matters figure to get chippy real fast . . . All respect to the Jets and their "Burn the Boats" leader ( http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/08/sports/football/08ryan.html?_r=2&ref=football ), but unlike the earlier games in which lots of little things and one or two big things seemed to be working in the Jets' favor, it's hard to reach a similar conclusion in capping this game. Facing the always stout Pittsburgh run defense is going to pile a lot on QB Sanchez's shoulders, and even with Pittsburgh's suspect OL, it seems likely the home team will have some advantages in controlling the tempo. Trying to win twice in 6 weeks at Heinz Field off an emotional Super Bowl against their personal division rival, with playmakers Heath Miller and Troy Polamula (to some extent) back in the fold, travelling again off one day less rest, well, all that doesn't mean the Jets won't keep it close, but IMO they will need some tough to dial up breaks to get where they think they are going.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Green Bay(-3)(-130) over Chicago (1*)
- - ALL teams have to overcome adversity over the course of an NFL season, even when they seem to be leading a charmed existence . . . Green Bay has certainly had its mettle tested over the course of this season, and emerges as a favorite for the first time in the playoffs. Chicago is none to happy about the perception that came with whipping Seattle and figures to have something to say about whether this is the toughest test faced by their ancient rival . . . Much focus this week on Chicago having had more statistical success than most teams against QB Aaron Rodgers in holding him to a 4-2 record against them, but surprisingly far less discussion of the other side wherein QB Jay Cutler has a personal history of 1-3 against the Packers defense of Dom Capers while posting stats I believe of a 57.9 quarterback rating, with four touchdowns, nine interceptions, and an average of 219 ypg, while being sacked 14 times . . . Ed Werder of ESPN reports the Packers game plan is to get Cutler to lower his eye level, and make Cutler beat them. FWIW, if Aaron Rodgers does one thing that reminds me of the legendary Joe Montana, it's precisely the way he keeps his eyes down the field while feeling his way in the pocket . . . BBC summed up my own opinion when he posted, "The favs this week are just better versions of the dogs" . . . Trusting my judgment means believing what I've seen to convince me the Packers are ready to step up to this Super Bowl making moment at familiar Soldier Field; the Packers will not make the mistake of living off their 48 point explosion against Atlanta; Lovie's Bears will not be imposing or weaseling their way through; and the Packers are the right side to carry my <strike>cash</strike> dreams . . . The Journey is the Reward . . .

GL
 

lostinamerica

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1 Team - 1 Trophy
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06gbSuperBowXLVOne.jpg


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The Journey is the Reward

Green Bay Packers

13 Time NFL World Champions

GO PACK GO


************************


Two of the best articles I've read about the Super Bowl Champions:

Notebook: Green Bay Packers Mike McCarthy, Aaron Rodgers agreed on aggressive air game before the Super Bowl

greenbaypressgazette.com (02.07.11)
http://packersnews.greenbaypressgazette.com/article/20110207/PKR01/110207123/1058/PKR03

DALLAS ? The first clue came about two hours before kickoff when the inactive list was released for Super Bowl XLV. Packers fullback Quinn Johnson was not on the active 45-man roster for the final game of the 2010 season. 

Apparently, bruising blocking backs would not be needed Sunday afternoon. The Packers tied an NFL record held by the Rams with the fewest rush attempts (13) by the winning team.

Coach Mike McCarthy wanted to be aggressive through the air with Super Bowl MVP Aaron Rodgers.

?The play-caller and the quarterback are on the same page,? McCarthy said Monday. ?Just the conversation we had in the locker room before the game. It was simply, ?Let me be aggressive as the play-caller; you have to be the disciplined one and keep us in favorable plays and throw it away if you have a bad look.? And he did a great job with that. I think he has the best set of skills in the league as far as his pinpoint accuracy, his athletic ability, and all of his best football is in front of him

?He let the play-caller be aggressive and he managed the football game.?

The run was an absolute afterthought in the second half. The team had six rushes and two were scrambles by Rodgers. Only four handoffs were called after the break.

Rodgers took over on both second-half scoring drives. He and Jordy Nelson connected for a 38-yard slant on third-and-10, one play after Nelson had a drop. Rodgers found Greg Jennings for an 8-yard touchdown two plays later to go up 28-17.

