2 Plays for NFL Week One

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Preseason Plays Record:
2-1

(+0.96 Units)



Breakdown:

Large 3 Unit Plays:
0-0

Medium 2 Unit Plays:
0-0

Small 1 Unit Plays:
1-0

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
1-1


Leans:
3-3



I played this one about a month ago thinking that the line would move up...it hasn't...but I still like it!

Large 3 Unit Play:

Miami Dolphins -3

over Bills
Simply put, the Dolphins are a much better team with their offseason additions and will be in the hunt for the division title this season...on the flip
side...the Bills are rebuilding and will likely challenge for the first overall pick in the 2011 Draft before everything is said and done...with uncertainty surrounding the Bills quarterback position, a questionable offensive line and a defensive unit that is making the transition to a 3-4 scheme, the Bills will be in for a long season since they no longer have Bobby April's special teams unit to fall back on this season...The Dolphins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus the Bills and Coach Tony Sparano is a perfect 7-0 ATS versus division teams with a less than .500 record.
Miami 27 Buffalo 19
BIG 3 Unit WINNER!!


Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -2

Over Eagles
The Packers offense this preseason has picked up where they left off last year when they scored 45 points on the road versus the Cards defense last
January?with Aaron Rodgers at the controls their offense is unstoppable?on the flip side?the Eagles are a team in transition with an unproven QB Kevin Kolb at the helm?the Eagles offense hasn?t really clicked this preseason without Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook?and their offensive line hasn?t played up to par?add to that the fact that WR DeSean Jackson is already a bit nicked up?Trends ? The Packers are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 openers including a 16-13 home opener win over the Eagles in 2007 as 3.5 point dogs?The Eagles are 2-1 SU and ATS in their last 3 openers? The line opened up at -1, moved to -2.5 and came down to -2...The better team with much better weapons comes out on top!
Green Bay 34 Philadelphia 23
Winner!


I just added a third play for this week!

Hit it ASAP if coattailing



Medium Size 2 Unit Play

San Francisco 49?ers -2
Over Seahawks
No time to waste on this one?The Niners have a solid running game, a much improved offensive line, weapons in their passing game and one of the most underrated defenses in the league?on the flip side?the Seahawks have a new head coach in Pete Carroll?but?they will continue to struggle since their starting LT Russell Okung is OUT with an ankle injury this week and their O-Line coach Alex Gibbs quit just days before the opener?add to that the fact that the Seahawks lack weapons on the offensive side of the ball and they just released WR T.J. Houshmanzadeh?this unit will struggle to put points on the board against the Niners defense?San Francisco is for real and has a chance to make the post season, while the Seahawks may be in for another long season?Trends ? The Niners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September?and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1?The Seahawks are Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games?but...are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
San Francisco 27 Seattle 16
Loss
 
Last edited:

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
2009 Final Regular Season NFL Record:
20-13


Breakdown:

Best Bets:
9-1


Big 3 Unit Plays:
2-0

Medium Size 2 Unit Plays:
5-3

Small 1 Unit Plays:
9-5

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
4-4

Very Very Small 1/4 Unit Plays:
0-1

Parlays (like throwing away Money)
3-5

Leans:
16-8-1

+12.9 Units


13 weeks of showing a profit
2 losing weeks
1 wash
1 pass



OVERALL Including Playoffs, Senior Bowl and Super Bowl

16 Winning Weeks
4 losing weeks
1 wash
1 pass on plays that week
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Leans:
Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 over Patriots...The Pats defense is going to have a hard time stopping people this season and faces a Bengals team that has plenty of new weapons for their passing game...plus...the Bengals D is pretty good...the road team has a chance to win this outright!
Cincinnati 31 New England 30
 
Last edited:

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Leans:

San Francisco 49'ers -2 over Seahawks...The Niners are a much better team overall and will win this be at least a FG.
San Francisco 27 Seattle 16


Note: I've made this a play and hit it this morning!
 
