2019 Season Picks

[TLankford]

Pretty standard season last year. 18-8 in September. 5-14 in October-November. Pretty sure that's the 3rd season in a row of riding some teams too far into conference play and being greedy. Give it the ole college try again this year.

Florida/Miami 1st Quarter Under 10
Florida -6.5 (-130) over Miami

Whore for hooks and not a big money gambler so the extra juice on the full game line is fine. Bigger bet is on the 1st Quarter line. Really just betting there won't be any huge plays for scores. UM DL vs. UF OL should be one of the few matchups that favors the Canes, especially with a Defensive HC in Diaz. Gators are going to try and force the run with that stable of backs and a QB that is just not good under pressure. Honestly not expecting much at all from UM's offense. There's enough talent on both Defenses front 7 to cause a lot of negative plays that stall out any drives either team puts together.

opcorn2

 

[Old School]

Good Luck Sir..........:spotting:

 

[TLankford]

Shocker we get a push because of a fake punt :facepalm:

Taking this one live on Bov
UF/UM Under 47.5

 

[TLankford]

1-1-1 on the preseason game

one for tonight
Texas A&M 1H -21

 

[TLankford]

Was in Dallas last weekend and didn't get to post my annual Week 1 Auburn Under but it's been a real big bet for me for 4 years in a row now. Big win by the Tigers.

Headed out to tailgate for the UT-LSU game. No time for write ups but really like a few today. Some seem to be pretty popular picks on the internets hopefully that's not a bad sign.

morning

Cuse 1H +0.5 over MD
Cuse +2 over MD

3 Game 10pt Tease
Michigan -12.5 / Mizzou -4 / OSU -5.5

afternoon

Clemson -16 over A&M

 

[TLankford]

Leaning towards NMST +55.5 later just because that is a lot of points to be giving anyone... even as good as Bama should be and as bad as NMST is. After last weeks slow start I have a feeling Saban will give his bench guys a lot of PT he'll need the depth later in the season.

Night games looking at the Over in Auburn/Tulane, Miami -5.5, and Texas +6.5 possibly

 

[TLankford]

Done tailgating put in a few for the night games. Think I got a decent read on tonights game from talking to the two fanbases around town today. Like a low scoring game and LSU probably wins just not sure on 6.5. Also taking a couple of rebound games by Tennessee and Miami. Both had pretty ugly L's in week 1 but they're not awful teams.

ML Parlay +240 - Vols / LSU / Miami

Auburn/Tulane Over 52

LSU/Texas Under 57.5

Also parlayed the two totals.

Going to be watching the live lines after the first drives by Auburn and Tulane. Tulane could have some tricks they pull early that get big plays on broken assignments vs. our LBs or Secondary. I wouldn't mind a 7-0 Tulane start that drops the line down to 10 or so I'd jump on it.

 

[#cruncher]

Done tailgating put in a few for the night games. Think I got a decent read on tonights game from talking to the two fanbases around town today. Like a low scoring game and LSU probably wins just not sure on 6.5. Also taking a couple of rebound games by Tennessee and Miami. Both had pretty ugly L's in week 1 but they're not awful teams.

ML Parlay +240 - Vols / LSU / Miami

Auburn/Tulane Over 52

LSU/Texas Under 57.5

Also parlayed the two totals.

Going to be watching the live lines after the first drives by Auburn and Tulane. Tulane could have some tricks they pull early that get big plays on broken assignments vs. our LBs or Secondary. I wouldn't mind a 7-0 Tulane start that drops the line down to 10 or so I'd jump on it.

I would think Auburn will wear them down 2nd half.

 

[TLankford]

I would think Auburn will wear them down 2nd half.

I underestimated our D after the Oregon game. The LBs and DBs are playing a lot better than most people thought they would, aside from 2-3 completely busted coverage pass plays in each game.

 

[TLankford]

Losing record on posted picks last week since I didn't get around to confirming NMSt or any live lines - Under Clemson/A&M and made it a very profitable day taking Auburn -11.5 and then put the house on Auburn -7.5 midway through the 2nd Quarter. Like a few today

Maryland -220 / Miss St -260 Pays just better than Even

UGA 1H -21.5
Should be a pretty standard 1H cupcake show

Indiana +19 over OSU

Pitt/PSU Under 53.5

Bama -26.5 over USCe


Big One: Auburn/Kent State Under 53.5
Our D looks better than expected behind the DL. And our Offense against bad teams normally consists of Gus running experimental plays like a scrimmage - See 1H of the Tulane game. Also our OL just isn't that great so we'll have a lot of running plays eating clock on offense and getting 2-4 yards. Expecting to see a 42-3 type final

 

[TLankford]

Busy football season. Not a ton of time for capping and posting plays/writeups.

Think Auburn D can come out this week and shut down Arkansas. Historically we've been bad at PigSooey stadium at 11am but I think that was a Tubby/Chizik problem.

Arkansas TT Under 17.5
Tease Auburn 13 / UF +2
4team Parlay: UF -210 / LSU -19.5 / UO -145 / UVA -165

 

[TLankford]

Bama 1H -21.5
Vols are bad and their first half suspension is so much worse than Bama's.

 

[TLankford]

Moneyline parlay pays -110

PSU / BSU / Texas

 

[TLankford]

PSU/UM Under 47

 

[TLankford]

Bama 1h -10
Auburn 1h +1.5
Auburn 1q U9.5
ISU -6.5

Couple of smaller plays with good payouts
3 Game Parlay: Bama 1H -10 / TCU -160 / Wisconsin -13.5 (-130)

7pt Tease
Mizzou +14 / PSU -7.5 / Bama -12.5 / Wisc -7.5 / Auburn +10 ? OSU -46.5 / Minny +10

Honestly don't have a good feeling about the AU-UGA game but think Under is a good play. Feels like a matchup where we don't get anything going on the ground and the D keeps us in it until the 4Q when they tire out and UGA puts the game away with a couple long drives. Something like 21-6 UGA. Hope I'm wrong

 

[bosbabiesarm]

Tlang I see what you did there you use that reverse psychology nice. opcorn2

 

[TLankford]

Tlang I see what you did there you use that reverse psychology nice. opcorn2

unfortunately midway through the 3Q it's played out like I though. Gus can call such a bad game when he thinks he's gotta outsmart a good coach