all the college baskerts experts agree

[bulldog]

today listened to all the college basketball experts on their handicapping and also talk shows and everyone of them said ucla wins by 33 to 50 points. they did not thing the loss of the 3 players would have an effect on the game as they were not starters. also central arkansas lost by 41 to baylor and also by 48 to lake of the ozarks (may need to watch this team). with 15 minutes to game in the game they have a 3 point lead over ucla who was -27 for the game.

I took ucla and it is another loser as this will put me at 6 wins and 39 losses for the 2017 college baskets season. lose 18 of the 39 loses by 1/2 to 2.5 points . they say it will even out and it needs to start soon as will be getting medicare next month and for the past 40 years it gets worse every year, so probably do not have much time left to catch up.

had to redeposit 7 time since college baskests started as have been bad in NBA, college football, nfl also. would love to try to make it to December without another deposit but do not see it happening as so far since football started 29 deposits and no payouts, and the week of Thanksgiving have lost every year since 1981.

will keep on playing hoping for a turnaround.

 

[IE]

Scale down your unit size
This idea should seem straight forward and logical however you?d be surprised at how many recreational bettors don?t even consider this possibility. I understand the thought process; ?my unit is $50 and if I scale back to $25 and suddenly get hot it will take me twice as long to recoup my losses.? It?s funny how a gambler?s brain works because while this can be true the other potential scenario is that when a losing skid persists you?ll be damn glad you took your foot off the gas. Kelly Criterion is a concept every bettor should understand as well helpful in determining an optimal size of a series of bets although I?m realistic when it comes to employing Kelly to the letter of the law. Most casual gamblers don?t have a clearly defined bankroll so reassessing correct stake factor on a daily basis can be a challenge. Besides, good luck calling in a bet for $23.26 instead of $25 if you still use an old fashioned bookmaker. When winners start to come in that?s when it?s time to take the bet size back to your normal levels . I don?t care how long you?ve been in this business every bettor goes through rough patches and maintaining sound money management during these stretches allows you to stay in the game longer.

Cut back on volume
I?m a low volume player to begin with so cutting back my bets during a cold spell becomes quite a challenge. Through March 4th I?d made a grand total of 173 bets this calendar year, an average of less than 3 per day. Some folks I know in this business will make 173 bets in a calendar week and win long term proving there?s multiple ways to skin a cat. When things are rough I make even fewer bets, trying to isolate only the wagers that would normally be 2 unit plays in my typical betting structure. There will be people out there (and some reading this article) that ascribe the only way to get out of a betting slump is to bet your way through it but that?s dangerous for those with limited financial means. Don?t be afraid to scale back when reads aren?t clicking. Remember, there?s always another full slate of games tomorrow worth a share of your wagering wallet.

It?s ok to take a day or days off
Most of you reading this article aren?t professionals. You have a wife or girlfriend, family, a job (I hope), or school to worry about first and foremost. Rather than press or chase losses take a mental health day to regain your wits. I know this will be revolutionary analysis but there?s more to life than just finding winners. Too many times people treat a day off like the bane of their existence. Don?t be that junkie requiring a daily action fix; you?ll be pleasantly surprised how even 24 hours without sweating a game can leave you refreshed and refocused to dive back into things with renewed vigor.

Don?t beat yourself up for passing winners
Guess what, there are an abundance of games to bet across all sports each week. I?m pretty sure each of those lined contests will have a winner or loser. Crossing a lean off your card is always a challenge and I?m well aware it stings when a game you pass on wins while the one you bet doesn?t. Facts are facts; this won?t just happen to you once, twice, or 100 times if you keep at this hobby for any length of time. Instead of getting angry go back and review the games you passed trying to figure out what about them scared you off in the 23rd hour. Honestly the irony in this is we only seem to remember winning leans we passed, not the horrific 20 point landmines we were able to sidestep thanks to a more conservative approach.

--Todd (formerly of Ceasers)

 

[smax]

Good stuff I E opcorn2

I kept this same sheet on my desk for an entire season some years ago. It helped me. I have days I work 10-14 hours and don't always get to do any home work or even get home to look at lines. I am old and don't use a smart phone so no access meant no bets. My wife wanted to get a smart phone for me for my birthday. I told her NO. I do not need or want any additional distractions when I am working. I would be checking scores or lines if I had that in my pocket. I take a day or 3 off from time to time and YES, it is refreshing. I have picked games I would play and did not. I then sat and waited for results to see how in tune I was.

The other side of this is "human error by everyone". Coaches will make stupid moves. Kids will make blunders. Refs will make bad calls. And you will make bad choices. My mantra has always been: the 3 great mind fucks in life are golf, girls and gambling. You will never master any of them. Just try to enjoy the ride.

 

[3 putt pete]

Good stuff I E opcorn2

My mantra has always been: the 3 great mind fucks in life are golf, girls and gambling. You will never master any of them. Just try to enjoy the ride.

Words to live by right there. :0074

 

[boilermaker]

Words to live by right there. :0074

The 2 Gs and a G-string.