6/20 MLB Plays

[Nick Douglas]

50-53, +3359 overall

I have been in a real funk for the past month or so. I started out on fire, all the way up to +$6300+, and have been treading water at best ever since. I normally play almost all dogs, but for some reason today I don't see much value there. So with that in mind, I am going to follow fletcher's advice that the best value is cashing a ticket and just play four chalk games that I think will win.

Toronto -130 over BALTIMORE 400/308

Carpenter is a solid starter while Roberts has really struggled since April. Tornoto should have the stronger lineup as well.

Minnesota (+1 1/2) -165 over CLEVELAND 400/242

Mays is a very solid pitcher but it is tough to beat Finley in Jacobs. The run and a half gives a good cushion here. Yesterday was really high scoring and I don't expect the bats to explode with these two on the mound. Minny should win and we have a little extra insurance as well.

LOS ANGELES -164 over Arizona 400/242

Park has just been super. Batista is a decent pitcher but with Park and this bullpen Arizona should be hard pressed to score many runs.

SAN DIEGO +100 over San Francisco 400/400

Jarvis is decent but really this is betting against Gardner. He had an okay run a while back but he is not great and with both pens being overused yesterday, that gives SD the advantage if Gardner is chased, which should happen.

 

[Nick Douglas]

2-2, -250

Well, whaddya know? My two chalk plays hit and both dogs go in the tank. I may try sticking with chalk for another day or two, but I am still looking for good dogs, too.

 

[Randercity]

Hey Nick... your analysis on SF/SD was right, as was your MINN/CLE game, it was just your play was wrong. That's not a slap in the face, but you said it yourself, should be tough to score, close game at JACOBS, (GO UNDER) and in SF/SD, you said the pens were overused, which they were, but with JARVIS's troubles, the OVER was the way to go... I kick myself all the time when I think this pitcher or that pitcher is gonna get rocked, he does, but they come back and win, and I LOSE!!! Or this guy will pitch a good game, he does, but I lose!! In cases like these, bet the OVER and who cares who wins, JUST SCORE BABY!!!! Or, with two good pitchers, let em battle and keep it under. BTW, MAYS was 10-4 UNDER going into tonite. HE'S this YEAR'S RADKE (so far!) !!

BTW... we should hook up some time and go to a DODGERS or ANGELS game. I'm in Anaheim.

[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 06-21-2001).]