2 Big plays for NFL Sunday 12-2

BostonBettor

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Sep 25, 2009
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Just playing 2 games today, but love them both.


Jacksonville +6 over Buffalo (7 Units)

Not sure how Buffalo got to be a 6 point favorite over any team at this point, but I cant see it being warranted. Since Henne took over, the Jags actually have a strong passing game with Blackmon, Shorts and Lewis, and while the Jags are are only 1-4 SU on the road, they are 5-0 ATS in those games. The Jags almost beat Houston on the road 2 weeks ago and I think they will eke out a win here in Buffalo, who has no defense to stop the Jags.




Carolina -4 over Kansas City (7 Units)

This is the other game I really love today. Kansas City is not a hard place to anymore, as the Chiefs are winless at home this year and have a losing record ATS. Carolina has been down record wise this year, but look at their road games closer and you will see they are 4-1 ATS, and lost heartbreakers to Chicago and Atlanta on last second field goals. Carolina did beat Washington and Philly on the road, so they can win and actually play much better on the road than home. Kansas City has lost eight straight games overall and look for it to stretch to 9 today. I like Carolina by 10 or more.



Good Luck
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
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Jan 10, 2002
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i`m actually considering the jags as a potential small moneyline play...since henne started playing,they look like a different team...when bad teams start tasting a little success and garnering a bit of momentum,they tend to play hard...

with that young receiving contingent,i`m not 100% sure that the close ballgame vs houston was as much of an anomaly as i originally thought...they also have a win(sans henne) vs the colts on the road earlier.......

thinking....probably just take the 6 or 7 or maybe tease them with the skins tonight....

g.l.
 
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