2020 NFL Chase for Super Bowl

WildBillPicks7

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Had a nice run early in the NFL, faded a bit towards the end and won in week 17 for a plus season!!

Wild Card Round

Buffalo +3 (1 unit) - Bills "D" and the fact they had a +6 pt road scoring margin, Houston will get JJW back? He's that big a difference? I don't get it. I'll take the small road dog Bills are +5 turnover margin vs Texans.

Over 43 Buf/Hou (1 unit)

Tenn +4 1/2 (1 unit) - Titans hot end of year, Pats not so much, they're slowing down and predictable and Titans running game could be key in this matchup. This smells like a 27-24 type of game and Titans off huge road win vs Houston could be spent, however, I like how their momentum is taking them. Turnovers edge to Pats but their team speed sucks.

Over 43 1/2 Tenn/NE (1 unit)

Minn +8 (5 units) - Cousins sucks, he's 0-12 in big games? OK. Enough said. Vikings did go on the road and beat the Jer's Girls and this seems like a pick'em to 3-4 pt type of game. NOLA got hosed LY with the Rams no call PI and they remember that but this year the new PI rule did diddly to help any team at all. Vikings +5 scoring margin on the road and NOLA just +5 scoring margin at home in a weak as division. I'll take my chances here with the shitty QB who can't win a big one.

Over 49 1/2 Minn/NO (1 unit)

Over 45 Sea/Philly (1 unit)

Eagles +2 (5 units) - Eagles are 0-5 vs Pete Carroll teams and 0-4 vs Russell. They also lost 17-9 at home a few weeks back. Eagles decimated by injuries. Eagles are +4 at home and Seattle is +4 on the road, so a pick em. Seattle also now down to scrubs, Marshawn beast mode and Turpin? OK, I'm really scared? NO. SF beat Seattle last week and Eagles off big wins vs Jer's girls and Danny Dimes last week to get here, they are at home in front of the boo birds and Carson is going to have to keep his game in check here with no turnovers and utilize his TEs and good hands corp. Howard is back, but Sanders if healthy and Scott can get some short yardage digs for the Eagles and the "D" needs to put pressure on the run game vs Seattle so Russell has to pass and hopefully the deflections go the Eagles' way! Philly 24 SEA 23!

GLE
 
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WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
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May 4, 2005
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Had a nice run early in the NFL, faded a bit towards the end and won in week 17 for a plus season!!

Wild Card Round

Buffalo +3 (1 unit) PUSH - Bills "D" and the fact they had a +6 pt road scoring margin, Houston will get JJW back? He's that big a difference? I don't get it. I'll take the small road dog Bills are +5 turnover margin vs Texans.

Over 43 Buf/Hou (1 unit) LOSER

Tenn +4 1/2 (1 unit) - Titans hot end of year, Pats not so much, they're slowing down and predictable and Titans running game could be key in this matchup. This smells like a 27-24 type of game and Titans off huge road win vs Houston could be spent, however, I like how their momentum is taking them. Turnovers edge to Pats but their team speed sucks. WINNER

Over 43 1/2 Tenn/NE (1 unit) LOSER


4 pendings plays today, adding:

7 pt: Minn +14 1/2, Over 43, Philly +8, Under 52 1/2 (1 unit)
 

WildBillPicks7

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Week 2

Week 2

Tenn +10 (1 unit) - Even with week off I feel Titans have enuf momentum to stick with Ravens so long as Henry is healthy. Titans "D" will try and contain LJ and Ingram, so the rest of the plays will have to be RPO for Ravens which could give edge to quicker DBs for Titans, I have Ravens winning still but not by DD. BAL 34 Ten 27

Over 47 Ten/Bal (5 units)

Houston +10 (5 units) - Revenge mode for KC, KC "D" has been money of late, however, Houston healthier this round and match up is a pickem for me, there could be weather in KC as it is the midwest peeps and weather changes like a 3 way light bulb. KC RBs should outmatch Houston's front 7, but this will be a game with 2 similar style QBs with RPO, Fuller will be back for Houston, still a ?? mark but if he plays, that will give Hou another avenue to use, special teams edge to KC, and I believe this one comes down to last possession. KC 34 Hou 30.

Over 49 Hou/KC (5 units)
 

WildBillPicks7

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0-4 on totals
2-1-1 on sides
1-0 on teeasers

1 unit sides.....1-0-1, +1.0
5 unit sides.....1-1, -.50
1 unit totals....0-4, -4.4
5 unit totals....0-0
7 pt teaser.....1-0, +1.35
WON....3....LOSS......5....PUSH....1....-2.55 units, post season, 1/4/2020
 

WildBillPicks7

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Tenn +10 (1 unit) - Even with week off I feel Titans have enuf momentum to stick with Ravens so long as Henry is healthy. Titans "D" will try and contain LJ and Ingram, so the rest of the plays will have to be RPO for Ravens which could give edge to quicker DBs for Titans, I have Ravens winning still but not by DD. BAL 34 Ten 27

Over 47 Ten/Bal (5 units)

Houston +10 (5 units) - Revenge mode for KC, KC "D" has been money of late, however, Houston healthier this round and match up is a pickem for me, there could be weather in KC as it is the midwest peeps and weather changes like a 3 way light bulb. KC RBs should outmatch Houston's front 7, but this will be a game with 2 similar style QBs with RPO, Fuller will be back for Houston, still a ?? mark but if he plays, that will give Hou another avenue to use, special teams edge to KC, and I believe this one comes down to last possession. KC 34 Hou 30.

