Guys
Please forgive me if this has come up.
We have 3 teams vying for the top 3 spots in the AFC.
Houston: Win and you're the 1.
Denver: Win and you're the 2.
New England. Win, and Hou/Den loses, you're the 1.
Win, and one loses, you're the 2, Denver's the 1.
There are many more scenarios.
However:
I am seeing:
Houston -6.5 At Indy.
Indy...Nothing to play for. But...Young team, and Pagano will be back. Not that they won't want to rest players, but think they may play more motivated than a team that knows where they stand...
But I digress.
I also see, Den -16 and NE -10.
These 2 games occur at 4:25.
If Houston wins:
Pats need Den to lose to move to the #2, and Den would take the 1. However, you can sure as <bleep> know that the Patriots brass will most certainly concede the game, get their guys some reps, and call it a day. On the other hand, Miami needs to treat this like game 1 of the 2013 tilt.
There will be scoreboard watching..
If Houston loses:
NE plays everyone, and tries to blow doors off en route to a 1/2 seed, and get some momentum back from that lackluster showing last week in Jacksonville.
Question is:
Do we have value in Miami +10. If Houston wins, I'd expect the line to shoot to NE -3. There's a nice hedge opportunity there. If Houston wins, what does Denver do also? Pour it on, or get a bigger lead, and let it ride. 16 pts is a lot, and certainly can leave the 14 pt backdoor loss open as well.
If Houston loses:
Pats now may move up to 13.5, and then do we have value currently with NE-10. Ditto for Denver, and do they just steamroll the already hapless Chiefs by 21+?
Just wondering?
Please discuss.
Please forgive me if this has come up.
We have 3 teams vying for the top 3 spots in the AFC.
Houston: Win and you're the 1.
Denver: Win and you're the 2.
New England. Win, and Hou/Den loses, you're the 1.
Win, and one loses, you're the 2, Denver's the 1.
There are many more scenarios.
However:
I am seeing:
Houston -6.5 At Indy.
Indy...Nothing to play for. But...Young team, and Pagano will be back. Not that they won't want to rest players, but think they may play more motivated than a team that knows where they stand...
But I digress.
I also see, Den -16 and NE -10.
These 2 games occur at 4:25.
If Houston wins:
Pats need Den to lose to move to the #2, and Den would take the 1. However, you can sure as <bleep> know that the Patriots brass will most certainly concede the game, get their guys some reps, and call it a day. On the other hand, Miami needs to treat this like game 1 of the 2013 tilt.
There will be scoreboard watching..
If Houston loses:
NE plays everyone, and tries to blow doors off en route to a 1/2 seed, and get some momentum back from that lackluster showing last week in Jacksonville.
Question is:
Do we have value in Miami +10. If Houston wins, I'd expect the line to shoot to NE -3. There's a nice hedge opportunity there. If Houston wins, what does Denver do also? Pour it on, or get a bigger lead, and let it ride. 16 pts is a lot, and certainly can leave the 14 pt backdoor loss open as well.
If Houston loses:
Pats now may move up to 13.5, and then do we have value currently with NE-10. Ditto for Denver, and do they just steamroll the already hapless Chiefs by 21+?
Just wondering?
Please discuss.
