AntiConsensus 2003

[BobbyBlueChip]

Don't post in this forum much because I only play unranked favs over ranked and Nickelback took care of those(felt oh so sharp at the beginning of the season, towards the end, . . . not so much) but this is the time of the year that I do well by going straight anti-consenus (also works in the NCAA bowls) Taken from another site, here is the consensus as of 12:30 CST

Away/ Picks/ Pct/ Line/ Home/ Picks/ Pct
Byu 88 21.52% +4.5 Connecticut 321 78.48%
Vermont 100 30.40% +25.5 Arizona 229 69.60%
Arizona St 123 32.89% +3 Memphis 251 67.11%
Utah St 114 33.24% +16 Kansas 229 66.76%
Southern Ill 138 35.03% +4 Missouri 256 64.97%
Western Kentucky 133 35.75% +9.5 Illinois 239 64.25%
San Diego 149 43.70% +6 Stanford 192 56.30%
Tulsa 168 45.04% +2.5 Dayton 205 54.96%
Colorado St 151 45.21% +14.5 Duke 183 54.79%
Holy Cross 190 49.61% +11 Marquette 193 50.39%
So Carolina St 150 49.83% +26.5 Oklahoma 151 50.17%
Central Mich 186 51.96% +5 Creighton 172 48.04%
Eastern Wash 66 52.38% +7.5 Wyoming 60 47.62%
Wisc Milwaukee 238 54.59% +5 Notre Dame 198 45.41%
No Carolina St 232 58.15% -1.5 California 167 41.85%
Gonzaga 244 63.38% +1 Cincinnati 141 36.62%
Weber St 239 63.73% +7 Wisconsin 136 36.27%

System calls for fading any team backed by 70+%. Last year, system went 14-7 and has made a profit for three straight year. Only one :shrug: game fits the criteria this year as opposed to 8 games out of the gate last year. I have no idea what that means, but system says . . .

BYU +4.5

 

[JEFF]

Ever the contrarian...I like it .

GL Bobby.

 

[gardenweasel]

glad to see you back

glad to see you back

with the anti`s......as you know,i`ve mentioned your work on this in other discussions.....thanks for taking the time....

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 0-1

Rot Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
E Tennessee St 114 27.74% +12 Wake Forest 297 72.26%
Sam Houston 130 30.95% +19 Florida 290 69.05%
Utah 137 31.93% +4.5 Oregon 292 68.07%
23 Wagner 138 32.62% +20.5 Pittsburgh 285 67.38%
41 Purdue 152 33.12% +5 Lsu 307 66.88%
Manhattan 170 35.49% +7.5 Syracuse 309 64.51%
53 Troy St 154 35.81% +12.5 Xavier 276 64.19%
51 Nc Wilmington 165 38.11% +8 Maryland 268 61.89%
47 Indiana Purdue 161 38.42% +27.5 Kentucky 258 61.58%
25 Alabama 214 43.76% PK Indiana 275 56.24%
59 San Diego St 34 49.28% +11.5 Texas Tech 35 50.72%
43 Butler 213 49.88% +7.5 Mississippi St 214 50.12%
57 Iowa 39 51.32% +4.5 Iowa St 37 48.68%
33 Colorado 228 52.17% +3 Michigan St 209 47.83%
45 Austin Peay 204 52.31% +16 Louisville 186 47.69%
39 Nc Asheville 112 53.59% +27 Texas 97 46.41%
27 Pennsylvania 261 55.06% +3 Oklahoma St 213 44.94%
55 Boston College 60 71.43% +2 Temple 24 28.57%

Play on ETSU +12

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 1-1

Date Rot Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
Notre Dame 110 35.26% +5 Illinois 202 64.74%
Arizona St 135 47.70% +8 Kansas 148 52.30%
Gonzaga 164 48.81% +9.5 Arizona 172 51.19%
Tulsa 152 52.78% +3.5 Wisconsin 136 47.22%
Missouri 207 57.02% +4 Marquette 156 42.98%
Connecticut 188 61.84% -2.5 Stanford 116 38.16%
Central Mich 206 66.45% +10 Duke 104 33.55%

No pick at all today. 2 picks through the first round. This sux

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Rot Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
17 Oklahoma St 86 25.15% +2.5 Syracuse 256 74.85%
19 Auburn 98 32.67% +5 Wake Forest 202 67.33%
15 Indiana 67 33.33% +6.5 Pittsburgh 134 66.67%
25 Purdue 107 36.77% +7 Texas 184 63.23%
21 Michigan St 80 43.48% +5 Florida 104 56.52%
29 Utah 131 47.64% +14.5 Kentucky 144 52.36%
27 Maryland 97 50.52% -2 Xavier 95 49.48%
23 Butler 95 52.20% +7.5 Louisville 87 47.80%
31 Western Michigan 123 56.68% +1 Siena 94 43.32%

Oklahoma State +2.5

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 1-2

Date Rot Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
Marquette 169 35.96% +5 Pittsburgh 301 64.04% Detail
Duke 183 37.12% +3 Kansas 310 62.88% Detail
Wisconsin 173 41.89% +12 Kentucky 240 58.11% Detail
Notre Dame 229 49.46% +8 Arizona 234 50.54% Detail

The system had almost 20 picks by the round of 16 last eyar. Fading the 60%+ would have done well last week save for Sunday.

No Plays today

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
Auburn 99 23.02% +5 Syracuse 331 76.98%
Michigan St 174 41.93% +3.5 Maryland 241 58.07%
Butler 177 44.36% +7.5 Oklahoma 222 55.64%
Connecticut 185 44.47% +3 Texas 231 55.53%

Play on Auburn +5

Usually like to post these the night before so that line movement doesn't skew things, but the Cuse line HAS NOT MOVED

War Damn Eagle

 

[hellah10]

Good Luck

 

[S-Love]

should've could've would've?

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System 2-2

Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
Kansas 36 28.35% +2 Arizona 91 71.65%
Marquette 66 55.00% +6.5 Kentucky 54 45.00%

Play on Kansas +2

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 3-2

Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
Michigan St 90 43.90% +4.5 Texas 115 56.10%
Syracuse 99 49.75% +3 Oklahoma 100 50.25%

Lines were put up late so there's not much of a sample or a consensus. But here it is FWIW

 

[michaeljbird]

Hey Bobby, I was hoping to get a daylighter here today.Do you see it changing before gametime?BTW,how was your trip to Arkansas.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
Marquette 269 49.45% +4.5 Kansas 275 50.55%
Syracuse 274 54.04% +3 Texas 233 45.96%

Pretty tight lines or at least the bettors think so. No plays.

MJBird, didn't see your question until now. The inside of the Holiday Inn Express was beautiful, didn't see much else. Too much damn work.

 

[michaeljbird]