Over 49 Hou/KC (5 units)

Minn +6 1/2 (1 unit) - This is a 3-4 pt line, over-priced due to off week for SF and OT finish for Vikes, on paper a least.

7 pt: Min +13 1/2, Over 41 Bal/Ten, Packers +3 1/2, Over 40 GB/Sea (1 unit)
 

WildBillPicks7

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Championship Round AFC/NFC

Championship Round AFC/NFC

Under 51 1/2 KC/Tenn (1 unit) - 27-23 type game

Tenn +7 1/2 (1 unit) - Revenge situation, cold conditions make grips tough, Reid not good as F>7

Over 46 GB/SF (5 units) - Packers revenge situation, Rodgers larger dog role, Niners vets w/some playoff experience, should make for entertaining game. Miscues will screw the pooch whomever makes the most, SF 31 GB 28


7 pt: Under 58 1/2 KC/T, Over 39 GB/49ers (1 unit)

1 unit sides.....2-1-1, +.90
5 unit sides.....1-2, -6.0
1 unit totals....0-4, -4.4
5 unit totals....2-0, +10.0
7 pt teaser.....1-1, +.35
WON....6....LOSS......8....PUSH....1....+.85 units, post season, 1/4/2020
 

WildBillPicks7

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Under 51 1/2 KC/Tenn (1 unit) - 27-23 type game

Tenn +7 1/2 (1 unit) - Revenge situation, cold conditions make grips tough, Reid not good as F>7

Over 46 GB/SF (5 units) - Packers revenge situation, Rodgers larger dog role, Niners vets w/some playoff experience, should make for entertaining game. Miscues will screw the pooch whomever makes the most, SF 31 GB 28


7 pt: Under 58 1/2 KC/T, Over 39 GB/49ers (1 unit)

Packers +8 1/2 (5 units) - revenge situation and this is the post-season folks, so throw out all the other crap, these are professional athletes, who make adjustments.

7 pt: Packers +15 1/2, Over 39 1/2 GB/SF, Under 58 KC/Tn, Tenn +14 (1 unit)
 

WildBillPicks7

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Shit show Sunday!! 1-6, -10.3 units!! :facepalm:

1 unit sides.....2-2-1, -.20
5 unit sides.....1-3, -11.5
1 unit totals....0-5, -5.5
5 unit totals....3-0, +15.0
7 pt teaser.....1-3, -1.75
Halftimes........0-1, -5.5
WON....7....LOSS......14....PUSH....1....-9.45 units, post season, 1/4/2020
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
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Super Bowl

KC pk (5 units) - KC team speed and weapons should wear down SF in 2H!! KC 33 SF 27!!

Over 51 (10 units) - Both grass teams, KC "D" playing lights out their last 8 games, now key on Jimmy G's running game that dominated GB in NFC Chp. Play to 55 1/2!!
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
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Super Bowl

KC pk (5 units) - KC team speed and weapons should wear down SF in 2H!! KC 33 SF 27!!

Over 51 (10 units) - Both grass teams, KC "D" playing lights out their last 8 games, now key on Jimmy G's running game that dominated GB in NFC Chp. Play to 55 1/2!!

Funny how the opening side and total changed after I posted my plays.

Here's my prop bets:

1Q Over 10 (1 unit) - both teams can score, KC more opportunistic then SF however, SF in post-season shut down GB & Minn in 1H, so don't compare QBs in this tilt to those games.
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
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Super Bowl

KC pk (5 units) - KC team speed and weapons should wear down SF in 2H!! KC 33 SF 27!! WINNER

Over 51 (10 units) - Both grass teams, KC "D" playing lights out their last 8 games, now key on Jimmy G's running game that dominated GB in NFC Chp. Play to 55 1/2!! PUSH CL 52 1/2



Here's my prop bets:

1Q Over 10 (1 unit) - both teams can score, KC more opportunistic then SF however, SF in post-season shut down GB & Minn in 1H, so don't compare QBs in this tilt to those games. PUSH



2H: Over 27 (5 units) - WINNER
2H: KC pk (5 units) - WINNER





1 unit sides.....2-2-1, -.20
5 unit sides.....2-3, -6.5
1 unit totals....0-5, -5.5
5 unit totals....3-0, +15.0
7 pt teaser.....1-3, -1.75
Halftimes........2-1, +4.5
Prop..............0-0-1, even
10 unit...........0-0-1, even
WON....10....LOSS......14....PUSH....3....+5.55 units, post season, 1/4/2020
 

boomer1

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Super Bowl

KC pk (5 units) - KC team speed and weapons should wear down SF in 2H!! KC 33 SF 27!! WINNER

Over 51 (10 units) - Both grass teams, KC "D" playing lights out their last 8 games, now key on Jimmy G's running game that dominated GB in NFC Chp. Play to 55 1/2!! PUSH CL 52 1/2



Here's my prop bets:

1Q Over 10 (1 unit) - both teams can score, KC more opportunistic then SF however, SF in post-season shut down GB & Minn in 1H, so don't compare QBs in this tilt to those games. PUSH



2H: Over 27 (5 units) - WINNER
2H: KC pk (5 units) - WINNER





1 unit sides.....2-2-1, -.20
5 unit sides.....2-3, -6.5
1 unit totals....0-5, -5.5
5 unit totals....3-0, +15.0
7 pt teaser.....1-3, -1.75
Halftimes........2-1, +4.5
Prop..............0-0-1, even
10 unit...........0-0-1, even
WON....10....LOSS......14....PUSH....3....+5.55 units, post season, 1/4/2020

Nice WB !!
 
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