Two for today. Good luck
San Diego +125 over BALTIMORE 300/375
Tankersley was rocked again in his last start but the guy has great stuff and last time it was basically just a matter of making one bad pitch to Bonds after having some control problems that cost him. Erickson continues to struggle and Baltimore's terrible lineup is back to producing few runs again. This is a play on the hotter hitting team with the better bullpen and a starter with better stuff.
TAMPA BAY +165 over Los Angeles 300/495
Gotta fade Nomo here. He gave up a lot of hits and had more walks than strikeouts last time out. Dodgers have struggled against lefties over their last 10 games (though, to be fair, Randy Johnson was in there once) while Tampa's bats have produced 5 runs per game over their last five.
6/10 Quick Notes:
-Reuter is definitely a pitcher to be worried about today for San Francisco. He gave up just one run in 6 last time out but he had no strikeouts and gave up 9 hits. Also a problem for the Giants may be Rodriguez and Nen, who struggled yesterday and really have not been at their former levels all season. Another thing about this game is that Loaiza was rocked last time out. He clearly showed signs of overuse leading up to that start, but I still think that could be the start of a down cycle for him. Jays are also 9-1 in their last ten to fading them is a tough call. Total of 9ov120 seems high for two teams enduring recent offensive struggles but with this pitching matchup you may want to take a look.
-Be very careful betting against Vazquez and Montreal today. On the surface it looks pretty rediculous that Montreal would be a -150 fave on the road while averaging 2.4 runs per game in their last 5, but Vazquez was almost unhittable last time out. I actually recommend a pass here because I had Vazquez getting hit in his last start so I worry that it will happen here. I could not have been more wrong last time as Vazquez had 10 K's, no walks and a complete game 3 hitter.
-Backing Wood and Chicago today is a risk when looking at Wood's recent performance. Then again, Miller has been anything but consistent for Houston as well. Cubs are playing very good all around baseball but Wood seems set up for a below standard outing.
-In my opinion Astacio is not enough of a pitching advantage to warrant him being a road favorite against a strong White Sox lineup.
-Before you jump on Burnett coming off the dominating performance last time out remember that 33 batters faced is a very high number to recover from on 4 days rest.
-Out of the entire board, the bet that at first glance looks the tastiest is Oakland at a mere -120 against the Brewers. I do think the A's will win, but I am not betting against a guy who pitched 8 scoreless innings with 11 strikeouts in his last start.
San Diego +125 over BALTIMORE 300/375
Tankersley was rocked again in his last start but the guy has great stuff and last time it was basically just a matter of making one bad pitch to Bonds after having some control problems that cost him. Erickson continues to struggle and Baltimore's terrible lineup is back to producing few runs again. This is a play on the hotter hitting team with the better bullpen and a starter with better stuff.
TAMPA BAY +165 over Los Angeles 300/495
Gotta fade Nomo here. He gave up a lot of hits and had more walks than strikeouts last time out. Dodgers have struggled against lefties over their last 10 games (though, to be fair, Randy Johnson was in there once) while Tampa's bats have produced 5 runs per game over their last five.
6/10 Quick Notes:
-Reuter is definitely a pitcher to be worried about today for San Francisco. He gave up just one run in 6 last time out but he had no strikeouts and gave up 9 hits. Also a problem for the Giants may be Rodriguez and Nen, who struggled yesterday and really have not been at their former levels all season. Another thing about this game is that Loaiza was rocked last time out. He clearly showed signs of overuse leading up to that start, but I still think that could be the start of a down cycle for him. Jays are also 9-1 in their last ten to fading them is a tough call. Total of 9ov120 seems high for two teams enduring recent offensive struggles but with this pitching matchup you may want to take a look.
-Be very careful betting against Vazquez and Montreal today. On the surface it looks pretty rediculous that Montreal would be a -150 fave on the road while averaging 2.4 runs per game in their last 5, but Vazquez was almost unhittable last time out. I actually recommend a pass here because I had Vazquez getting hit in his last start so I worry that it will happen here. I could not have been more wrong last time as Vazquez had 10 K's, no walks and a complete game 3 hitter.
-Backing Wood and Chicago today is a risk when looking at Wood's recent performance. Then again, Miller has been anything but consistent for Houston as well. Cubs are playing very good all around baseball but Wood seems set up for a below standard outing.
-In my opinion Astacio is not enough of a pitching advantage to warrant him being a road favorite against a strong White Sox lineup.
-Before you jump on Burnett coming off the dominating performance last time out remember that 33 batters faced is a very high number to recover from on 4 days rest.
-Out of the entire board, the bet that at first glance looks the tastiest is Oakland at a mere -120 against the Brewers. I do think the A's will win, but I am not betting against a guy who pitched 8 scoreless innings with 11 strikeouts in his last start.
