7/28 afternoon totals thoughts

[NJO]

Playing 2:

Pitt/Milw under 9'u -- completely agree with Nolan's thoughts here; Ritchie and Wright both show ERAs under 2 their last 3 starts; neither team's bats are particularly warm right now, giving me greater confidence with this play

Oak/Sea over 8'o - Sele in down turn right now makes me think Oakland puts up some runs; Zito has allowed at least 3 runs in all recent outings, making me believe Seattle gets at least that many on the board; these 2 teams have played over this number their last 5; I join IE with this play

 

[NJO]

One totals play for the evening:

Texas/Anaheim under 10'

Neither of these teams is hitting right now, with the exclusion of the 11th inning the other night for Texas

Rapp's recent form is especially good, as he comes off a 1 ER, 3 hit outing, and Anaheim hasn't hit for him all year

Oliver's recent form is better, as the 4 outings prior to his last showed him giving up 3 or less runs in each

All of these things point to under the inflated total of 10'

 

[NJO]

I'll add one more total play tonight:

Boston/TB over 10u

Castillo in bad form for Boston and TB bats warming up means runs on that side of the ledger

On the other side, Boston bats are equally or more warm than Tampa's, and Kennedy's 6.75 road ERA (albeit a limited sample) encourages me that he won't do what he did last time out (strong showing, AT HOME, versus the Yankees)

10 strikes me as low in Fenway with these 2 pitchers and bats, so I'll take this total and hope for runs galore.

Good luck.