At the Gate - Wednesday

[Lumi]

I GOT THIS UP EARY FOR HARD TIMES, BUT HE IS PROBABLY DOWN AT THE UN, WAITING BLACK BAG KADDAFFY AND MAHMOUD AND GIVE THEM A DUTCH OVEN, BY FARTING IN A PILLOW CASE ANN PULLING IT OVER THEIR HEAD ! GO GET EM HT ! !

At the Gate - Wednesday


The Breeders? Cup is sneaking up, it is less than seven weeks away.



Over the next four weeks, there are 33 Breeders? Cup Challenge ?Win and You?re In? races. The winner of each of the races will earn a automatic starting berth in the corresponding Breeders? Cup Race.



The Breeders? Cup is being held this year at Santa Anita on Nov. 6-7.



Only five of the 33 Breeders? Cup Challenge will take place at Belmont Park, which has me scratching my head. There is one in Australia, three at Ascot, nine at Keeneland, even one at Calder.



There should be plenty of exciting racing over the next six weeks leading up to the two-day Breeders? Cup.


Breeders? Cup Ltd. announced on Monday that the Marathon has been moved to Friday, joining the five races restricted to females.



That means there will be a Pick 6 on Friday and Saturday encompassing the Breeders?? Cup races.



Four of the five ?Win and You?re In? races this week will be contested outside of the U.S.



Friday's Cleanevent Manikato Stakes at Moonee Valley will be the first Breeders' Cup Challenge race held in Australia.



The winner earns a starting berth to the $1 million Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.



There are three races at Ascot on Saturday that are Breeders? Cup Challenge races, and the winner of the $150,000 Gallant Bloom Handicap (G2) at Belmont Park will earn a starting berth in the Filly & Mare Sprint.



The likely favorite in the Gallant Bloom will be Indian Blessing, a two-time Eclipse Award winner. She will likely face five foes in the race: Any Limit, P.S.U. Grad, Sara Louise, Simplify, and Thunders Dove



We have a good card today at Belmont Park, with several very vulnerable favorites and a few live longshots.


Here is today's opening race from Belmont Park to get our day off to a good start:



BEL Race 1 Alw $45,000N1X (1:00 et)

#2 Soda Pop Kid 7/2

#7 Captain Rio 2/1

#1 Richmond 5/1

#4 Precious Package 5/2



Analysis: #2 Soda Pop Kid beat $50K starter allowance company last out at the Spa in the mud, the lone win the barn came up with at that meeting where the normally high % barn went 1 for 48. The gelding has moved forward nicely in two starts since coming east and going from plastic to conventional dirt. I usually don't like backing horses in first level allowance races with so many starts but this gelding should get a good pace set up here as this race is top heavy with early speed types.



#7 Captain Rio was a good second last out on the opening day of the Spa meeting. The colt tracked a sharp early pace and could not get to the gate to wire winner Saratoga Russell, who faded to finish seventh against Alw-2 foes in his next outing. In fact, nobody really came out of this guy's last race and ran well. The colt's races have been spaced out which is a cause for concern, but his last two figs are a good fit, but can't get real excited about his 2/1 ML.



Wagering

WIN: #2 to win at 5/2 or better.

EX: 2,7 / 1,2,4,7

TRI: 2,7 / 1,2,4,7 / 1,2,4,5,7



Today's Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:



BEL Race 8 OClm $50,000N2X (4:45 et)

#8 American Cruiser 3/1

#2 Perfect Casting 9/2

#1 Fateh Field / #1a Iguazu Falls 5/2

#6 Meriwether Jessica 5/1



Analysis: #8 American Cruiser is returning off a 2 1/2 month break, winning at this level last out at Philly going 5 furlongs. The gelding has won twice at today's Alw-2 condition and has a couple of wins over the Belmont Park turf. This guy has not run a bad one since the Tony D. barn claimed him for $35K last August at the Spa. The barn is 26% winners with horses coming back off a 46-90 day break.



