It's been a very unpredictable start to the season and for the first time in years I'm actually down a half a unit on the season!
:facepalm:
Well as the saying goes when the going is tough the tough get going :box2: and it's time for a bounce-back this week especially since I really like this weeks card.
I have 3 medium size 2 unit plays for this week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneeers -1
over Redskins
Both teams enter the game at 1-2 but the Bucs are 1-0 at home and are 3-0 ATS this season and face a Redskins team with numerous injuries on both sides of the ball...the Bucs offense should be able to dominate a Redskins D that has a poor secondary, is missing both of their DE's Adam Carriker and Brian Orakpo and rank 30th in the league allowing 429.3 yds per game...on the flip side RG3 is off to a fast start this season but he will be without his favorite target WR Pierre Garcon once again along with his starting LT Trent Williams...change of pace back Roy Helu is also OUT and backup Evan Royster is questionable...The Bucs D is also ranked low 26th overall in the league but they are an aggressive unit that gets after the football and have faced the Giants, Cowboys and the Panthers offense - 3 units that can move the football...Trends - the Bucs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Redskins... Bottom Line - I'm backing a Bucs team that has played very well this season and has the homefield advantage against a banged up Skins team with
serious issues on the defensive side of the ball.
Tampa Bay 27 Washington 20
Seattle Seahawks -2 (-120)
over Rams
The Seahawks are coming off of a come from behind win over the Packers on MNF and face a Rams team this week that has a very banged up offensive line and a team that lacks playmakers on the offensive side of the ball...The Seahawks D should dominate a Rams offense with only one healthy original starting lineman in OG Harvy Dahl and a banged up RB in Steven Jackson who has been limited in practice due to a groin injury...QB Sam Bradford will have a hard time staying upright...on the flip side the Seahawks offense will be facing a middle of the pack Rams D that ranks 22nd in the league in stopping the run which should help the Seahawks establish their running game with Marshawn Lynch...Trends - The Seahawks have dominated their series with the Rams winning 13 out of the last 14 SU and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Rams and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in St. Louis...Bottom Line - The Seahawks defense should rule the day on Sunday.
Seattle 23 St. Louis 13
2 Game 7 Point Teaser (Play Ties Win)
New England Patriots +3 over Bills
&
Green Bay Packers -2 over Saints
Patriots +3...The Patriots have lost two straight games and face a 2-1 Bills team that they have beat in 21 of the last 23 meetings...The Patriots offense will face a Bills defense that ranks 19th in the league in pass defense giving up 248.3 passing yds per game, but the Bills D hasn't faced a QB in Brady's league facing Mark Sanchez, Matt Cassel and Brandon Weeden the first 3 weeks...on the flip side the Bills offense will be hampered since RB Fred Jackson (knee) won't be 100% if he plays on Sunday and the same can be said for C.J. Spiller (shoulder)...Ryan Fitzpatrick is at his best when he has a running game to depend on since he's inconsistent at best and will turn the ball over if he's forced to win the game with his arm...Trends - The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Buffalo...Bottom Line - The Bills would have a better
chance to beat the Patriots at home in front of a loud crowd if they had a healthy running game but that won't be the case on Sunday.
New England 30 Buffalo 20
Packers -2...This game is a battle of two teams facing an almost must-win situation in the early season...The edge in this game goes to the Packers because of two reasons - their home field advantage and the fact that they have a much better defense than the Saints...Drew Brees will be facing a Packers pass defense that ranks #1 in the league allowing just 125 yards per game...on the flip side Aaron Rodgers will be facing a putrid Saints defense that ranks 25th overall in the league in pass defense allowing 263.2 yds per game and a defense that ranks dead last in the NFL overall allowing a whopping 477 yards per game...Trends - The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between the two and the Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings as well...Bottom Line - The Packers offense should have a field day on Sunday!
Green Bay 37 New Orleans 26
2012 NFL Season Record:
Medium Size 2 Unit Plays
1-0
Small 1 Unit Plays
0-2
Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays
0-1
Leans
1-5
MNF Game Predictions
0-1
-0.5 Units
:facepalm:
Well as the saying goes when the going is tough the tough get going :box2: and it's time for a bounce-back this week especially since I really like this weeks card.
