28th: 1-2 -1
YTD: 39-31-2 +2.5 (20-23 ML, 7-3 RL, 12-5-2 totals)
comments: Angels pen looked real good in series vs Yanks (bummer for me); 3-day losing streak, here, sorta killing what was shaping up to be a very sweet April
avoided:
--mets +105 (they have a shot here, as Seo looked good vs Nationals in his first (and only) start; wanted at least +115 to go vs Livan here (who wasn't that bad in his last @Shea (3 er over 7 IP in an 11-4 Nats win)))
--marlins (woulda liked it better with very hot Willis going; Marlins hit lefties great early last season, not so great later on; Wolf has not impressed this year as his 6.38 era and baa .330 attest, though he has had his 2 best starts at home (3.86 but baa still .315; 1 bb vs 11 k in 14 IP at home))
--cards (+105 is always tempting on the cards, especially w/Mulder, but game looks like a coin-toss w/Chipper maybe returning to lineup)
--cubs@'stros u7.5 (this ballpark has not played the high totals like it should; Maddux can be hit, especially if with an unfavourable ump, and Astros are due to maybe, gee, score a run or two for Rocket)
--Padres (too pricey at -175; Peavy is as hot as you can be (save maybe for Rocket), but Webb has been very sharp, too; D'Backs are cookin' lately in general)
--same, under 7 (the -130 is a turn off here; D'Backs likely to get 2 or 3, so a Pads win would likely mean an over)
--Dodgers (dreamin' about -140 (-170?!); Perez rocked in his last, @Coors, and has a losing record vs (5-6, 3.88 era))
--jays +160 (tempting the way Yanks hit vs Angels, but they're due to score more than a single run in a game, and going vs the Unit can be wallet-threatening)
--Indians (as much as I dislike going vs Greinke, so far in his young career, Sabathia has been great in his first 2 (and just signed a contract extension); price is high (at -175) for slumping Indians, even vs lowly Royals)
--Orioles (-200 is ouch-city; I woulda considered as high as -150, but Nomo has had 2 good starts among his 4, and is 3-1 w/2.93 era in 7 starts vs O's; Canadian Bedard has been rock-solid in 3 of his starts, totally useless in his other (April 18th, home to Detroit))
--bosox@Rangers ov 11 (tempting, as I think the Rangers can hit Wakefield (he's 6-11 w/6.01 era vs Texas), but Park can occassionally surprise, and Wakefield's 1.75 era makes for a scary over proposition, especially on a number so high)
--mariners (I'm still unsure what to make of opposing Haren, and Sele has been erratic; I'm thinking the better offense and Sele's experience may win the day here; might be a late addition--I have until 10 pm est Friday, after all)
flash in a back
YTD: 39-31-2 +2.5 (20-23 ML, 7-3 RL, 12-5-2 totals)
comments: Angels pen looked real good in series vs Yanks (bummer for me); 3-day losing streak, here, sorta killing what was shaping up to be a very sweet April
avoided:
--mets +105 (they have a shot here, as Seo looked good vs Nationals in his first (and only) start; wanted at least +115 to go vs Livan here (who wasn't that bad in his last @Shea (3 er over 7 IP in an 11-4 Nats win)))
--marlins (woulda liked it better with very hot Willis going; Marlins hit lefties great early last season, not so great later on; Wolf has not impressed this year as his 6.38 era and baa .330 attest, though he has had his 2 best starts at home (3.86 but baa still .315; 1 bb vs 11 k in 14 IP at home))
--cards (+105 is always tempting on the cards, especially w/Mulder, but game looks like a coin-toss w/Chipper maybe returning to lineup)
--cubs@'stros u7.5 (this ballpark has not played the high totals like it should; Maddux can be hit, especially if with an unfavourable ump, and Astros are due to maybe, gee, score a run or two for Rocket)
--Padres (too pricey at -175; Peavy is as hot as you can be (save maybe for Rocket), but Webb has been very sharp, too; D'Backs are cookin' lately in general)
--same, under 7 (the -130 is a turn off here; D'Backs likely to get 2 or 3, so a Pads win would likely mean an over)
--Dodgers (dreamin' about -140 (-170?!); Perez rocked in his last, @Coors, and has a losing record vs (5-6, 3.88 era))
--jays +160 (tempting the way Yanks hit vs Angels, but they're due to score more than a single run in a game, and going vs the Unit can be wallet-threatening)
--Indians (as much as I dislike going vs Greinke, so far in his young career, Sabathia has been great in his first 2 (and just signed a contract extension); price is high (at -175) for slumping Indians, even vs lowly Royals)
--Orioles (-200 is ouch-city; I woulda considered as high as -150, but Nomo has had 2 good starts among his 4, and is 3-1 w/2.93 era in 7 starts vs O's; Canadian Bedard has been rock-solid in 3 of his starts, totally useless in his other (April 18th, home to Detroit))
--bosox@Rangers ov 11 (tempting, as I think the Rangers can hit Wakefield (he's 6-11 w/6.01 era vs Texas), but Park can occassionally surprise, and Wakefield's 1.75 era makes for a scary over proposition, especially on a number so high)
--mariners (I'm still unsure what to make of opposing Haren, and Sele has been erratic; I'm thinking the better offense and Sele's experience may win the day here; might be a late addition--I have until 10 pm est Friday, after all)
flash in a back
