Baseball Strategy Question

BuffaloBill

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Aug 15, 2004
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A friend of mine told me that if you bet on every dog for the whole season at +135 to +165, then you will end up making a lot of money.

Just wondering if anyone thinks that there is any truth to this.

I would love to know the numbers on this over the last few seasons.

Thanks guys.
 

alb

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Off hand, I would say at best you may have made a little $$ but certainly not 'a lot'. It just isn't that easy. But I'm sure somebody will come up with the actual numbers.
 

Old School

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Moneyline Breakeven Chart-



FAV DOG Moneyline Breakeven Chart-

FAV DOG
-105 51.2% 105 48.8%
-110 52.4% 110 47.6%
-115 53.5% 115 46.5%
-120 54.5% 120 45.5%
-125 55.6% 125 44.4%
-130 56.5% 130 43.5%
-135 57.4% 135 42.6%
-140 58.3% 140 41.7%
-145 59.2% 145 40.8%
-150 60.0% 150 40.0%
-155 60.8% 155 39.2%
-160 61.5% 160 38.5%
-165 62.3% 165 37.7%
-170 63.0% 170 37.0%
-175 63.6% 175 36.4%
-180 64.3% 180 35.7%
-185 64.9% 185 35.1%
-190 65.5% 190 34.5%
-195 66.1% 195 33.9%
-200 66.7% 200 33.3%
-205 67.2% 205 32.8%
-210 67.7% 210 32.3%
-215 68.3% 215 31.7%
-220 68.8% 220 31.3%
-225 69.2% 225 30.8%
-230 69.7% 230 30.3%
-235 70.1% 235 29.9%
-240 70.6% 240 29.4%
-245 71.0% 245 29.0%
-250 71.4% 250 28.6%
-255 71.8% 255 28.2%
-260 72.2% 260 27.8%
-265 72.6% 265 27.4%
-270 73.0% 270 27.0%
-275 73.3% 275 26.7%
-280 73.7% 280 26.3%
-285 74.0% 285 26.0%
-290 74.4% 290 25.6%
-295 74.7% 295 25.3%
-300 75.0% 300 25.0%


hope this helps
-
 

BuffaloBill

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Thanks old school, I appreciate the help.

Very interesting.

Do you have the actual numbers of how these have turned out over the past few seasons?

Thanks again.
 
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Regular Joe

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Well, just for the hell of it I played 'em today. 4 plays came up:

Milwaukee +144 (won)
Cincinnati +149 (lost)
Seattle +146 (won)
Texas +163 (pending)

Since I can't pick my ass, I'll try it for a week or so and see what happens.
 

Old School

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Bill, haven't tracked it in about 5 seasons...There was a time those 150 favs rocked and rolled for me but I gave up peering at line moves and keeping track of 5 or 6 different shops for favorable lines moves.Sports wagering for me now is purely recreational $$$$$$$$...No yelling at the TV,screaming at the computer cussing the radio or like in the real old days getting on the phone for friggin' scores every 10 min.'s or so...Man oh man did the babes hate that.
I have tracked some of the folks on here for about 6 years now{doesn't cost anything and better than any sitcom ever produced] and I am quite sure a few of the bases vets can give ya the #'s.
You might ask KCWOLF/Raymond/Fletcher.. they are as knowledable as they come when it comes to Bases.Plus drop in a BleedDodgerBlue thread...He's so good w/#'s its scarey.
Someone may even know of a web site that has the data...Hell I had to go to the Yankees schedule just to research the trend Clem mentioned about the Yanks after a loss..I had no idea of a web site that kept that kind of data..
Hell,there probably a web site that could tell me how much money I pissed away over the years...but PLEASE..don't anybody post it..The memory is bad enough..

Have fun...it's over in the blink of an eye.

If you had just a minute to breathe and they granted you one final wish
Would you ask for something like another chance?
Or something similar as this? Don't worry too much
It'll happen to you as sure as your sorrows are joys
And the thing that disturbs you is only the sound of
The low spark of high-heeled boys

The Low Spark of High-Heeled Boys
(Winwood/Capaldi
 
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