Bases Fri 5/30

RAYMOND

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Oakland at Toronto (4) 29th, 30th, 31st, 1st


The Athletics have lost 10 of their last 11 (-$1025) and they come into Rogers Centre with the 2nd worst team ERA in the American League (5.39). The Blue Jays have had their ups and downs, but they enter this series with an 11-4 record in night games at home (+$675). Veterans Chris Bassitt (3.38 ERA) and Jose Berrios (3.75 last two appearances) are slated to take the mound in the two scheduled evening contests. BEST BET: Blue Jays in night games.

Tampa Bay at Houston (4) 29th, 30th, 31st, 1st

The Rays have been looking sharp (7-3, +$330 last 10 days), climbing to the .500 level as they get set to visit Minute Maid Park. They have been a money-maker on the road in 2025 (+$490), and they’ve already taken 2 out of 3 from this team in an earlier series. The Astros are a formidable home team (19-10, +$780) and they have a number of solid starters set to take the mound (3.37 team ERA). We’ll hold off on these two for now. BEST BET: None.



BEGINNING FRIDAY, MAY 30



Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (3) 30th, 31st, 1st


The 1st place Cubs have been sizzling in recent days (8-2, +$510 last 10), but we see a nice opportunity for the road underdog at Wrigley this weekend. Chicago has lost money vs. left-handers at home (-$425) and Cincinnati is expected to send a pair of southpaws to the hill. Andrew Abbott (1.77 ERA) and Nick Lodolo (3.39) will be backed by a Reds’ offense that average 5.1 runs per game vs. right-handers (+$370 as visitors). The Cubs have a 5.13 ERA among starters in their last 10. BEST BET: Abbott/Lodolo.

Milwaukee at Philadelphia (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Brewers are coming off another strong home-stand, but they’ve been a disaster on the road in 2025 (only 11-18, -$720) and now must play the surging Phillies at Citizens Bank. Philly has won 8 of its last 10 (+$510) and they have a 16-3 record vs. right-handers in home games (+$815). Jesus Luzardo has turned out to be a terrific pick-up for the home team (+$215, 2.15 ERA in 11 outings) He looks like an ideal choice when he faces rookie Chad Patrick on Saturday afternoon. BEST BET: Luzardo vs. right-handers.

Colorado at N.Y. Mets (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Rockies are 9-47 (-$2555) and on track to shatter all records for futility in a single season. They have a 5.55 team ERA (worst in MLB) and they barely average 3.0 runs per game at the plate. The Mets are 21-7 at CitiField (+$845) and they have the best pitching in the majors (2.87 team ERA). Obviously the Mets should dominate, but prices will be so prohibitively high that a single upset by Colorado would be costly. Not interested. BEST BET: None.

San Francisco at Miami (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Giants have the 2nd best team ERA in the National League (3.22). But Marlins can hit a bit (.706 OPS, 4.7 runs per game last 10 days) and they could give the visitor some trouble. San Francisco has dropped 6 of its last 10 (-$420), averaging just 2.3 runs per game in those contests. In addition, they are only 5-12 vs. left-handers (-$1095). Ryan Weathers has looked sharp since re-joining the Miami rotation (1.15 ERA in three outings). He’ll catch a generous price in Sunday’s finale. BEST BET: Weathers.

Washington at Arizona (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Diamondbacks have fallen below .500 and they are now seven games back in the highly competitive NL West. They’ve lost 7 of their last 9 (-$680) and they’ve dropped a bundle playing here at Chase Field, particularly in night games (-$980). The Nats have won 7 of their last 10 (+$645) they’ve turned a nice profit vs. righties in 2025 (+$540). Jake Irvin has been a money-maker for the road team (+$300, 3.43 ERA). He’ll catch a generous price against Merrill Kelly in Friday’s opener. BEST BET: J. Irvin vs. M. Kelly.