#2 Perfect Casting is making his first start since last November for the Clement barn that is 10% winners with horses coming back off a +180 day layoff. This gelding has a pair of wins over the turf here including beating Alw-3 optional claimers here last fall. The gelding had a rough trip at Calder in his most recent start last November. The barn can have them ready to go off the bench and this looks like a good spot for his return here facing Alw-2 company.



Wagering

WIN: #8 to win at 5/2 or better.

EX: 2,8 / 1,2,6,8

TRI: 2,8 / 1,2,6,8 / 1,2,3,6,8



Live Longshots:

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.



Belmont Park

R2: #7 Kettle One 10/1

R3: #4 Pamona Ball 12/1

R4: #9 Mineswept 10/1

R4: #5 Bridge to Nowhere 10/1

R5: #3 Don?t You Linger 20/1

R6: #7 Roaring Belle 10/1

R7: #2 Has Spoken 8/1

R7: #1 Stephen?s Even 8/1



Good luck today!

 

[Lumi]

Post Experts Pick the Winners

Post Experts Pick the Winners

Post Experts Pick the Winners

 

[Lumi]

Belmont Analysis

Belmont Analysis

Belmont Analysis

Post Time: 1:00 pm. All horses appear in post position order

Today's analysis.

1. 6f; $45,000; alw; 3up

THE TRUFFLE MAN will be the main pacesetter of race and was an impressive winner while going longer two back. SODA POP KID came off the pace to win starter allowance this distance in the mud. CAPTAIN RIO has finished second in his last two starts.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Richmond(L),117 A Garcia 1-x-x McLaughlin 5-1
2 Soda Pop Kid(L),123 J Velazquez 1-2-6 Levine 7-2
3 No Questions(L),120 R Dominguez 6-1-2 Iselin 12-1
4 Precious Package(L),116 E Prado 1-3-x RDutrow 5-2
5 The Truffle Man(L),120 M Luzzi 5-1-2 Jacobson 6-1
6 All the Bases,119 C Velasquez 8-8-4 AJerkens 20-1
7 Captain Rio(L),116 K Desormeaux 2-2-4 Albertrani 2-1

2. 1 1/16m(T); $21,000; cl($16,000); 3up

QUICK TO CHARM closed to finish second as the favorite this distance in first start since January. FIRE WOOD drops in class after being pulled up at marathon distance at Saratoga. Entrymate OF ALL TIMES set the pace and tired to third as favorite. SOUTHERNMOSTPOINT drops in class off an extended layoff for new barn.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
3 Ungi Blanc(L),123 J Bermudez 4-7-9 Mena 30-1
4 Southernmostpoint(L),123 M Luzzi 1-1-3 Contessa 8-1
1 a-Fire Wood(L),123 R Dominguez 6-2-4 Levine 2-1
5 Allaboutmack(L),123 R Fuentes 3-7-8 Lostritto 50-1
6 Counting House,123 S Morales 6-5-10 Callejas 15-1
7 Kettle Two(L),123 A Garcia 9-4-7 Baker 10-1
2 b-Aly's Wheat(L),123 J Castellano 3-2-3 D'Alessandro 7-2
8 Quick to Charm(L),123 J Lezcano 2-3-1 Brown 8-5
9 Kris Angel(L),123 R Maragh 10-10-4 Sciacca 30-1
10 Gold Pageantry(L),123 J Leparoux 10-9-6 Rice 12-1
1A a-Of All Times(L),123 K Desormeaux 3-8-2 Levine 2-1
2B b-Fleet Appeal(L),123 C Velasquez 7-2-3 D'Alessandro 7-2
11 Smooth Wind(L),123 . 3-3-8 Quick 3-1

