Back from ICU

[Man O' Vegas]

Had to recover with a day off yesterday. That BAL collapse on Wednesday night almost put me in the hospital, but like all mental patients I'M BETTER NOW

CIN (Reitsma/Villone) -1.5 +170 (3 Units)
ATL (Maddux/Arrojo) -1.5 +115 (3 Units)
ARI/DET (Batista/Holt) OVER 9.5 -120 (3 Units)
MON (Vazquez/Loaiza) -1.5 +160 (2 Units)

YEST: Sun&fun
YTD:74-59-2 +22.70 Units

Good hunting
MOV

 

[Unknowncomic]

Hello Sir,
Glad to see you back,hope you don't have any firearms in the house.After that game who knows what will have happen.Nut house much safer.Do you have much luck playing the run lines? Have not really found out if they are sucker bets.Help me here.

 

[Man O' Vegas]

Run lines, like a lot of things, are very situational. Starters as well as bullpen matchups in a particular game as well as team mindset. It's also a good way to insulate your self against a fav. you like, but not wanting to expose yourself to laying -175 or higher. That's usually my threshhold.
They don't come up everyday, but when they do, I try to take advantage of the odds as I'm not a big dog player.
That's my take, I'm sure everyone who posts has a different slant.

MOV

 

[Never Caught Up]

MOV,

Interesting. I've always been intrigued by runlines in baseball, but I've been burned on home team runlines by half a run so many times they just scare me to death.

I know cappers who swear by them, but anymore when I play a run line I match it up with a straight play on the money line and get what is in effect a wager on a runline of -1 because if the final score has the home team winning by one you win the moneyline bet and lose the runline bet. That equals a push on a line of -1.

Let's see what happens on your plays tonight doing that . . . just for kicks.

CIN 115/100
-1.5 100/170 equals CIN -1 215/270

ATL 185/100
-1.5 100/115 equals ATL -1 285/215

MON 110/100
-1.5 100/160 equals MON -1 210/260

Your plays were for 3 units each all at even money for a total of:

900/1335

The modified plays equal about 2.37 units risk and total:

710/745

Obviously if you hit all three without getting hooked by the half you will make nearly twice as much . . . but I thought it would be interesting to check the outcome. I have found it nearly impossible to hit three out of three runlines in one night without that damned half a run getting me somewhere.

Good luck,

NCU