6/9 Friday Hm/Rd Totals

LordofBalls

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Aug 31, 2006
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TOTALS SYSTEMS RECAP: (flat count)
Mon 1-2
Tues 5-1 (plus Cubs Ov finally)
Wed 8w - 4L
Thur 2-4 (I went 1-2.. 2 losses were dbl plays w/TB n Twins.. and Tor w/Hou.. both Ls.. Yanks Ov/Dodg Un were Ws)
===========
16-11 ... making $

unlike the dogs... :facepalm: Had Mets / Colo / Tigers ALL BLOW 9th inn LEAD... if 2 of 3 win, we make a lil $$.. but they didn't!

DOGS... (wk 1 was + $$... wk 2 was neutral.. wk 3 sucked each day!)
Mon 1-5
Tue 4-9
Wed 3-7 (but I did hit StL/A's/Reds so didn't lose much)
Thur 1-7

=========
9-28.... and dat ain't guut!


obviously it's been my own choice to play or not play ANY gm side/total.. just as it's yours... mebbe these dog things go in 'cycles'.. which is where research into previous seasons can help support (or NOT support) the M-Th concept

Home:

bet 3.. TB OV
bet 3.. Pitt Un

watch tms... StL / Tigers / Balt

Re-Bets:
bet 3.. Tor OV

Road:
bet 3.. Twins OV
watch... Reds / Nats / Marlins

Re-Bets:
bet 3.. Hou OV
[
bet 5.. Loss.. A's Un]


Maybe the best way to play these SYSTEM totals to avoid stress (large bets which may/may not go against your assessments otherwise) is to "flat" play em.. ??
It would certainly be working this wk so far..

When a 'chase' is only taken 3 gms, there seems to be a lot of losses/potential losses... I will do another SUMMARY as we near end of June...


IF you just start w/bet #2, you miss the majority of winners that occur in Bet #1s... as shown in SUMMARY thru 5/25:

HOME:
bet 1s..... 67 Ws

bet 2s..... 21 Ws
bet 3s..... 13 Ws
----------------------
bet 4s..... 4 Ws
----------------------
bet 5s..... 4 Ws
bet 6....... 1 W
bet 7....... 1 W
===============
so... If u started w/bet 2.. played 3 chases.. you'd have 38 Ws (+38u)
... and 6 Ls (-42u)... net loss of 4u


ROAD:
bet 1s..... 61 Ws

bet 2s..... 21 Ws
bet 3s..... 13 Ws
----------------------
bet 4s..... 4 Ws
----------------------
bet 5s...... 3 Ws
================
w/Road... If u started w/bet 2... played 3 chases... you'd have 38 Ws
.. 3 Ls (-21u)... net WIN of +17u

I haven't done the numbers to tell how the 'Re-Bets' would go... there would be fewer re-bet situations... but simply using the data already compiled:

Hm Re-Bets (if starting w/bet 2).... 10 Ws... 1 Loss (-7u) === +3u WIN

Rd Re-Bets.... 13 Ws... 1 Loss (-7u) === +6u WIN



Food for Thought!

I'll be playing NBA... thinking NUGGZ ML again... I've got a 600 to win $400 Future on em.. which I feel good about!
will post in NBA Forum later

GL Today!


LoB
 
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