Pittsburgh at San Diego (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Pirates were winless against the Padres in 2024 (-$600) and we’re not sure they can avoid a sweep at Petco Park this weekend. They average just 3.3 runs per game at the plate (.643 OPS). San Diego is 18-9 in this ballpark (+$475) and they have the 3rd best team ERA In the National League (3.51). Nick Pivetta has been the standout in the home team’s rotation (+$260, 2.72 ERA in 10 starts) and we like his chances against Mitch Keller (-$545 in 11 appearances) in Sunday’s afternoon finale. BEST BET: Pivetta.

Chicago W. Sox at Baltimore (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

Chicago’s rare road win at CitiField on Wednesday brought their record as visitors vs. righties to 3-18 (-$1120). They’ll be facing three of them when they visit Camden Yards. Perhaps the O’s can duplicate their 2024 performance against the White Sox, when they went 6-1 in head to head play (+$200). But it’s hard to get excited about a Baltimore club that has racked up the heftiest losses of any team in the AL (-$2315). We’ll stay away. BEST BET: None.

L.A. Angels at Cleveland (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Angels took 2 out of 3 from this team at Anaheim (+$145) but things are unlikely to go that well at Progressive Field. The Guardians have a 27-17 record vs. right-handers (+$1175) and they’ll face three of them in this series. The Angels have the 3rd worst team ERA in the American League (4.84 ERA). LA has some success in road games, but they’ll be fortunate to salvage a victory in this three game set. BEST BET: Guardians vs. right-handers.

Detroit at Kansas City (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Tigers have the best record in the AL (37-20, +$1510), and they’ve extended their lead in the AL Central to six games. They took 3 out of 4 from the Royals at Comerica, and they have three of their top starters set to take turns. Casey Mize (+$455, 2.46), Tarik Skubal (+$345, 2.49) and Keider Montero (+$310, 3.38) should take advantage of the light hitting home team (Royals averaging 3.3 runs per game). KC’s pitching is the AL’s best (3.15 ERA), but Detroit can hit (5.2 per game). BEST BET: Mize/Skubal/Montero.

Minnesota at Seattle (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Twins fall apart when they leave Target Field (only 12-17, -$520) and they are one of the weaker hitting teams in the American League (.680 OPS). Seattle averages just under 5.0 runs per game vs. right-handers, and they’ll be sending some formidable arms to the mound at T-Mobile Park. Bryan Woo (+$535, 2.40 ERA) and Luis Castillo (3.32 overall, 2.08 last two outings) match up well vs. Minnesota’s all-righty rotation. BEST BET: Woo/L. Castillo.

Boston at Atlanta (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Braves continue to under-achieve in 2025 (3-7, -$660 last 10 days) and they come into this series following a grueling Thursday double-header vs. the Phillies. The Red Sox can hit (.744 OPS) and they’ve some solid pitchers set to appear. But they’ve performed poorly outside of Fenway Park (11-17, -$750), and they are on a five game losing streak. We’ll pass for now. BEST BET: None.

St. Louis at Texas (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

The Cardinals have been the hottest team in MLB in May, raising their record to 32-24 (+$1060) and climbing to within three games of the Cubs in the NL Central. They haven’t been as sharp in their road games, but the Rangers are slumping (2-8, -$820 last 10 days) and they check in with a 4-10 record against left-handers (-$580, 3.1 runs per game). Matthew Liberatore (2.73 ERA in 10 starts) should be available at a decent price. BEST BET: Liberatore.

N.Y. Yankees at L.A. Dodgers (3) 30th, 31st, 1st

World Series rematch on tap at Chavez Ravine, with the surging Yankees coming into town having taken 9 of their last 10 (+$600). The Dodgers are hard to beat in this ballpark, but they are only 7-10 vs. left-handers (-$895) and they’ll be opposed by New York southpaws Max Fried (+$845, 1.41 ERA in 11 outings) and Ryan Yarbrough (2.25 ERA in four starts). The Dodgers have a bloated 4.09 team ERA, 5th worst in the NL. BEST BET: Fried/Yarbrough.
 
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