3. 1m; $65,000; 3YO; (f)Cat Chat Stakes

ACRONYM returns to route and drew rail after an impressive victory in local debut. MALIBU PRAYER finished second in graded stakes while going longer in last three starts. WAR ECHO makes first start since winning the Grade 3 Silverbulletday in February.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Acronym(L),118 A Garcia 1-1-5 Frankel 9-5
2 Devil by Design(L),118 K Desormeaux 1-4-6 Mott 6-1
3 Ain't Love Grand(L),118 C Velasquez 4-4-1 RDutrow 8-1
4 Pamona Ball(L),118 R Maragh 6-1-1 Harty 12-1
5 War Echo(L),122 S Bridgmohan 1-3-4 Asmussen 3-1
6 Malibu Prayer(L),118 J Velazquez 2-2-2 Pletcher 5-2

4. 7f; $41,000; mdn spcl wt; 2YO

MOST HAPPY FELLA stretches out after being a beaten favorite in his last two starts. FENWAY FAITHFUL drew rail after setting the pace and tiring to second in career debut. CATS KITTY set the pace and tired in career debut. Entrymate LEATHERHEAD makes dirt debut after tiring in career debut.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
3 Fenway Faithful(L),119 A Garcia 2-x-x Violette 7-5
1 a-Cats Kitty(L),119 K Desormeaux 6-x-x Bush 9-2
2 b-Fourseventeen(L),119 M Luzzi 7-x-x Galluscio 12-1
1A a-Leatherhead(L),119 M Studart 7-x-x Ubillo 9-2
4 Never Give Up(L),119 R Dominguez 8-6-x Brown 15-1
2B b-Maneti,119 M Luzzi x-x-x Galluscio 12-1
1C a-Backcountry Boy(L),119 C Velasquez 2-x-x RHernandez 9-2
5 Bridge to Nowhere,119 E Prado x-x-x Dutrow 10-1
1X a-Mine Over Matter(L),119 J Lezcano 5-8-x RHernandez 9-2
6 Thunder Chief,119 J Velazquez 5-x-x Gyarmati 12-1
7 Midnight Billy,119 J Espinoza x-x-x JOrtiz 30-1
8 Most Happy Fella(L),119 J Castellano 2-7-2 Badgett 7-2
9 Mineswept(L),119 R Maragh 3-5-x Serpe 10-1

5. 1 1/16m(T); $20,000; mdn cl($25,000); 3up

CULLINAN drops in class after a troubled trip and closing to finish fourth. WHISTLEJACKET switches to Dominguez for local debut for new barn. He tired to third in last start on grass. THE CUFF SHOOTER had the lead and tired to third going longer on grass.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Vertical Flight(L),119 J Leparoux 7-4-4 RDutrow 6-1
2 Spy Bruce(L),119 S Bridgmohan 8-x-x Brown 15-1
3 Don't You Linger(L),119 A Garcia 8-4-7 Feron 20-1
4 Really Somebody,119 R Maragh 6-5-x Callejas 15-1
5 Canardly(L),119 R Rodriguez 10-7-10 PKelly 15-1
6 Itch(L),119 E Prado 3-7-9 Lerman 15-1
7 The Cuff Shooter(L),119 J Lezcano 3-6-5 Serpe 12-1
8 Whistlejacket(L),119 R Dominguez 6-3-3 ADutrow 2-1
9 Southern Hero(L),119 J Velazquez 4-8-x Lobo 10-1
10 Cullinan(L),119 K Desormeaux 4-2-6 Mott 5-2
11 Rocco's Fantasy(L),122 E Escobar 7-6-6 Pantaleo 50-1
12 Magnificent Max(L),119 J Leparoux 3-3-6 Maker 7-2
13 Dontquityourdayjob(L),122 R Migliore 5-5-5 FMartin 10-1
14 Eddie's Point(L),119 R Fuentes 5-5-6 Lotruglio 15-1

6. 6f; $28,000; mdn cl($50,000); 2YO; (f)

