Favs and dogs have played each other at exactly a 50/50 clip through 3 NFL weeks.
22 fav covers
22 dog covers
2 pushes
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Of the 22 dogs to cover, 14 of them were outright wins, while 8 were covers with the spread only. So, the spread alone has decided the betting winner 17.4% of the time...almost exactly the norm (16% to 18% is a fairly consistent rate, year in, year out).
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Of the 8 spread-cover dogs, every one of them was getting at least 3 points. Three of them were getting 10 points or more.
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We have yet to have a week where either dogs or favorites have dominated the board. Favs were 7-8-1 for Week 1, 9-7 for Week 2, 6-7-1 for Week 3.
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Scoring has also been very consistent week to week. An average of 38.5 PPG has been scored. The lowest average score for a week was Week 2 at 37.8 PPG. The highest: Week 3 at 39.0 (even though 76 pts were scored in one game alone). Again, this is pretty unusual. There are often weeks in the mid-30's and other weeks which can average as much as 47 PPG.
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Thus far scores have been significantly lower than the norm for recent years.
2003: Games averaged 41.1 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 41.8 for the season.
2002: Games averaged 44.7 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 43.7 for the season.
2001: Games averaged 38.7 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 40.6 for the season.
2000: Games averaged 41.3 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 41.1 for the season.
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Unders have outcovered Overs 28-18 thus far. We have yet to have a week where Overs have outdone Unders.
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Home favorites are 14-18-2. Road favorites are off to a hot start for the second year in a row, going 8-4. Last year road favs got off to a searing-hot 8-2 start through three weeks, and 19-6 through 7 weeks, before cooling off and ending up at 35-36-3 overall.
22 fav covers
22 dog covers
2 pushes
==============================
Of the 22 dogs to cover, 14 of them were outright wins, while 8 were covers with the spread only. So, the spread alone has decided the betting winner 17.4% of the time...almost exactly the norm (16% to 18% is a fairly consistent rate, year in, year out).
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Of the 8 spread-cover dogs, every one of them was getting at least 3 points. Three of them were getting 10 points or more.
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We have yet to have a week where either dogs or favorites have dominated the board. Favs were 7-8-1 for Week 1, 9-7 for Week 2, 6-7-1 for Week 3.
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Scoring has also been very consistent week to week. An average of 38.5 PPG has been scored. The lowest average score for a week was Week 2 at 37.8 PPG. The highest: Week 3 at 39.0 (even though 76 pts were scored in one game alone). Again, this is pretty unusual. There are often weeks in the mid-30's and other weeks which can average as much as 47 PPG.
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Thus far scores have been significantly lower than the norm for recent years.
2003: Games averaged 41.1 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 41.8 for the season.
2002: Games averaged 44.7 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 43.7 for the season.
2001: Games averaged 38.7 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 40.6 for the season.
2000: Games averaged 41.3 PPG for the first 3 weeks; 41.1 for the season.
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Unders have outcovered Overs 28-18 thus far. We have yet to have a week where Overs have outdone Unders.
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Home favorites are 14-18-2. Road favorites are off to a hot start for the second year in a row, going 8-4. Last year road favs got off to a searing-hot 8-2 start through three weeks, and 19-6 through 7 weeks, before cooling off and ending up at 35-36-3 overall.