The quarterback responded again late in the fourth quarter when the Steelers cut the lead to 28-25. Only one run was called as the Packers tried to work the clock down. He completed passes to Nelson, Jennings, James Jones and Tom Crabtree en route to a 23-yard Mason Crosby field goal.

The entire gameplan was to live or die on Rodgers? performance.

?I felt good about the plan, felt good about the way I practiced, the way I prepared, the way I studied and just knew I was getting a lot of opportunities and expecting to make those plays that were going to be there,? Rodgers said. 

 

Green Bay pours on the cheers for returning victors

jsonline.com (02.08.11)
http://www.jsonline.com/news/wisconsin/115537144.html 

GREEN BAY - People don't know where to go with this much Packers love. So on Monday they came by the thousands to Lambeau Field to meet the team buses and gush their affection.

"Anything Green Bay Packers, you have to show up. This is just what we do," Marie Hongisto told me. The De Pere woman showed up as one must, and she had three bundled-up grandchildren in tow. Nikolai is 3, and Aubrey and cousin Elianna are both less than a year old, so they've never known a season when the Packers were anything but Super Bowl champions.

"They won't remember this, but I will," Marie said. "We just hope to see faces and hands waving and cheering and maybe the trophy."

A novice at these things, I mostly saw the white tops of about a dozen buses that pulled into the Lambeau Field parking lot at 2:24 p.m. Monday. The windows were tinted and most were closed. I got a good look at Donald Driver later, wheeling a piece of luggage to his vehicle.

The Packers are back home in Titletown, at the moment a town living up to that title. I don't have to tell you how deliriously happy this entire state became Sunday night when the Steelers were finally daggered with less than a minute to go in Super Bowl XLV. Even my wife, who really got Packer religion once the playoffs began, was singing "We Are The Champions" Monday morning and hanging on every word of TV press conference appearances by coach Mike McCarthy and MVP quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

Cameo Roets came to Lambeau with her family from Merrill. I heard her say she snapped 350 photos with a zoom lens, capturing anyone even remotely a Packer exiting a bus and heading into the stadium. She also caught my attention because she was wearing a dead coyote on her head, a hat trophy that used to roam her grandparents' land. Let's just call it a geez-head.

Cameo was 16 when the Packers last won the Super Bowl in 1997. Around here, we mark time by how long we wait between world championships. Hope runs high that we only have to hang on 12 months for the next one.

Jon Hoppen was alive in 1997 but only a year old. No memory there, but someday he'll recall that he brought a vuvuzela to the Packers' homecoming on a February Monday in 2011. He blew the six familiar notes, the ones that make everyone chant "Go Pack Go!" That cheer filled the air at the homecoming, though at the moment the Pack has gone as far as you can go toward total NFL domination. It would make a tricky tongue-twister: sixth seed succeeds stupendously!

Jon's school, Green Bay Southwest, let out at 11:15 a.m. Monday, four hours ahead of schedule. They had a good reason. "So we could come see the Packers!" he said.

Something productive probably was accomplished somewhere in Green Bay on this day of celebration, but I doubt it. The win means everything, people are saying, and there's a good chance they mean that literally.

Monday's warm-up rally for Tuesday's actual rally broke up around 4 p.m. after the last players had trickled out of the stadium and gotten in cars to leave. I asked Cameo and family if they were heading back to Merrill. Nope, they said. They were walking to their vehicle in the Lambeau lot and firing up the grill for a tailgate party. Like game day minus the game.

I decided to skip the 20-minute wait to get into the Packers Pro Shop inside Lambeau, though my wife had sent me in search of Packers gloves. You could sell a turnip right now if it had a G on the side.

Leaving the parking lot, I spotted a car with Green Bay Packers license plates. Nothing unusual there, but the plate "number," which most seasons would be an expression of longing, now sums up our jubilation: THISYR.


GL  

***************************************

2010 NFL Regular Season: 37-46 (-14.65*)
2010-2011 NFL Postseason: 9-4 (+4.32*) 

2010 NCAA Regular Season: 49-45 (-3.40*)
2010-2011 NCAA Bowl Season: 14-10 (+4.15*)

Top Plays (included above): 5-6 (-3.75*)

2010-2011 All Games: 109-105(-9.58*)
 
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