Aarons 499 Talledega

[toastonastick]

I usually lay off plate tracks. But I did make some small plays earlier today. Nothing real strong, just really looking for value. Out of the three I would agree with Big Tease that Stewart is probaly the strongest play.

Harvick +1400 1/2 unit
J. Burton +3000 1/2 unit
T. Stewart +1600 1/2 unit

BTW, I played these this morning before practice and qualifying. So lines I'm sure have changed.

I am interested to see where the line for jr is after his shitty qualifying.

 

[william13]

wish i would have jumped early also ... stay hot .. g/l

 

[toastonastick]

adding:

T Stewart over K Busch Even money 1 unit

 

[william13]

good luck toast ... got tony stewart at the bar pool. top three spots pay .. with all my leans i end up with a ford ..go figure..lol..

 

[william13]

just wondering .. you have a favorite driver ??

 

[toastonastick]

not really. I like to pull for the longshots and the ones I have money on.

If I had to pick one I think it would be Kahne, I think he has a shitload of potential.

 

[toastonastick]

adding:

D.Jarrett +115 over E. Sadler 1 unit

 

[toastonastick]

My plays so far

Harvick +1400 1/2 unit
J Burton +3000 1/2 unit
T. Stewart +1600 1/2 unit

T. Stewart over K. Busch even money 1 unit
D. Jarrett +115 over E. Sadlet 1 unit

 

[toastonastick]

waiting on one other, the line is moving in my favor. So i will wait a little bit

 

[toastonastick]

Adding:

Kyle Busch finish under 22.5 even money 1 unit

Should'nt be a prob as long as he doesn't get caught up in the big one.

 

[toastonastick]

Found Waltrip at +900

M. Waltrip +900 1/2 unit

 

[toastonastick]

-2.5 units for the race.

YTD +28.3 units

Love to watch plate tracks, never seem to do good betting them!

 

[william13]

+ 28 ..SWEET.. not sure why busch stay out for the five points and lost all that track postion.. he was top three and ended up 13 back. he got lucky with that last wreck at the end or that five points could have cost him around 40... i knew then i was in trouble....
was pulling for tony for both of us .. will pick up a couple bills at the bar .
your doing very well .. congrats $....... bad luck for the 48..later

 

[toastonastick]

nice job william. looking forward to Darlington!

 

[william13]

would like to take credit for tony , but it was a blind draw.. we draw a starting number and whoever get that spot we get .thought about using him for top five ,b ut didnt want to have him with both .. BAD MOVE ...
so my best angle was dumb luck ..lol... looking forward to see who you like saturday .... go 48 ..... later

 

[toastonastick]

already seen the early lines, Olympic has them up. looks like a couple decent ones. Waiting on the rest to release there lines. I should have a couple early plays

 

[william13]

well you been capping for a week for this race , might aft to ride your coat tail this week .. cant get on a roll like last year with the top five plays .seems last year all the luck was with me .. need to change it up this week .... want to get on early so i dont change so many times ..lol... top five play + 1/2 uint ..lol.. picks seem good but missing lady luck .... stay hot ....

 

[toastonastick]

It will come around. Long season ahead of us. Go to vegas insider and check the record of some of the pro's this year. I would say more than half are in the red.

 

[william13]

wow , looks like vegas insider is a good place for some fade plays ..
you play the triple crown with the horses ? usually do decent it alot like nascar betting .. got to find alittle value . made some good hits ... its alot of fun .. low risk high payout with the right odds.... later