Angels/Giants postseason & Game 4 analysis

gecko

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The #'s say it all:


IN THE POSTSEASON, ANAHEIM HAS THUS FAR BEEN PLAYING BETTER BALL THAN SAN FRANCISCO.

Only 2 Angels batters with 10 or more at bats have a less than .300 batting avg and less than .350 on base pctg. Conversely, the Giants have only 2 batters with a .300 or more batting avg and at least a .350 OBP. And only Barry Bonds can claim to be one of the two in both of those categories for SF. So what does that tell you? Bonds is leading (almost carrying) his team, while the Halos are playing like a team.

On the basepaths, Halos have been aggressive. 7 players have successfully stolen a base, San Fran only 2. Anaheim bats and baserunning have produced 26 extra base hits, while SF has 15.



IN THE WORLD SERIES through 3 games, only 2 Angels (with 5 or more at bats) are hitting less than .300, while the Giants have only 3 hitting more than .300. Halos have 9 extra base hits, SF only 1.

Most telling of SF's baserunning and getting on base woes, they have scored 18 runs while hitting 9 homers, for a 2:1 ratio! Angels have only 4 round trippers while scoring 24 runs, for a run to HR ratio of 6:1. Clearly the Halos have been better at getting runners on base and getting them home, the small ball way.....advancing runners, stealing bases, and manufacturing runs.


The Giants were able to win the NLCS not by hitting, but with pitching. St. Louis got men on base, outhit SF at PacBell, but lacked clutch hitting and couldn't get runners home. Angels in the postseason have come through with hits when it counted most.



GAME 4 PREVIEW: (no prediction)

A shakey Kirk Rueter (7.07 postseason ERA) is on the mound. Here is a starting pitcher who usually is gone by the 6th inning. Dusty might not be as confident in his middle relief having utilized it so much in the past couple of games. Rueter has only 4 K's in 14 innings this postseason. He cannot afford to go after Anaheim's hitters. Halos bats need to be disciplined and patient enough to hit the right pitches. Lackey, meanwhile, may be wise to attack everyone in the SF lineup except Bonds, and be careful with Sanders and Snow.
 

ferdville

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Hard to overlook those numbers. Much has been said about the Angels breaking games down to 6 or 7 innings then letting Rodriguez and Percival take over. Giants have scored a total of 1 run in the 7th, 8th and 9th innings of the series. That run was not the result of a rally, it was Bond's prodigious but meaningless blast off Percy. The Giant's one dimensional offense has proven no match so far. They are not generating enough baserunners to compete unless the game stays low scoring.
 

doveshack

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A note about Rueter

A note about Rueter

Rueter is a better pitcher than you think. You can't look at strike outs as an indicator when he is not a strike out pitcher. Rueter pitches to the corners, and he is good at "using his defense" to get outs. He doesn't go after hitters, he lets them come to him. The Angels attempt to tee-off verses Rueter will produce many a flyball that won't quite mack it out of the pitcher-friendly Pac Bell.

Good luck tonight.
 

gecko

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Re: A note about Rueter

Re: A note about Rueter

doveshack said:
Rueter is a better pitcher than you think. You can't look at strike outs as an indicator when he is not a strike out pitcher. Rueter pitches to the corners, and he is good at "using his defense" to get outs. He doesn't go after hitters, he lets them come to him. The Angels attempt to tee-off verses Rueter will produce many a flyball that won't quite mack it out of the pitcher-friendly Pac Bell.


Point taken. Not underestimating Woody...umm...I mean, Rueter.

The 7.07 ERA may be somewhat misleading. He got lit up in his first postseason start vs. the Braves, and smacked around in the next start at St. Louis, for a ERA of 12.37, before not giving up a run in his 3rd start vs. the Cards.

Just using his 4K's to illustrate that he doesn't have the stuff to go after the Anaheim hitters. Like you said, no doubt he will try to keep the them off-balance at the plate. But the Angels are VERY patient at the plate and do not strikeout often. They will try to look for the right pitch to hit. If history is any indication, about 60% of Rueter's pitches will be strikes and he will induce more ground balls than fly balls. Remember, these big innings that the Halos are having in the postseason aren't because of HR's, but the result of timely hitting, runners advancing, a single here, a double there.

GLTU.:)
 

gecko

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from The Sporting News

from The Sporting News

Points to consider entering Game 4
By Stan McNeal - The Sporting News


The Angels are in control after beating the Giants' best big-game pitcher, Livan Hernandez. Make that the Giants' former best big-game pitcher. Obviously, a nine-day layoff did not help Hernandez, who lost for the first time in the postseason. He threw more balls than strikes in his 3 2/3 innings. Ten of the 22 batters he faced reach base, and six of them scored. And it could have been worse: The Angels left the bases loaded in the second.

