A small experiment

TheShrimp

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Jan 15, 2002
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Just thought I'd post a new "technique" I'm going to track. I set my own lines every week. At bestbettor, I'm tracking how those lines would do if I played them depending on their difference from the real lines.

For example, I had NE listed as a 1.5 pt dog. Since they're getting 2.5, NE is the bet.

I had TB listed as an 8 pt fave. Since its only 7, TB is the play.

If I hit the line exactly, it's a no-play.

Now, some of these plays are actually opposite what my actual plays are posted here. The only reason I post this is that if I was betting with this method this this year, I'd be doing pretty well, and I thought i'd use bestbettor to track it. If anyone sees a discrepancy b/w those picks and my posted picks, that's why.

Here are the lines I came up with. This was actually a week that I was closer to the actual lines than normal.

bal +6
ne +1.5
phi -4.5
pitt -3.5
dall PK <- way off!! I didn't realize DET was getting respect.
cin +4
tenn +3.5
MINN +8
NYJ +5
STL -1
SF +2.5
wash +3
jax +3
MIA +4.5

gl
 
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