NFL YTD: 6-5 (+3.21*)
- A parlay on Jacksonville (+3 and Un38') salvaged a sorry Week 2.
Captain Obvious REALLY liked 3 NCAA games yesterday - Louisville, Toledo and Arizona State - and they all stormed home nicely, but fleshing out the card to 7 games left me at 3-4 for the day. Yours truly ALMOST REALLY likes 2 games today - Indianapolis and Philadelphia - and doesn't feel any better than yesterday about fleshing out the NFL card to 5 games, more or less. Then again, it would be no surprise whatsoever if today I get nipped in the games I like best and then find some love in the games in which I will pull the trigger with extreme trepidation. But "2 to 5" it is . . .
Indianapolis(-6') over Green Bay (1 Biscuit)
Peyton Manning and company will likely indulge in their Sunday breakfast, lunch and dinner against the unsound gaps and coverages in the Packer defense. Chicago legend Rex Grossman managed the feat with NT Grady Jackson out of the lineup, and now the Packers arrive without CBs Ahmad Carroll and Mike McKenzie, and Michael Hawthorne nursing a hamstring injury. The roster depletions may work to the Pack's advantage in mapping out a realistic game plan, but they have a full plate to deal with in this one . . . A 28 year old Brett Favre would be my choice at QB to strike the tiny seams in a vaunted defense ('85 Bears; '00 Ravens); a 28 year old Peyton Manning would be my choice at QB to gash a defense with issues . . . I sense and expect some palpable steam under the dome in this home opener that doesn't help the Packers cause, either. The Packers limited recent success in domes has come when they have efficiently played keep away with the ball before racking up points of their own, and in my book something between the brilliant Carolina effort and the thud against the Bears would fall short of what's needed . . . I'm 0-2 in my ATS opinions on Green Bay this year and 1-0-1 with Indianapolis.
http://greenbaypressgazette.packersnews.com/archives/news/pack_17930781.shtml
http://www.indystar.com/articles/4/181668-5434-036.html
Philadelphia(-4) over Detroit (1*)
A battle for early supremacy in the NFC, or nothing like that, depending on your take. I can't shut off enough of my brain to like Detroit even with a strong 60 minutes in this one. I've seen some favorable trends (not my own) for high flying Detroit that obviously have nothing to do with this regime stepping up on there first go round in a game of this magnitude, while there are some Philadelphia ATS trends (not my own) that are very much a product of the Eagles under Andy Reid: 8-2 vs. non-div NFC opp; 9-3 as road favorite of 3 or more; 9-3 vs. 1.000 opponent; 24-2 when win SU away.
Kickoffs approach. That's probably it for any writeups.
GL
- A parlay on Jacksonville (+3 and Un38') salvaged a sorry Week 2.
Captain Obvious REALLY liked 3 NCAA games yesterday - Louisville, Toledo and Arizona State - and they all stormed home nicely, but fleshing out the card to 7 games left me at 3-4 for the day. Yours truly ALMOST REALLY likes 2 games today - Indianapolis and Philadelphia - and doesn't feel any better than yesterday about fleshing out the NFL card to 5 games, more or less. Then again, it would be no surprise whatsoever if today I get nipped in the games I like best and then find some love in the games in which I will pull the trigger with extreme trepidation. But "2 to 5" it is . . .
Indianapolis(-6') over Green Bay (1 Biscuit)
Peyton Manning and company will likely indulge in their Sunday breakfast, lunch and dinner against the unsound gaps and coverages in the Packer defense. Chicago legend Rex Grossman managed the feat with NT Grady Jackson out of the lineup, and now the Packers arrive without CBs Ahmad Carroll and Mike McKenzie, and Michael Hawthorne nursing a hamstring injury. The roster depletions may work to the Pack's advantage in mapping out a realistic game plan, but they have a full plate to deal with in this one . . . A 28 year old Brett Favre would be my choice at QB to strike the tiny seams in a vaunted defense ('85 Bears; '00 Ravens); a 28 year old Peyton Manning would be my choice at QB to gash a defense with issues . . . I sense and expect some palpable steam under the dome in this home opener that doesn't help the Packers cause, either. The Packers limited recent success in domes has come when they have efficiently played keep away with the ball before racking up points of their own, and in my book something between the brilliant Carolina effort and the thud against the Bears would fall short of what's needed . . . I'm 0-2 in my ATS opinions on Green Bay this year and 1-0-1 with Indianapolis.
http://greenbaypressgazette.packersnews.com/archives/news/pack_17930781.shtml
http://www.indystar.com/articles/4/181668-5434-036.html
Philadelphia(-4) over Detroit (1*)
A battle for early supremacy in the NFC, or nothing like that, depending on your take. I can't shut off enough of my brain to like Detroit even with a strong 60 minutes in this one. I've seen some favorable trends (not my own) for high flying Detroit that obviously have nothing to do with this regime stepping up on there first go round in a game of this magnitude, while there are some Philadelphia ATS trends (not my own) that are very much a product of the Eagles under Andy Reid: 8-2 vs. non-div NFC opp; 9-3 as road favorite of 3 or more; 9-3 vs. 1.000 opponent; 24-2 when win SU away.
Kickoffs approach. That's probably it for any writeups.
GL
