As of Thursday Jan 16 11pm

[Senor Capper]

Tampa Bay 14,416
Philadelphia 66,709..........WOWSER !!!

OVER 2,503
UNDER 6,775


Tennessee 11,175
oakland 45,845...............WOWSER !!!

OVER 2,892
UNDER 2,550

I will update when I can.


SC

 

[Senor Capper]

Adding.......

Adding.......

Moneylines.......

TB 2,574
Phi 8,332

Ten 2,385
Oak 3,996

 

[SmashMouth]

No way the books get beat on both of those. Bodes well for tampa..

 

[gjn23]

No way the books get beat on both, bodes well for Titans.

Same Logic.

 

[cavy1]

WOWSER???

What happened to YIKES??

:shrug:

you wouldn't be on both favorites would you?? lol

Thanks for the info Senor

cavy1

 

[CWood97]

Wow, very hard to believe that the books would let that kind of action get so slanted in either game.

Senor, I believe you have said in past that these numbers come from one company which owns a few books OFF the strip, correct?

 

[kbyoda]

Senor,

Gotta admit that those #'s make me a little nervous w/ my bets, but it is still early. Questions:

1) What % of action is already in?
2) Do you have any idea how these #'s are ATS this season?
3) Can you update us as we get closer to kick off?

I am on both favs, and even though I am not changing my bets, it does make me scratch my head a little. The books cant get buried on both games, that is why I ask the questions above....

Shoot, I thought the action was not so one sided. Obviously the fav lines have gone up, and I did catch them early...Sunday night w// DJV, but those #'s are kinda YIKESY to me.......:shrug:

 

[Morris]

The favs getting that much action and the local lines here only moving a 1/2 pt.:shrug: I going to have to regroup and try to figure this out


Bob

 

[txag]

how do you like that guys?
who wants to be with joe pub and who wants to be with the books? not to late to change your mind guys, ive been trying to warn yall all week. cant wait to watch the games this week knowing im on the same sides as vegas

 

[Senor Capper]

Question # 3 is the only one I can answer.
YES I will update.


CWOOD yes 5 OFF Strip (1) walking distance 6 total

Alot can change between now & then.

 

[Senor Capper]

Lem Banker

Lem Banker

National Football Conference (NFC) Title Game

Tampa Bay over Philadelphia



American Football Conference (AFC) Title Game

Oakland over Tennessee



Teaser Bet
AFC over NFC

 

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Let's talk line moves upcoming. Gametime #s:

Tampa(-4.5)?

Oakland(-9)?

GL, boys.

 

[ndv12]

Senor,

What is that teaser bet? I also seen that but didn't post it, didn't know what it was.:shrug:

 

[Blazer]

I'm with the books

I'm with the books

The Titans are looking better and better, I want another point. Do you think I'll get it @ gametime?:shrug: :shrug: :shrug: :shrug:<P>
Thanks Senor for this post, I've been looking forward to it alll week.

 

[Senor Capper]

Oakland game

Oakland game

I believe will go to 9-9.5 before kickoff Sunday

Lems teaser ?
Guess he will tease the AFC with Oakland & TB. for a 3-teamer
:shrug:

 

[Redhog]

 

[Senor Capper]

Swami says.........

Swami says.........

Oakland 26-23

Philly 18-11

(1-7 in the playoffs)

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

No way the books get beat on both of those. Bodes well for tampa..

This makes no logical sense to me. Why can't that happen? The books have no control over what happens gametime. It's a total misconception that all books win in the end. They make their money from the Vig. If they were capable of winning all the time. They wouldn't need the Vig. Just my thoughts.

 

[CWood97]

Absolutely correct Smoke.

This misconception that the books want money on one side or the other in these types of events is ludicrous. In games like the NFC/AFC Championship and the Super Bowl the books take so much action they cannot afford to play a hunch. IF the books do take more action on one side of the line it is to hedge against futures bets that already have been played.

"Traps" may be set occasionally of the book has some inside info on the Marist-Canisius hoops game where they feel good about one side or the other. Why? Because there is little action on the game and they can afford the loss if they are wrong. In the NFL playoffs, the books don't take sides. They want a 50/50 split and free juice on all that action.