David Eckstein can swing at a first pitch. Mr. Pesky did it in the sixth inning of Game 3; he singled, of course. The Angels were up 9-4 at the time but Eckstein said his decision to not take a pitch had nothing to do with trying to move the game along so he could get out of the cold.

"It all depends on the situation," he said. "That was the second time I had faced that pitcher (Aaron Fultz) so I had a better idea up there."

For the record, Eckstein says he has swung at the first pitch in his first at-bat in the postseason. Once. "Joe Mays, second time around." Mays had made the Angels pay in beating them for taking first-pitch strikes in the opener of the ALCS, and hitting coach Mickey Hatcher told the Angels to be more aggressive the second time around. It worked. The Angels won 13-3.

What to expect in Game 4: Eckstein may go after the first pitch again. The Angels are likely to come out swinging against lefthander Kirk Rueter. He's a control pitcher who needs to get ahead in the count to be successful. The Angels will try not to let that happen.

The Angels batted around in the third and fourth innings, becoming the first team in World Series history to bat around in consecutive innings. They have batted around six times in the postseason, and have sent eight batters to the plate in an inning three other times. It's like they're a basketball team playing full-court pressure, just doing their thing the other team cracks.

"They're good," Barry Bonds says. "If you don't get ahead of 'em, they're going to put it in play. That's the bottom line. They don't have too many holes in that lineup. You figure with the pitcher hitting, we have a little bit of an advantage. But we didn't pitch well. They took advantage of our mistakes. They're a good hitting team. That's what they do."

Small ball was the topic of choice in the Angels' clubhouse again. And why not? Manager Mike Scioscia continues to push the right buttons. In both of the Angels' big innings, he put baserunners in motion and both times the end result was two more runs.

Sure, Bonds hit his third home run in three games, driving a meatball from Ramon Ortiz 435 feet to center. But the result of his previous bat was more surprising -- he swung and missed twice in a row and struck out. It was just his fifth strikeout in 57 postseason plate appearances, although he still has more homers (7) than strikeouts in the playoffs.

This is how well the Angels are going: Catcher Bengie Molina, without a hit in the first two games, reached base 5 times in Game 3 -- twice on intentional walks. Not even Darin Erstad, who had three more hits to run his postseason total to 22, could match that.

Perhaps the Giants should count their blessings. They have allowed 21 runs in the past two games despite the fact the Angels stranded 15 runners in Game 3, a World Series record.

"We keep coming up there, moving runners over, doing the right things to put ourselves in position to drive in runs," Hatcher said. "It doesn't always happen but after a while, it can take a toll on the opposing team. "
 

gecko

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It's only the top of the 5th, lotta baseball left, but I gotta admit I am very impressed with how Lackey has gotten out of those early inning jams. Rather not have them, but this rookie isn't panicking. Also, kudos to Scioscia for making the right moves.
 

gecko

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oh boy.....

oh boy.....

Lackey, you dope, when you back up home plate, you don't have to be directly behind the plate!:shrug: Poor positioning means Aurilia advances to 2nd easily.
 

vchipsliu

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Re: A note about Rueter

Re: A note about Rueter

doveshack said:
Rueter is a better pitcher than you think. You can't look at strike outs as an indicator when he is not a strike out pitcher. Rueter pitches to the corners, and he is good at "using his defense" to get outs. He doesn't go after hitters, he lets them come to him. The Angels attempt to tee-off verses Rueter will produce many a flyball that won't quite mack it out of the pitcher-friendly Pac Bell.


The result showed Rueter and the giants bullpen came through.
K-Rod returned to the earth. On road is different, and yes, he is human. He would lose after all.................................:look:
 

gecko

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Re: Re: A note about Rueter

Re: Re: A note about Rueter

gecko said:
Point taken. Not underestimating Woody...umm...I mean, Rueter...If history is any indication, about 60% of Rueter's pitches will be strikes and he will induce more ground balls than fly balls.


Well, Rueter did what we pretty much expected from him. 61% of his pitches were strikes, and he induced mostly ground balls, 13 of them. And only 3 fly balls.


Congrats to SF and Under backers. Though I gotta admit, with that many hits combined, it should've gone Over.:shrug:

Giants brought out the stick tonight. Very impressive. Tomorrow they'll face the Angels with a pitcher who does very well at home in Schmidt. Add to that, Anaheim faces a question mark with Ortiz's status in Game 6.
 
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