Last edited:

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Leans:
Dallas Cowboys -3 (buy the 1/2)
over Skins
The Cowboys offense didn't look up to par in preseason...but...that was without rookie WR Dez Bryant...just a hunch they get well fast this week against a Redskins D that was pretty good last season, but one that is transitioning to a new 3-4 scheme this year...Mike Shanahan will have the Skins headed in the right direction, but his team is overmatched in this one.
Dallas 27 Washington 17
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Leans:
New Orleans Saints -4.5
over Vikings
The defending champs will defend their house against the team they beat in the NFC Championship game...the Vikings defensive secondary will be overmatched by the Saints offense while the Vikings offense will miss Sidney Rice and have a hard time getting in sync against a Saints defense that will bring the house to pressure Brett Favre...its a revenge game for the Vikings...but...they are in a tough spot this week.
New Orleans 30 Minnesota 20
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Leans:
New Orleans Saints -4.5
over Vikings
The defending champs will defend their house against the team they beat in the NFC Championship game...the Vikings defensive secondary will be overmatched by the Saints offense while the Vikings offense will miss Sidney Rice and have a hard time getting in sync against a Saints defense that will bring the house to pressure Brett Favre...its a revenge game for the Vikings...but...they are in a tough spot this week.
New Orleans 30 Minnesota 20

Winner!

Leans 1-0 on the year
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Leans:

Cleveland Browns +3
over Bucs
Browns defense and special teams unit will be the difference in this one.
Cleveland 20 Tampa Bay 14
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
Preseason Plays Record:
2-1

(+0.96 Units)



Breakdown:

Large 3 Unit Plays:
0-0

Medium 2 Unit Plays:
0-0

Small 1 Unit Plays:
1-0

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
1-1


Leans:
3-3



I played this one about a month ago thinking that the line would move up...it hasn't...but I still like it!

Large 3 Unit Play:

Miami Dolphins -3

over Bills
Simply put, the Dolphins are a much better team with their offseason additions and will be in the hunt for the division title this season...on the flip
side...the Bills are rebuilding and will likely challenge for the first overall pick in the 2011 Draft before everything is said and done...with uncertainty surrounding the Bills quarterback position, a questionable offensive line and a defensive unit that is making the transition to a 3-4 scheme, the Bills will be in for a long season since they no longer have Bobby April's special teams unit to fall back on this season...The Dolphins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus the Bills and Coach Tony Sparano is a perfect 7-0 ATS versus division teams with a less than .500 record.
Miami 27 Buffalo 19
BIG 3 Unit WINNER!!


Medium Size 2 Unit Play:

Green Bay Packers -2

Over Eagles
The Packers offense this preseason has picked up where they left off last year when they scored 45 points on the road versus the Cards defense last
January?with Aaron Rodgers at the controls their offense is unstoppable?on the flip side?the Eagles are a team in transition with an unproven QB Kevin Kolb at the helm?the Eagles offense hasn?t really clicked this preseason without Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook?and their offensive line hasn?t played up to par?add to that the fact that WR DeSean Jackson is already a bit nicked up?Trends ? The Packers are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 openers including a 16-13 home opener win over the Eagles in 2007 as 3.5 point dogs?The Eagles are 2-1 SU and ATS in their last 3 openers? The line opened up at -1, moved to -2.5 and came down to -2...The better team with much better weapons comes out on top!
Green Bay 34 Philadelphia 23
Winner!


I just added a third play for this week!

Hit it ASAP if coattailing



Medium Size 2 Unit Play

San Francisco 49?ers -2
Over Seahawks
No time to waste on this one?The Niners have a solid running game, a much improved offensive line, weapons in their passing game and one of the most underrated defenses in the league?on the flip side?the Seahawks have a new head coach in Pete Carroll?but?they will continue to struggle since their starting LT Russell Okung is OUT with an ankle injury this week and their O-Line coach Alex Gibbs quit just days before the opener?add to that the fact that the Seahawks lack weapons on the offensive side of the ball and they just released WR T.J. Houshmanzadeh?this unit will struggle to put points on the board against the Niners defense?San Francisco is for real and has a chance to make the post season, while the Seahawks may be in for another long season?Trends ? The Niners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September?and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1?The Seahawks are Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games?but...are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
San Francisco 27 Seattle 16
Loss

2-1 on the day picking up almost 3 units as my 3 Unit Big play of the Dolphins cashes in...thank you Chan Gailey for taking that safety!

:0002
 

FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
2010 Regular Season Record:
2-1
(+2.86 Units)



Breakdown:

Large 3 Unit Plays:
1-0

Medium 2 Unit Plays:
1-1

Small 1 Unit Plays:
0-0

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
0-0

Leans:
1-2-1

Preseason Plays Record:
2-1

(+0.96 Units)
 
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