AMIGA DEL SOL adds Lasix and drops in class after tiring to fourth as favorite. Entrymate ABOVE THE CALL races with Lasix for career debut. IRON PENNY drops in class after running evenly in debut. DREAM TRAIN finished third in last three starts.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
2 Adriatic Magic(L),119 J Espinoza 8-5-x Donk 12-1
3 Victorious Song,119 J Velazquez x-x-x O'Brien 15-1
4 Darlin Rose(L),119 S Bridgmohan 6-7-x Tesher 30-1
5 We Got Heat(L),119 A Garcia 4-4-x Terranova 20-1
6 Principesa Heather,119 J Lezcano x-x-x Brown 15-1
1 a-Amiga Del Sol,119 E Coa 4-2-x Kimmel 9-5
7 Roaring Belle,119 J Castellano x-x-x Badgett 10-1
1A a-Above the Call,119 C Velasquez x-x-x RHernandez 9-5
8 Dream Train,119 J Leparoux 3-3-3 AJerkens 6-1
9 Catchapenny K.,119 J Samyn x-x-x Sedlacek 20-1
10 Classy Jet,119 R Dominguez x-x-x Contessa 6-1
11 Guilty Choice(L),119 R Fuentes 6-x-x Ritvo 30-1
12 Iron Penny(L),119 R Maragh 7-x-x Hough 5-1

7. 6f; $16,000; cl($10,000); 3up; (f&m)

HAS SQUOKEN drops to lowest claiming level of career and goes turf to dirt. AKONITE drops in class after tiring badly at Saratoga while going longer. BIKINI switches to Dominguez after tiring badly in first start for new barn.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Stephen's Even,117 E Prado 3-4-4 Lostritto 8-1
2 Has Squoken(L),121 J Chavez 10-6-1 Contessa 8-1
3 Lakecat,110 J Medina 9-x-x AJerkens 15-1
4 Royal Vessel(L),117 J Castellano 6-4-6 FMartin 10-1
5 Green Harbor(L),117 J Espinoza 6-5-10 Ronen 12-1
6 Akonite(L),117 K Castillo 7-1-4 Iadisernia 5-2
7 Approved by Mom(L),121 R Rodriguez 8-7-5 Persaud 20-1
8 Bikini(L),117 R Dominguez 9-2-4 Parisella 2-1
9 Kanwicat(L),121 R Fuentes 3-6-6 Gyarmati 12-1
10 Wonsome(L),119 M Studart 6-8-1 Metivier 20-1

8. 7f(T); $47,000; alw opt clm; 3up

STARFORADAY shows a good work after coming off the pace to win his last two starts. MERIWETHER JESSICA faces the boys after finishing second by a length while going longer. FATEH FIELD won last Thursday but was then disqualified for being on the vets list. Entrymate IGUAZU FALLS finished second this distance and level in US debut.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 a-Fateh Field(L),120 J Samyn 9-2-2 bin Suroor 5-2
3 Excess Capital(L),120 E Coa 7-3-3 Hennig 12-1
4 Mucho Macho(L),120 J Espinoza 4-7-3 JJerkens 15-1
5 Sargent Seattle(L),120 J Castellano 6-1-3 Hough 15-1
6 Meriwether Jessica(L),117 A Garcia 2-9-2 Rice 5-1
7 Richland Creek(L),120 J Leparoux 1-5-5 Brown 15-1
8 American Cruiser(L),120 R Dominguez 1-4-1 ADutrow 3-1
9 Le Grand Cru(L),120 J Lezcano 4-4-1 AJerkens 10-1
2 b-Perfect Casting(L),120 R Maragh 3-3-1 Clement 9-2
1A a-Iguazu Falls(L),120 K Desormeaux 2-15-12 bin Suroor 5-2
2B b-Flint River(L),120 . 5-1-3 Clement 9-2
10 Starforaday(L),120 . 1-1-4 Contessa 5-2
11 Bb Livermore(L),120 . 4-7-9 Parboo 20-1
12 Sneaky Girl(L),117 . 2-5-2 Jacobson 12-1

9. 6f(T); $19,000; mdn cl($25,000); 3up; (f&m)

NOSTALGIC drops in class for local and turf debut after tiring to second going longer at Arlington. AMBER'S EDGE had the lead and tired to third at this distance. SIREN'S CALL races with Lasix for career debut. LOFTY finished second by head in turf debut.

