Ok, here we go..........
NY Yanks Vs. Fla Marlins Over 7 1/2 -107
Risking 2.14 Units to win 2.00 Units
The middle relief of the Yanks is non existant today due to the fact Mussina and Lilly went a TOTAL of 5.2 innings in their two starts Vs. the Marlins. Clemens' ERA on the road is 4.01 Vs. 3.14 at home. Also his Day ERA is 4.13 Vs. 2.98 at night. All star pitchers have struggled so far in their next start and this could be another example. Dempster could be fighting the fatigue factor tonite Vs. the Yanks. In his last four outings his pitch counts have been 113, 115, 108, 112. I can't see him going past of possibly even getting to the seventh, so bring on those Marlins relievers. Really like the nice low number to boot.
TB DRays Vs. Mtl Expos Over 9 -107
Risking 2.14 Units to win 2.00 Units
Going to try the over with these two clubs once again, had it last night and lost by the hook because the Expos couldn't get a runner in from third with less than two outs in the 7th or the 8th. I am playing this game mainly on bullpen futility!!!! I am honestly expecting to get a combined four runs minimum out of the pens. Armas has NEVER gone past the 7th inning in any of his starts this season. His last two pitch counts were 110 & 99 and his July ERA is 6.70. Rekar has really been a mess. Check out these ERA's: 6.70 road, 16.88 July, 6.00 June. Hitters are smacking the ball at a .323 clip off him on the road as well.
TX Rangers -125 Col Rockies
Risking 2.25 Units to win 1.80 Units
I love my chances in this one at a low number!!!!! Davis has been a nice consistent starter for the Rangers. The Rockies have extreme problems with left handed pitching. They are hitting .238 Overall, .208 on the road, and .192 in their last ten Vs. lefties. Doesn't look like Helton will play in this one either, that offfense has really struggled. Chacon has been really miserable as of late and fatigue is probably the key factor. His pitch counts in his last six starts: 105, 98, 114, 93, 115, 125. The Rockies bullpen is already overused and horrible to begin with.
Probably will be back a touch later with some underdog selections.......
GLTA,
HC
