Hi everyone - from the looks of what most are on this game doesn't even need to be played because AZ wins in a rout...i love how this game sets up on the contrarian side of things - i took 49ers, the under, and a % of the 49ers play on a +450 moneyline...i think people are forgetting that this is a division game, the 49ers are tired of getting embarrassed, they have a coach who is tired of losing - tired of seeing players not give 100% - if there is a game the 49ers will come to play, it's here on MNF...also we've seen this before with Arizona - i am hearing all this talk about division titles, first round byes, etc - too early for that - you have a 10 point favorite in a division game, 49ers lost outright by 10 at home, think they don't want some revenge? Think their is value in laying 10 in the NFL? Ask the people who backed the Chargers about that yesterday...i was on KC yesterday and they could have won that game outright...
Anyways i'm done posting my play amounts and probably won't post that much - i do wish everyone the best w/ every play you make - i just tried to help out those who might need a helping hand, and get questioned as to my validity of plays and amounts & my priorities in life - rediculous - all i've done is post 57% winners long term here - i always keep my record updated for others to see - maybe i play games for higher amount than others - it doesn't matter if you bet $1 or $5,000 a game, point is to pick winners - something i have been able to help people with - i honestly think it would help though if everyone in the forum if people made their picks and kept their record...as hard as this may be for some to hear it would be a reality check for those who are bad at picking winners, and be good for those to see who are winning long run...there are plenty of great cappers here, but also plenty of ones that have a lot to learn, and can keep on learning to become winning players...one tip i have for those that just seem to lose week in and week out is simple - if you can only pick 44% winners - suck it up and fade yourself - seriously - i have a good friend who is JOE PUBLIC - he seriously has a knack to spot every "easy" game - and year in and out he picked about 40-45% winners - you'd think you could pick 50/50 just pointing blindly at a team - well he just spots all the sucker lines - was hard for me to have the "talk" with him - but i just had to tell him he absolutely had a gift - to pick losers - so all he has to do is fade himself...sounds dumb - but he hasn't had a losing season in 4 years now since I had that talk w/ him...he continues to think like a square, but has sucked it up and just writes down what he "thinks" will be the plays, fades himself, and wins...i see alot of that on this board and others - people who always find the "easy" play...doesn't appear to be an "easier" play than Arizona tonight...maybe AZ does end up covering, but i know laying double digits in the NFL won't take the cash in the long run...if you simply took every double digit dog this year, i believe they've hit at over 85% or soemthing thus far...can't ignore that - it's dumb to lay 10 or more in NFL...
anyways just wanted to wish everyone luck tonight - i believe 49ers +10 and under 48 are the value plays tonight...never any guarantees - i never have a game of year, never a lock, never a game that "must" win - i do believe that every play i make has an expectation to win around 57% of the time long run - that's what i've averaged over the years, and i put alot of time into coming up w/ my plays
GL tonight - i'd fade away the public who is ALL OVER Arizona...if this game is an Arizona blowout then i feel it will be tough to go over the total...49ers and under are the safe plays tonight, i think go 2-0 - gl as always - later
Anyways i'm done posting my play amounts and probably won't post that much - i do wish everyone the best w/ every play you make - i just tried to help out those who might need a helping hand, and get questioned as to my validity of plays and amounts & my priorities in life - rediculous - all i've done is post 57% winners long term here - i always keep my record updated for others to see - maybe i play games for higher amount than others - it doesn't matter if you bet $1 or $5,000 a game, point is to pick winners - something i have been able to help people with - i honestly think it would help though if everyone in the forum if people made their picks and kept their record...as hard as this may be for some to hear it would be a reality check for those who are bad at picking winners, and be good for those to see who are winning long run...there are plenty of great cappers here, but also plenty of ones that have a lot to learn, and can keep on learning to become winning players...one tip i have for those that just seem to lose week in and week out is simple - if you can only pick 44% winners - suck it up and fade yourself - seriously - i have a good friend who is JOE PUBLIC - he seriously has a knack to spot every "easy" game - and year in and out he picked about 40-45% winners - you'd think you could pick 50/50 just pointing blindly at a team - well he just spots all the sucker lines - was hard for me to have the "talk" with him - but i just had to tell him he absolutely had a gift - to pick losers - so all he has to do is fade himself...sounds dumb - but he hasn't had a losing season in 4 years now since I had that talk w/ him...he continues to think like a square, but has sucked it up and just writes down what he "thinks" will be the plays, fades himself, and wins...i see alot of that on this board and others - people who always find the "easy" play...doesn't appear to be an "easier" play than Arizona tonight...maybe AZ does end up covering, but i know laying double digits in the NFL won't take the cash in the long run...if you simply took every double digit dog this year, i believe they've hit at over 85% or soemthing thus far...can't ignore that - it's dumb to lay 10 or more in NFL...
anyways just wanted to wish everyone luck tonight - i believe 49ers +10 and under 48 are the value plays tonight...never any guarantees - i never have a game of year, never a lock, never a game that "must" win - i do believe that every play i make has an expectation to win around 57% of the time long run - that's what i've averaged over the years, and i put alot of time into coming up w/ my plays
GL tonight - i'd fade away the public who is ALL OVER Arizona...if this game is an Arizona blowout then i feel it will be tough to go over the total...49ers and under are the safe plays tonight, i think go 2-0 - gl as always - later
)are able to win the amount you do or have the bankroll to drop the kind of money on games that you do. I know you're legit because I remember you hitting that MONSTER ML bet last year, so I know you got the funds to go big on every play. 
