Any thoughts on SEATTLE THIS WEEK???

[lanbe]

I thinking about taking seattle this week in my survivor pool, just a little leary that San fran may come prepared. It was very close in the first meeting.


Please share your thoughts....

 

[Killrus]

They'll be at home this time round,,,much much easier game.

 

[edludes]

Whatever Alex Smith may become remains to be seen,but I think he will not score more than 7 against Seattle this weekend.He is still in the confused Rookie state and will not be as prepared as McMahon or Detmer for what hes going to get Sunday.Seattles D is a lot better than Arizonas,and he's on the road.I look for a building of momentum,not a letdown after monday nights performance.Seattle under under 43,35-7 range.GL either way

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Just my 2 cents, but I would be careful with Seattle this week. I certainly wouldn't recommend playing SF, but Seattle could easily sleepwalk through this one. I've been waiting weeks for them to have a letdown and it hasn't happened yet. After blowing out Philly on MNF and knowing that they have a terrible team coming into Seattle, I can easily see them lacking focus and playing poorly. Also, they are now without Herndon AND Andre Dyson at CB. It may not matter much given that Alex Smith hasn't exactly torn it up, but I would expect Brandon Lloyd to have a monster day on Sunday. I think Seattle will win, but I certainly wouldn't want to bank on them winning by 17. And by the way, I live in Seattle and I'm a Seahawks fan. Just my thoughts...

 

[edludes]

They failed to cover for the two weeks before MNF,thats sleep walking,one of those games was a close one to SF.Don't look for it to happen twice.Seattle can smell the HF adv.Alex Smith did not play in the first one.He is still learning and will be inept.

 

[MrChristo]

Seattle -10 in the first half....and second half under any number they can post!

Agree with edludes...Smith on the road = Bollinger on the road. They might sneak 3 if they're lucky.

Dorsey scoring a heap in the first meeting gives Seattle some extra value in this one, I think anyway.

 

[IX_Bender]

If you still have Seattle in your 'survivor pool' at this stage in the season, why would you not use them?

Saving them for one of their road games back east or perhaps you should use them in the Indianapolis game? That would be bold. Sheesh, theyre 17 point chalk AT HOME. How many 17 pt spreads have we seen the entire year? One... two maybe.

Its not like they have to cover, they just have to win.
This post reminds me of Richard Dawson and Family Feud where all the relatives are saying "Good answer, good answer..."

Ya think?

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

My bad...

My bad...

I thought you were asking about a cover, not a straight up win. The Seahawks should definitely win this game. As for the cover goes though, I think there are a lot more games on the card that look better than taking the Seahawks by 16 or 16.5. They may very well go out and win this game by 28 points. That's a definite possibility. All I know is I watch this team every week. At some point between now and the end of the season they will have a letdown. I don't think they are quite as good as their record may indicate and I just don't see them keeping up this torrid pace all the way through week 17. I hope I'm wrong, but I definitely expect a clunker soon.

 

[edludes]

GQ-You are underlining the difference between the way a fan and a handicapper looks at the Seahawks pre Monday hight performance.To the handicapper,Seattle didn't cover the two games heading into last monday night,hence they played BELOW expectations.By saying you expect a clunker soon,means youre more than happy with those wins on the scoreboard,you could care less about the spread,which is ok,but a handicapper doesn't look at those last two wins before monday night as asskickin' great seahawk victorys like you do:they were non covers,off performances.Now as it happens,I was playing the NYGiants in the last game in Seattle,I expected the Ants to cover.I expect them to build on MNF performance with another focused effort,not unfocused like their last home game was.Seattle is going to score about 30-31 points in this next one,and if alex Smith leads the 49ers to more than 7,it'll be a surprise to me.I've been wrong plenty of times before,but the point is I think they'll get better from hereon,not worse.GL

 

[snoozer]

check out this thread, it should help you out a lot.

http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?t=202714&page=4

There are a few questions that need to be answers. Here is how I decide who I am using

1) What are the top 5 spreads out there
2) Who have I already used of those top 5
3) Who is playing at home
4) of those 5, which are quality contenders... for example 2 weeks ago Oakland was favored by 10 over miami. Seems like a lock, but Oak has not looked good all year and is not playing for anything. Why take them when there are better teams out there
5) I stay away from Sunday and Monday night games, as those bring ou the best in teams.
6) I stay away from rivalires also

I am taking Seattle this weekend, If I lose I will not feel bad... I think ATL is a solid pick also, but like I said, it depends on who you have/have not used. If you do not take seattle this weekend, you probably will not use them the rest of the year. They are playing for HMA, so I do not think they will overlook SF. especially because they placed them close last time

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Edludes,

You're completely right. I was probably looking at this more from a 'my team' angle than a handicapping angle. It's just that I've been following this team since the late 70's, so by now I pretty much expect them to fold in the pressure. That's pretty much always been their M.O. Having said that, I VERY rarely bet on or against the Seahawks. I don't want to let emotion get in the way of trying to handicap games. As for the last two games, I certainly didn't think they were impressive at all. They could have lost them both. But, to be honest, I completely expected them to play a close game at SF. They rarely blow teams out on the road, even bad teams. That MNF game was a rarety. And that goes back to what I was saying before... I've watched this team for so long that I think I have a pretty good feel for how they will play. While I don't think it's smart to "bet like a fan," I do think knowing how your team typically plays in certain situations can prove to be beneficial. I'm not saying it should be the ONLY factor in handicapping a game, obviously, but I think it can help.

I appreciate the comments. I really do. While I wasn't, and am not, going to play this game, I was definitely looking at it from the wrong perspective. You know your stuff and I'm sure you've been at this a lot longer than I have. There are many handicappers on this site that I can learn a lot from. That's the main reason I joined. Thanks again and gl with your picks.

 

[DerekNJND]

Just my 2 cents, but I would be careful with Seattle this week. I certainly wouldn't recommend playing SF, but Seattle could easily sleepwalk through this one. I've been waiting weeks for them to have a letdown and it hasn't happened yet. After blowing out Philly on MNF and knowing that they have a terrible team coming into Seattle, I can easily see them lacking focus and playing poorly. Also, they are now without Herndon AND Andre Dyson at CB. It may not matter much given that Alex Smith hasn't exactly torn it up, but I would expect Brandon Lloyd to have a monster day on Sunday. I think Seattle will win, but I certainly wouldn't want to bank on them winning by 17. And by the way, I live in Seattle and I'm a Seahawks fan. Just my thoughts...

Smith played decently last weekend against a better defense. I think the OVER is a great play in this game. Oddsmakers arent giving the hawks offense the respect it deserves yet. They expect them to win by 17, but dont expect the game to go over 43?? I think San Fran gets at least 2 TDs and could turn this into a shootout. 38-14 Seattle