ASU faces more formidable FIU

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? This isn?t the same old Florida International.
No longer can opponents take FIU for granted, schedule the Golden Panthers as a homecoming patsy or consider them a cupcake on the path toward bowl eligibility. Those days have passed.
Arkansas State returns to Sun Belt Conference play this evening in the first of four league games to end the season with a much more formidable Florida International team than in years past. Kickoff at FIU stadium is 7 p.m.


The Red Wolves (4-4 overall, 2-1 Sun Belt) are most likely faced with winning out to have a shot at the SBC title and New Orleans Bowl. Florida International (3-5, 2-2) is practically out of the race for the regular season crown, but is playing competitive football and giving opponents more than they want.

?They?re back,? Arkansas State coach Steve Roberts simply put it.
It wasn?t long ago Florida International was considered the worst team in America.
The Golden Panthers started their program in 2003 and two years later made the leap to Division I-A, now known as FBS. After a surprising 5-6 season in 2005, Florida International suffered through a winless campaign in ?06 and then lost its first 11 games of ?07.
In all, FIU had the nation?s longest losing streak of 23 straight before ending last year with a victory over North Texas. Something has happened since then, though, and the program appears to be turning around.

FIU coach Mario Cristobal, now in his second year, has injected a new enthusiasm for Golden Panther football. After winning just one game in two years, Florida International has already won three this season, including victories at Toledo, at North Texas and against Middle Tennessee State.
?It?s not a secret this is a huge week for us going to play at Florida International,? Roberts said. ?They?re a team that?s much improved over the last couple of years.?

Roberts believes the fertile recruiting grounds of Florida and Cristobal?s passion have given a jolt to FIU. The results are more competitive games, and victories instead of losses.
ASU outscored FIU 97-30 the first two times they met, but needed a last-second field goal to beat the Golden Panthers 27-24 last year. Roberts said it was a sign of where FIU football is headed.
?When you look at the athletes that they have within a 60-mile radius of their campus, it?s unbelievable,? Roberts said. ?It?s just getting those guys there and believing in what they?re trying to accomplish. You see them and Coach Cristobal being able to do that now.?

ASU senior tackle Matt Mandich played in each of ASU?s first three meetings with the Golden Panthers.
While all three were victories, each outcome has grown closer in margin since the 66-24 blowout in 2005. Mandich has watched the FIU program grow and knows Arkansas State cannot take the Golden Panthers lightly.
?They?ve built it up,? Mandich said. ?I think it?s taken a couple of recruiting cycles to get the personnel that you need in there to help your team, and this is the best team they?ve had since I?ve played them.?
Senior linebacker Ben Owens has seen the same thing.
?We know we can?t take them lightly,? Owens said. ?They?re a very dangerous football team. We can?t go in there thinking they?re going to roll over just because we?re an established football team and they?re not.?


Arkansas State started the season 3-1 but has lost three of its last four games.
The Red Wolves suffered a devastating defeat at Louisiana-Lafayette a couple of weeks ago in which the Ragin? Cajuns scored twice late in the fourth quarter to hand ASU a 28-23 loss. The defeat puts Arkansas State in almost a must-win situation the rest of the season if it wants a shot at the Sun Belt title and the New Orleans Bowl.
ASU quarterback Corey Leonard said the Red Wolves have their backs against the wall.
?That was a tough loss, and it really hurt because we know what benefit we had and we just let it go,? Leonard said. ?But now we don?t have to wonder. We have to win every game. There is no choice, there are no what-ifs. We?ve got to win out if we want to be champions of this league.?
Florida International has altered its offensive approach slightly, going to the air more than before. FIU quarterback Paul McCall has thrown for 1,080 yards and eight touchdowns, completing 51 percent of his attempts.
McCall?s favorite target is T.Y. Hilton, a wide receiver and specialist. Hilton leads the Golden Panthers with 21 receptions for 578 yards, an average of 28 yards a catch, along with four touchdowns. He?s also one of the nation?s top punt return specialists with over 16 yards a return.
Roberts said Hilton may be FIU?s most dangerous weapon.
?(He has) great speed,? Roberts said. ?Tremendous athlete. Great with the ball in his hands, has good vision, doesn?t do a lot of dancing, gets up field, a very good player. He has literally ripped some people.?
McCall has been sacked 21 times this season and also thrown eight interceptions. Troy?s defense sacked the FIU quarterback seven times in a 33-23 victory at Troy.


Roberts wants to put pressure on McCall and hope the junior quarterback makes a mistake or gets overwhelmed.
?Hopefully we can get there with the front four. That?s the goal,? Roberts said. ?If you can get pressure with the front four, obviously that allows you to extend your coverage a little bit and be a little more aggressive in your coverage. But, yeah, as always we will have a gameplan that encompasses 4-man pressure, 5-man, 6-man, zone pressures, the whole bit.?


