I'm zeroing in on a few races. I usually don't have my bets set in stone beforehand, just general ideas regarding what I think the odds should be. Then I want to see late scratches and how the horses look on the track.
AQU-I'm a bit hesitant since they've only had one day of racing in the past week due to the weather.
2nd-looks like 4 contenders: Gail's Drive coming off the huge figure and win. I think the bounce is overrated but when a horse improves way too much, they are susceptible and this horse looks like it. His last would win here but the bounce is the key. Mike's Thunder has a much steadier line but may be hurt by a lack of speed in the race. Same with Alter Ego, who's in decent form but may be compromised by the pace. Four Alert isn't in great form but does appear to be the controlling speed. I think the key with him has been his recent inability to handle slop or mud. Back on a fast track he could be tough.
4th-looks like a two horse race between Glory to be Winloc and Masterful Harry. Of the two, I like "Glory" better.
6th-5 horses have a shot in here. I'm downgrading The Macabbee since he was claimed away from Scott Lake so that gets me down to 4. As of right now, I like the 1,2, 5 and 6. The 1 horse is coming off a little layoff and his 2 biggest numbers were at 7f so I guess I'm down to the 2,5 and 6.
8th-If none of the 3 early speed horses scratch, I'll probably go with Fifth of Hennessey. I've been waiting for him to run back.
Gulfstream:
4th-trying to beat the 7-5 morning line favorite with Impressive Soldier. 4 horses have broken their mdn from his Jan 10 race and he showed nice improvement his last with the slight drop, and finished 3rd, 7 lengths in front of 4th.
7th-looks to be between the Shuman entry, both recent claims, Wicked Will and Fast Tracker. Everything Shuman sends out must be respected, and all claims seem to move up by 5 or more lengths from their previous barn. I like Fast Tracker better than Wicked Will, and I think the turnback from 1m 70y will suit Fast Tracker
8th-a wide open NW2X for 3 YO. I will try and look for a price here. Mr. Mississippi is 10-1 in the program and certainly is a contender. Collateral Damage faced better in Kentucky last fall but has the outside post. Irrawaddy is a European import with Graded Stakes experience. Strizzi and Unbridels King both could win but I wouldn't bet at under 7-2.
AQU-I'm a bit hesitant since they've only had one day of racing in the past week due to the weather.
2nd-looks like 4 contenders: Gail's Drive coming off the huge figure and win. I think the bounce is overrated but when a horse improves way too much, they are susceptible and this horse looks like it. His last would win here but the bounce is the key. Mike's Thunder has a much steadier line but may be hurt by a lack of speed in the race. Same with Alter Ego, who's in decent form but may be compromised by the pace. Four Alert isn't in great form but does appear to be the controlling speed. I think the key with him has been his recent inability to handle slop or mud. Back on a fast track he could be tough.
4th-looks like a two horse race between Glory to be Winloc and Masterful Harry. Of the two, I like "Glory" better.
6th-5 horses have a shot in here. I'm downgrading The Macabbee since he was claimed away from Scott Lake so that gets me down to 4. As of right now, I like the 1,2, 5 and 6. The 1 horse is coming off a little layoff and his 2 biggest numbers were at 7f so I guess I'm down to the 2,5 and 6.
8th-If none of the 3 early speed horses scratch, I'll probably go with Fifth of Hennessey. I've been waiting for him to run back.
Gulfstream:
4th-trying to beat the 7-5 morning line favorite with Impressive Soldier. 4 horses have broken their mdn from his Jan 10 race and he showed nice improvement his last with the slight drop, and finished 3rd, 7 lengths in front of 4th.
7th-looks to be between the Shuman entry, both recent claims, Wicked Will and Fast Tracker. Everything Shuman sends out must be respected, and all claims seem to move up by 5 or more lengths from their previous barn. I like Fast Tracker better than Wicked Will, and I think the turnback from 1m 70y will suit Fast Tracker
8th-a wide open NW2X for 3 YO. I will try and look for a price here. Mr. Mississippi is 10-1 in the program and certainly is a contender. Collateral Damage faced better in Kentucky last fall but has the outside post. Irrawaddy is a European import with Graded Stakes experience. Strizzi and Unbridels King both could win but I wouldn't bet at under 7-2.
