I played these two totals so far this morning and have a few more games I am working on........
MN Twins Vs. StL Cardinals Under 9 +100
Risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units
Mays is a fantastic starter to begin with, has an ERA of 3.31 on the road, 2.70 for the month of July, and 2.21 for his "day" starts. If you check his pitching breakdown, he is strong late in the game as well. Hermanson has struggled for the most part early, no doubt about it. He may have found something in his last two starts though. For the month of July he has had an ERA of 2.08 in 13 IP. Overall his day starts have been impressive as well, posting an ERA of 3.14; both bullpens should be pretty much at full strength for the end of the game. Finally, this is not positive, but...... a potent Cardinal bat may be out today as Jim Edmonds bruised his shin yesterday..... Safe to say he will be hampered.
Cle Indians Vs. Hou Astros Over 12 -107
Risking 2.14 Units to win 2.00 Units
I honestly would have played the over on this game today if they would have posted the number of 14!!! Redding has given up right around a run per inning in his starts, this fact alone is not why I feel this over is strong. This is why, Westbrook is starting today for the Indians, a former reliever who has never gone past the 6th inning this season. Couple that with how the bullpen was used in that extra innings affair yesterday and you will need a caluclator to keep track of the runs scored in this one. (I HOPE). Shuey (11) pitches yesterday, Rincon (15), Wickman (12), Rodriguez (13), Baez (17), and Rocker (33). That pen is going to be a dragging arm tired group today. Oh, did I mention this game is being played at Enron field!
Will be back around 11am central with the rest of my plays.
GL,
HC