I have 3 medium size 2 unit plays for this week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneeers -1
over Redskins
Both teams enter the game at 1-2 but the Bucs are 1-0 at home and are 3-0 ATS this season and face a Redskins team with numerous injuries on both sides of the ball...the Bucs offense should be able to dominate a Redskins D that has a poor secondary, is missing both of their DE's Adam Carriker and Brian Orakpo and rank 30th in the league allowing 429.3 yds per game...on the flip side RG3 is off to a fast start this season but he will be without his favorite target WR Pierre Garcon once again along with his starting LT Trent Williams...change of pace back Roy Helu is also OUT and backup Evan Royster is questionable...The Bucs D is also ranked low 26th overall in the league but they are an aggressive unit that gets after the football and have faced the Giants, Cowboys and the Panthers offense - 3 units that can move the football...Trends - the Bucs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Redskins... Bottom Line - I'm backing a Bucs team that has played very well this season and has the homefield advantage against a banged up Skins team with
serious issues on the defensive side of the ball.
Tampa Bay 27 Washington 20
Seattle Seahawks -2 (-120)
over Rams
The Seahawks are coming off of a come from behind win over the Packers on MNF and face a Rams team this week that has a very banged up offensive line and a team that lacks playmakers on the offensive side of the ball...The Seahawks D should dominate a Rams offense with only one healthy original starting lineman in OG Harvy Dahl and a banged up RB in Steven Jackson who has been limited in practice due to a groin injury...QB Sam Bradford will have a hard time staying upright...on the flip side the Seahawks offense will be facing a middle of the pack Rams D that ranks 22nd in the league in stopping the run which should help the Seahawks establish their running game with Marshawn Lynch...Trends - The Seahawks have dominated their series with the Rams winning 13 out of the last 14 SU and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Rams and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in St. Louis...Bottom Line - The Seahawks defense should rule the day on Sunday.
Seattle 23 St. Louis 13
2 Game 7 Point Teaser (Play Ties Win)
New England Patriots +3 over Bills
&
Green Bay Packers -2 over Saints
Patriots +3...The Patriots have lost two straight games and face a 2-1 Bills team that they have beat in 21 of the last 23 meetings...The Patriots offense will face a Bills defense that ranks 19th in the league in pass defense giving up 248.3 passing yds per game, but the Bills D hasn't faced a QB in Brady's league facing Mark Sanchez, Matt Cassel and Brandon Weeden the first 3 weeks...on the flip side the Bills offense will be hampered since RB Fred Jackson (knee) won't be 100% if he plays on Sunday and the same can be said for C.J. Spiller (shoulder)...Ryan Fitzpatrick is at his best when he has a running game to depend on since he's inconsistent at best and will turn the ball over if he's forced to win the game with his arm...Trends - The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Buffalo...Bottom Line - The Bills would have a better
chance to beat the Patriots at home in front of a loud crowd if they had a healthy running game but that won't be the case on Sunday.
New England 30 Buffalo 20
Packers -2...This game is a battle of two teams facing an almost must-win situation in the early season...The edge in this game goes to the Packers because of two reasons - their home field advantage and the fact that they have a much better defense than the Saints...Drew Brees will be facing a Packers pass defense that ranks #1 in the league allowing just 125 yards per game...on the flip side Aaron Rodgers will be facing a putrid Saints defense that ranks 25th overall in the league in pass defense allowing 263.2 yds per game and a defense that ranks dead last in the NFL overall allowing a whopping 477 yards per game...Trends - The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between the two and the Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings as well...Bottom Line - The Packers offense should have a field day on Sunday!
Green Bay 37 New Orleans 26
2012 NFL Season Record:
Medium Size 2 Unit Plays
1-0
Small 1 Unit Plays
0-2
Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays
0-1
Leans
1-5
MNF Game Predictions
0-1
-0.5 Units
