5 Unit play and a few others for Sat. Sept.27

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ND2002HORNS

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YTD 38-36-2 +4.40 Units

When I got the paper this morning and went to an article on U. of A. I thought to myself before I read it what kind of crap quotes I am going to read from coach Mac. I read the usual, we have to better in all facets of the game, blah, blah. Then I read a quote from Costa one of the Wildcats QB's. He said it was hard to prepare for the game this week when the coaches didn't really say much to him as if he did something terrible. I got to thinking that could Mac be that much of a fool to ignore his freshman QB who nevers gets any protection as they have no exp. especially with their only Senior on the OL, Brandon Phillips going down against the Ducks. Well it must be true if the QB is stating this and has nobody to turn to if the coaches are ignoring him. What a great coaching strategy coach Mac is using.( being very sarcastic)
The guy will never get it as long as his big headed ego is in the way. He refuses to start Farmer at RB, their only player on offense with any exp. or ability. Why you ask? Because Mac thinks he is teaching him a lesson and showing him who is in charge. What a great communicator!(again being very sarcastic)
The Wildcats have yet to score a TD in the 1st half since they played the worst team in college football, UTEP. With U of A closing fast on UTEP for that honour. In other words, all their TD's over the last 3 games have come in the 3rd or 4th Q. when the opposition plays their 2nd and 3rd team guys. The offense consistently turns the ball over in their own field of play and has too many 3 and outs. Therefore resulting in the opposition having a short field to work with and the defense on the field endlessly. I think TCU romps to an easy win over U of A. Their defense is solid and even though they do not have their starting QB their back-up has done an admirable job. TCU should get 2 TD's from the result of U of A quitting as they have the last 3 weeks when they fall apart mentally. TCU wins 32-3.

Playing:

TCU -14.5***** - One big FAWKIN LOSER
ND +10**
ND ML +370*

More on the ND plays later. I will add 2 other plays before the weekend. Trying to limit myself to 5 plays this Sat.

GLTA!

HORNS:D
 
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crimson

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Knew something had to be going on. I have tried to watch AZ games this year but cant bear to even with money on it. Like your play also.
GL
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

el guapo
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arizona

arizona

appears to be that bad.......but,tcu usually struggles on offense when tye gunn goes down....and their "1.b" running back ricky madison is out.....1.a. is lonta hobbs....

but,i agree,arizona appears to be that bad....looks like they`ve quit on makovic....i really want to play it...maybe....

g.l.
 
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ND2002HORNS

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Thanks guys.

Coach Mac is going to bench Bell and Farmer at RB and the guy 3rd on the depth chart in Beau Carr. Another young and inexp. player. Mac said he is not getting production from the RB position. Well it is pretty hard to when you have an OL that consists of freshman and sophomore and no exp. You have 2 QB's running for their lives every play. You can't set up the pass through the run or the run through the pass because you can't produce yards doing either.

I went back and checked time of possession for U. of A.
After the UTEP game the Wildcats had the ball for:
24min. against LSU
25min. against Oregon
25min. against Purdue

They have scored 4 TD's since the UTEP game. One TD in the 3d Q. against Purdue and none in the 4th Q. The other 3 TD's came in the 4th Q. against LSU and Oregon. They have averaged 10pts. a game since UTEP.

HORNS:D
 
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Nickelback

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Fading Arizona until they get their head out of their asses could be very profitable. . . may not happen till next year anyways once Mac leaves.
 
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ND2002HORNS

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ND line up +10.5. A couple of ways to look at this game. Lets face it, the odds makers have this line where it is for a reason and I think it is too high.
Everyone saw ND get punked by Michigan and then lose a close one to Mich.St. at home. Vegas is going with the theory that alot of people are now going to bet against ND with the thought that they have no value and that is just fine with me.
I believe they do. Call me crazy, but I bet with my head and not my heart as you all know.
ND is going into a bye week. Ty Willingham nor the fans will not accept another loss going into a bye week let alone a blowout. The fans can accept defeat if their team goes down fighting.
Purdue is a solid team that allowed BG to beat them in their own barn.
Purdue runs a spread offense and last year the ND defense caused Purdues offense problems with a two deep zone. They have 8 players back on D and if the ND offense can get anything going they will allow their D to stay off the field.
I believe Brady Quinn starts at QB. This will allow ND to stretch the field as he does not throw a lob ball like Holiday does on deep routes. ND used the TE quite well last year against Purdue and I look for them to do the same this weekend. If they can get any sort of passing game going they will have success with the run something they have failed with the last 2 games.
In the Mich. St. game, ND had two bad calls go against them. First in the 1st Q. , the Spartans had the play clock run out on them before a FG. It was so abvious but the officials flat out missed it. They hit the 49yd. FG but with the penalty who knows if they hit it. Then late in the 4th Q. the Spartans clearly fumbled the ball on the play prior to kicking a FG that the refs somehow missed. Basically that is 6pts. and the difference of the win. The reason I feel it is pertinent is because people see the result and don't realize they could have easily won in say OT, who knows?
There is no way Purdue would be a TD fav(or so) coming into ND and that is what this line tells me. I will take the value in this game and this one to be decided by a FG. This ND team has too much pride to lose by double digits.

ND +12.5(-150)** - Loser
Bought the 2pts.
ND - ML +400* - Loser

Back with more analysis on a few other plays.

HORNS:D
 
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ND2002HORNS

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Indiana +36(-150)* - Winner
Bought the 2pts. for a reason. CWood mentioned a couple of things. But the one thing that stands out at me is how Mich. is now a bigger fav over Indiana than CMU and Houston. Mich. coming off their loss will no doubt run the ball and establish the run before their game next week at Iowa. The later also being a reason for liking this line. Sandwich game. Indiana does not have the athletes to compete with Mich. but lets face it they will get their points unlike CMU and Houston.

HORNS:D
 
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ND2002HORNS

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Mich.St. +9* (-150) (bought the 2 pts.) - Winner
Spartans impressed me last week with their run defense. If they can neutralize Russell the way they held Jones and Grant in check they will keep this one very close. Too many people on Iowa. With Michigan on deck, I don't care what anyone says they will be looking ahead. As they say, there is always a few games each year that a coach has a tough time getting his team up to play and I think Iowa has everything to lose and Spartans have nothing to lose. They will play loose at home and if you remember back to last year when Smoker went on a binge the night before the Iowa game and how the Spartans were blown out so bad, Smoker wants a little redemption. He wants to reward his teammates for his mistakes last year and I am glad to see he has got his life back on track. His life starting to fall apart badly prior to this game as it was not long after this game that he was suspended. I expect the Spartans to establish their running and stay inside the number. I am not saying Iowa loses but this is way too many pts. in a conference match-up like this on the road.

HORNS
 
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ddubs

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That Purdue line is just NUTS, IMHO. My jaw dropped on the floor when I saw -10.5. I can't remember the last time a game was decided my more than a TD between these 2 most hated rivals. Something crazy always happens to make the game close, even though this is TRIPLE revenge for the Boilers. BUT......

Your Irish are going DOWN, BIATCH!!!!!!:D:nutkick :lol:

Good luck this weekend, Kev. I'll tail you on your rare 5 unit play on TCU:D
 
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tennessee tout

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I like some of your theories. However, laying -150 and buying the 2 points is not the smart play. I would recommend you rethink your logic in doing this. If you split the games(1-1), you are .5 units down instead of .1. I don't believe you can win in the long run doing this. I'm just trying to help, not being an ass who criticizes everything.

the tout
 
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