After several quiet games in a row, Arkansas State running back Reggie Arnold bulled his way for 72 yards on 15 carries against Alabama last week. The Crimson Tide has the No. 2-ranked defense in the nation, but Arnold was able to power his way for one of the best individual efforts of the season against the Tide.

Roberts hopes to see more from Arnold against FIU today as well as redshirt freshman tailback Derek Lawson. Arnold leads Arkansas State and is ranked third in the Sun Belt with 627 yards rushing this season.
?Defensively they have speed everywhere,? Roberts said. ?They show you a lot of variable looks, some things that we have not seen since this time last year. We have got to get a body on a body and start moving some piles and hopefully be able to establish our running game.?
 

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Analysis: ASU should pick up rare road win

BY MATTHEW V. ROBERSON
JONESBORO SUN STAFF WRITER

MIAMI ? It?s time for Arkansas State to put up or shut up. And do it on the road.
For years Arkansas State has been the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of the Sun Belt Conference. Since ASU coach Steve Roberts arrived in 2002, the Red Wolves have been brilliant on their home turf almost every season, then a bust when they take their show on the road.

Arkansas State is 35-45 overall in the 6-plus seasons during Roberts? tenure, including 4-4 this year. At ASU Stadium, the Red Wolves have been a salty 25-9, but when their travels take them outside of the state things don?t turn out so well.
ASU is 9-33 on the road under Roberts since 2002. In other words, the Red Wolves win just 21.4 percent of the time when they don?t play in their own facility.
But wait, it doesn?t stop there. There?s more.
Arkansas State is also 1-2 in games played at Little Rock and 0-1 on a neutral field, which was the New Orleans Bowl, during the same time period.
In Sun Belt Conference play it?s almost the same scenario. ASU is 16-6 (.727) at home in Sun Belt games but only 5-18 (.217) on the road.


So what?s the deal? Why is Arkansas State so good at home and so bad on the road?
The winning part is easy to figure. Most teams just play better at home like ASU. And the Red Wolves definitely feed off their fans, who support in large numbers and are probably as vocal as any other Sun Belt school excluding Louisiana-Lafayette.

Don?t tell anyone, but those Cajuns down in Louisiana can really get serious about their football.
On the road, there?s a number of reasons for ASU?s struggles.
Some of the losses have to do with facing schools from BCS conferences like Virginia Tech, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri and Alabama. Some have to do with travel fatigue from jet lag. Other reasons include crowd factors such as home field advantage and atmosphere.


So when it comes to this week?s opponent, Florida International, history suggests Arkansas State could run into some problems since it?s on the road. But Arkansas State?s history against FIU in particular suggests something much different.
The Red Wolves and Golden Panthers have met three times since FIU joined the Sun Belt. Arkansas State has won all three games, two of them by blowout margins of 66-24 in 2005 and 31-6 the following year in Miami.

But last season, ASU needed late heroics from placekicker Josh Arauco as it squeaked out a 27-24 victory when Arauco booted a 32-yard field goal with two seconds remaining. The Golden Panthers led at halftime, and the score was tied 24-24 with 1:31 to play before ASU drove for the winning score.

This season, Arkansas State is 1-3 on the road with losses at Memphis, Louisiana-Lafayette and Alabama. Florida International has only played twice at home so far, splitting the two games with a win over Middle Tennessee and a loss to South Florida.
But after being the doormat of the Sun Belt two of the last three years, Florida International has become much more competitive this season. FIU is 2-2 in league play with wins over North Texas and Middle Tennessee. Outside the conference, the Panthers have an impressive 35-16 win at Toledo.


Still, Arkansas State is a better team than it?s showed recently on the road in conference play despite that unbecoming record.
The Red Wolves were in command in each of their last two conference road games only to lose them in similar fashion. ASU squandered an 11-point fourth-quarter lead and lost at Florida Atlantic 34-31 at the end of last season. Just a couple weeks ago, the Red Wolves imploded late in the fourth quarter, giving up two touchdowns to lose 28-23 to Louisiana-Lafayette.
But Roberts believes this is the best football team he?s put on the field since he?s been at ASU. And there?s nothing to indicate he?s wrong.

Sure, Arkansas State let the game at ULL slip away just like it lost another at home to Southern Mississippi. And, yes, FIU has made strides to catch up to its Sun Belt mates, but Arkansas State has all the ability and talent it needs to win out on the road.


ASU?s road woes take a turn for the better tonight.
 
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