PN Horse Wt. Jockey Last 3 Trainer Odds
1 Casing Gold(L),119 M Studart 10-6-7 Iselin 50-1
2 Stormie Gray(L),119 C Velasquez 2-10-5 Sciacca 8-1
3 Nostalgic(L),119 R Maragh 2-6-x Clement 2-1
4 Galaxy Love(L),119 R Rodriguez 10-6-x Schettino 20-1
5 Lofty(L),119 J Castellano 2-5-5 AJerkens 3-1
6 Cute Z Gaitor(L),115 A Serpa 7-9-4 Rowan 50-1
7 Serela's Song(L),119 J Espinoza 3-5-3 Hough 6-1
8 Split Second(L),119 J Velazquez 11-6-6 Donk 15-1
9 Vortices(L),119 R Fuentes 5-9-8 Toscano 50-1
10 Pleasant Sister(L),119 J Lezcano 6-10-4 Barbara 20-1
11 Amber's Edge(L),119 M Luzzi 3-2-3 Contessa 4-1
12 Rosary Beads(L),115 J Medina 11-x-x Shevy 50-1
13 Rosalba Yankee(L),119 K Desormeaux 4-x-x Iadisernia 4-1
14 Why Because(L),119 . 5-6-11 D'Alessandro 15-1
15 Purses and Shoes(L),119 . 8-9-2 Tesher 12-1
16 Siren's Call,119 J Lezcano x-x-x Brown 3-1

 

[Hard Times]

illuminati

illuminati

THANKS !!!!! ... also I gave you another place to go and do your copy and paste thing..... nyra... new york racing association, belmonts home page... click on to handicapping and you will get dave litfin, post his picks, this way we will be a complete one stop store, thanks again !!

 

[Lumi]

Track: Belmont Park SELECT NEW CARD


Printable Version




By Dave Litfin

BEST BET: Fenway Faithful (4th race)


First Race


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1. Captain Rio 2. Precious Package 3. Richmond

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CAPTAIN RIO has run three races on fast tracks, and has recorded a Beyer of 90-98 each time; sharp move into torrid pace first race without the early lead at Saratoga. PRECIOUS PACKAGE has been away well over a year since good-figure maiden win as a juvenile; breezing regularly. RICHMOND steps up after front-running debut win at Monmouth Park, a race from which fourth and fifth finishers returned to win; pace factor with THE TRUFFLE MAN and top pick.

Second Race


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1. Kettle Two 2. Fire Wood 3. Aly's Wheat

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KETTLE TWO has been idle nearly seven weeks, which may be a positive sign in view of two good efforts when similarly fresh last year, including a win on this course with Alan Garcia aboard; dropdown packs solid late kick when right. FIRE WOOD is a tough read after being eased in two-miler as the favorite; fairly consistent up to that point on a variety of footing, though overall record is top-heavy with second-place finishes. ALY'S WHEAT found best stride late when edged for runner-up spot by QUICK TO CHARM at the Spa; handles wet dirt.

Third Race


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1. Malibu Prayer 2. Acronym 3. War Echo

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MALIBU PRAYER has been knocking heads with the best of her division since a pair of blowout victories in maiden and N1x ranks; ideally drawn for stalking trip just off AIN'T LOVE GRAND. Any kind of contested pace will help ACRONYM, who overcame a slow start to win going away first time on dirt; aggressively spotted. WAR ECHO was impressive visually and against the clock winning Silverbulletday, with two-time graded stakes winner Just Jenda well back in third; purposeful work tab for comeback.

Fourth Race


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1. Fenway Faithful 2. Backcountry Boy 3. Most Happy Fella

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FENWAY FAITHFUL sprinted clear (and over to a deep rail), and dug in gamely through long drive while brushing with the winner in debut at 8-5; three works since then include a bullet half-mile. BACKCOUNTRY BOY was a clear second on a sealed muddy track first out, and has also followed with a trio of works; entrymate CATS KITTY was within two lengths of the top pick before backing off in bow. MOST HAPPY FELLA, a twice-beaten favorite upstate, recorded his best figure on this track first time out vs. a heavily bet General Maximus.

