Auto Club 500 California

Looselugs

Looselugs

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The only way to correctly cap this race is to combine info from California and Michigan.These two tracks are as about as equal as any two tracks can get.I know this cause toast told me so last year.

Biffle,Edwards, Kenseth and Kyle Busch in that order, are all solid plays.

Some early picks that are worth a look is

Jamie McMurray 14-1 finished 4th and 8th here last year in the 42.
Now driving the 26 which is a much better drive.

Brian Vickers 18-1 Hendricks car finished 3 here in the fall.This race was run at night and was over 3 mph slower than in the spring.

another one is Bobby Labonte 50-1 he`s finished 2nd here twice and I think he`s got the right crew to possibly make it happen.The Dodge may have some issues with down force.

I don`t expect the line to move much if any on any of these drivers and will wait until I can see some practice speeds.

By the way if you looking at the fall Michigan race don`t forget that Mayfield and Riggs finished 1st and 2nd on a gas issue.
 
Looselugs

Looselugs

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Trying a small parley here in qualifying

Kenseth over Earnhardt Jr
Newman over Nemecheck
Elliott Sadler over Stewart
Kahne over Mayfield odds 8.8 to 1

Holding back on a win bet as Biffle has brought a powerhouse here,won at Homestead and Michigan last year.Got to see some pratice speeds tomorrow.
 
Looselugs

Looselugs

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Dodge makes for a pretty much limited field.
Kurt Bush,Kasey Kahne and Ryan Newman after this it gets pretty stretched out.
Jermey Mayfield
Scott Riggs
David Streeme and others.
 
T

toastonastick

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just kinda thinking out loud. No plays till after practice.

Here's the vegas summary of test speeds.

1 99a Carl Edwards Ford 31.620 170.778 Day 3 AM
2 9a Kasey Kahne Dodge 31.695 170.374 Day 3 AM
3 66 Jeff Green Chevy 31.752 170.068 Day 1 AM
4 2b Kurt Busch Dodge 31.822 169.694 Day 3 PM
5 38a Elliott Sadler Ford 31.872 169.428 Day 1 AM
6 6b Mark Martin Ford 31.883 169.369 Day 1 AM
7 26b Jamie McMurray Ford 31.893 169.316 Day 2 AM
8 12a Ryan Newman Dodge 31.934 169.099 Day 3 AM
9 31x Jeff Burton Chevy 31.937 169.083 Day 1 AM
10 17a Matt Kenseth Ford 31.942 169.056 Day 3 AM
11 07a Clint Bowyer Chevy 31.964 168.940 Day 3 PM
12 42b Casey Mears Dodge 31.972 168.898 Day 3 AM
13 16b Greg Biffle Ford 32.018 168.655 Day 3 AM
14 01b Joe Nemechek Chevy 32.023 168.629 Day 3 AM
15 29a Kevin Harvick Chevy 32.030 168.592 Day 1 AM
16 10a Scott Riggs Dodge 32.054 168.466 Day 3 AM
17 8a Dale Earnhardt, Jr Chevy 32.066 168.403 Day 2 PM
18 7a Robby Gordon Chevy 32.100 168.224 Day 1 AM
19 48b Jimmie Johnson Chevy 32.116 168.140 Day 3 AM
20 88a Dale Jarrett Ford 32.118 168.130 Day 1 AM
21 41 Reed Sorenson Dodge 32.169 167.863 Day 2 AM
22 14a Sterling Marlin Chevy 32.171 167.853 Day 3 AM
23 25b Brian Vickers Chevy 32.180 167.806 Day 3 AM
24 11 Denny Hamlin Chevy 32.187 167.770 Day 3 AM
25 18 J.J. Yeley Chevy 32.198 167.712 Day 3 AM
26 21a Ken Schrader Ford 32.198 167.712 Day 3 AM
27 5b Kyle Busch Chevy 32.210 167.650 Day 3 AM
28 78a Kenny Wallace Chevy 32.256 167.411 Day 2 AM
29 20a Tony Stewart Chevy 32.278 167.297 Day 3 AM
30 4a Scott Wimmer Chevy 32.288 167.245 Day 1 PM
31 24a Jeff Gordon Chevy 32.289 167.240 Day 2 PM
32 51b Mike Garvey Chevy 32.307 167.146 Day 3 AM
33 04 Bobby Hamilton, Jr Dodge 32.331 167.022 Day 2 AM
34 22a Dave Blaney Dodge 32.336 166.997 Day 3 AM
35 45b Kyle Petty Dodge 32.370 166.821 Day 3 AM
36 1a Martin Truex, Jr Chevy 32.375 166.795 Day 1 AM
37 61 Kevin Lepage Ford 32.395 166.692 Day 2 PM
38 96a Terry Labonte Chevy 32.427 166.528 Day 3 AM
39 40x David Stremme Dodge 32.431 166.507 Day 1 AM
40 03 Todd Bodine Chevy 32.479 166.261 Day 3 AM
41 19b Jeremy Mayfield Dodge 32.515 166.077 Day 3 AM
42 32a Travis Kvapil Chevy 32.550 165.899 Day 3 PM
43 43a Bobby Labonte Dodge 32.590 165.695 Day 2 AM
44 92a Chad Chaffin Chevy 32.677 165.254 Day 1 AM
45 49b Brent Sherman Dodge 32.725 165.011 Day 1 PM
46 50b Larry Foyt Dodge 32.755 164.860 Day 3 PM
47 00 Hermie Sadler Ford 32.768 164.795 Day 2 PM
48 55a Michael Waltrip Dodge 32.791 164.679 Day 2 PM
 
Coach Burns

Coach Burns

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To win 1-1 +12 units
3some 1-0 +2 units

To win:

Gordon 13/1
Edwards 10/1

3 some:

Kahne over Kyle Busch & Vickers

Good luck and kick ass
Coach Burns
 
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Looselugs

Looselugs

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Harvick over Jarrett ? A great find!! I`* have to pound that one.Nice work toast.
 
Last edited:
pittviper

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Look for Greg Biffle to win this race... I am puting some money down on him!

BOL
PV
 
kegray1

kegray1

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Small plays on Kenseth(8-1),Pole sitter Kurt Busch(10-1),T Stewart(9-1).

Longshot with value is Joltin Joe Nemechek at a whooping 34-1.Starting 8th today.
 
kegray1

kegray1

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Adding play on Biffle TOP 4 at (2-1). He is only (3.5-1) to win it.
Might as well grab the 2-1 for a top 4 spot instead.

Good Luck
 
I

inzone

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Just throwin my two cents out there... I think Vickers is a nice sleeper to get his first win, as Gordon, Johnson, and Kyle should all be top 10.

Side notes: The winner of the Busch race the day before has NEVER won: Biffle

The winner has NEVER came from the front row: Kurt and Biffle again.

4 of the last 5 race winners, started from 16th or worse.

With all that in mind, my plays:

Kenseth: 10/1 for 2 units

Vickers: 23/1 for 1/2 unit
Edwards: 10/1 for 1/2 unit
McMurray: 13/1 for 1/2 unit

My top 10:
Kenseth
Edwards
Vickers
Kyle
Kurt

Johnson
McMurray
Biffle
Stewart
Martin
 
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