2002 Home Plate Umpire information

[ndnfan]

Just thought I'd share some Umpire info for this coming season. there were around 100 more Unders than Overs last year, mainly, I believe because of the Umps calling more of the high strike this past season.

The Umps who had the most radical change due to the high strike call from year 2000 to 2001:

Crawford: went from 55%Overs (8.7 walks/game, 11.2 runs/game) to 36%Overs (5.9 walks/game, 8.1 Runs/game)

Danley: from 53%Overs (7.2 walks/game, 11 runs/game) to 39%Overs (5.8 walks/game, 8.9 runs/game)

Guccione: from 58%Overs (8.4 walks/game, 10 runs/game) to 38%Overs (6.4 walks/game, 9.5 runs/game)

Merriweather: from 67%Overs (8.1 walks/game, 11.7 runs/game) to 21%Overs (6.8 walks/game, 7.4 runs/game)

Randazzo: from 63%Overs (7.4 walks/game, 10.3 runs/game) to 39%Overs (5.8 walks/game, 9.4 runs/game)

Winters: from 61%Overs (8.1 walks/game, 11.6 runs/game) to 33%Overs (6.1 walks/game, 9.3 runs/game)


Of course the Umps who always have had the large strikezone in the past, continued to have the large zones last year:

Listed is Under % the past 2 years:
Clark: 64% , 57%
Cuzzi: 66% , 61%
Diaz: 55%, 58%
Dimero 75%, 57%
Eddings 58%, 74%
Gorman 63%, 65%
J. Hirschbeck 68%, 59%
Iassogna 67%, 53%
Miller 71%, 60%
Timmons 60%, 58%


Then you have the stubborn ones, who continue to have the tight strikezones:

Listed Is Over% the past 2 years:
Brinkman 59%, 65%
Cousins 60%, 70%
Froemming 57%, 56%
Higgins 73%, 62%


Just some Umps to keep your eye on when matching up with the pitchers.


-ndnfan

 

[Candyman]

Nice info.......

Nice info.......

My question is, are the overs that you speak of against the league average for games or is that against the final spread for each game? I guess where I am going with this is if Merriweather, for example, goes under the line 79% of the time, this would be a hell of an angle. But if the books are taking this into account when setting the line, how would I know what to do? Some of those percentages seem valid enough to bet strictly on their own merits regardless of other factors. How do you feel about that?? Thanks!

 

[ndnfan]

Candyman, the Over/Under % I listed is against the vegas line, but one of the main things you have to look at his how many walks and strikeouts they call on average per nine innings to give you a better idea whether or not they have a large or tight strikezone.

Sometimes the percentage is just a fluke because they didn't too many games behind the plate or etc. Just didn't have time to list all the numbers(walks, strikeouts/9 innings)but these are the ones that were most predictable.


Also, I believe the books do take the Umps reputation into their lines to a degree, but not much. I feel alot of 'cappers don't really pay attention to who's Umping. Also, the Umpire info for the 1st game of the series isn't even known till about 15 minutes before gametime.

As far as just betting the percentages without looking at what pichers are going.....NO, I wouldn't advise that, although, you probably would come out ahead.

Good luck this year.