Fifth Race


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1. Magnificent Max 2. Whistlejacket 3. Cullinan

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MAGNIFICENT MAX was far back early and made up considerable ground in first turf route vs. Whirling Thunder, who wired the field as the favorite; rates edge if able to draw in from also-eligible list. WHISTLEJACKET probably rates benefit of the doubt for no-show performance in off-the-turfer last out, has previously shown the ability to bounce back from a subpar race; had stretch leads both July grass starts. CULLINAN was rated in traffic off a slow pace, circled five wide and rallied mildly as the choice last out; good try from similar outside post initial maiden-claiming attempt.

Sixth Race


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1. Amiga Del Sol 2. Iron Penny 3. Roaring Belle

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AMIGA DEL SOL held determinedly to wind up a close second in debut on this track; freshened since chasing front-end winner as part of odds-on entry, Lasix on. IRON PENNY never got close to debut winner Lovely Lil first out, but gained several lengths on the first flight as the winner drew away final quarter mile; factor this level. ROARING BELLE is a half-sister to four multiple winners, notably One Tough Belle, a $246K earner and multiple allowance winner on this circuit.

Seventh Race


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1. Bikini 2. Green Harbor 3. Stephen's Even

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BIKINI hasn't been on a fast track since May 16 sprint at Delaware Park vs. Indycency, who came back to win her next two starts; picks up Dominguez, might sit a trip just off KANWICAT and GREEN HARBOR. The latter dueled with favored winner in the mud last out, and two back dueled with Lion's Terms, who is 3 for 3 on fast tracks; second best all three dirt starts at the spring-summer meet, the last vs. Hot and Bothered, who has since won N3L claimer and N1x allowance. STEPHEN'S EVEN turns back from a route and figures to be picking up rivals late second time back from a freshening.

Eighth Race


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1. Starforaday 2. Iguazu Falls 3. Perfect Casting

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If rain forces a switch to dirt, STARFORADAY was sharp winning two in a row with last-to-first rallies at Saratoga; three starts on fast and wet tracks at Belmont resulted in Beyers of 97-98-95 last year. On turf, IGUAZU FALLS went well in U.S. debut July 8 chasing loose-on-lead Papa Bear this course and distance; fresh Godolphin horses have been running lights out for the past two months. PERFECT CASTING has been sidelined nearly 10 months since troubled trip vs. Vanquisher, who returned to win his next two starts including a $75K stake; won on this course off a 5 1/2-month absence last year. AMERICAN CRUISER has won four of last six (with three different riders) on firm, good and yielding turf.

Ninth Race


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1. Rosalba Yankee 2. Serela's Song 3. Amber's Edge

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If Wednesday's nightcap is switched to dirt, ROSALBA YANKEE drops 50% in price off a respectable fourth-place finish in the mud here back in early June; won't be 49-1 vs. these. On turf, SERELA'S SONG has turned in three improved races since switched to grass, beginning with a fast heat on very firm ground over this course; drops to new low. AMBER'S EDGE also goes vs. $25K maidens for first time; freshened since four straight in-the-money finishes on turf and Tapeta. STORMIE GRAY just missed at 24-1 first time back from a 57-day layoff; down in class and distance.

 

[Hard Times]

illuminati

illuminati

If I could buy you a beer or a Fifth or a half gallon of your favorite, I surely would, this is good stuff on the horses... I'll need you to post all info on Turfway on Friday and Saturday,if possible, especially SATURDAY. Get to looking and find the inside dope on Turfway, thanks !
I see at this very moment that your pal Khaddafy is giving his speech... Did you write this speech for him .You said that you where a libertarian, this means that you are from Libya , RIGHT ??:mj07: :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

 

[Lumi]

No,

I believe in the Freedom for all Librarians to carry sharp objects