im done playing games...ive been as cautious as i can be about laying juice ...not playing games i like because a lot of people on them or it looks to easy...ive been up /down ..up /down ...this year and lately a lot of 2-2 ...3-3 ...1-1 days....lost of splits...just think ive been making it more difficult than it should be by over thinking and second guessing myself......going with what i cap from now on...atleast for now...and see how it goes...
looking at the day game...
8.5 looks way way to low for these pitchers...looking strictly at the numbers here...
GARLAND HAS BEEN PITCHING A LOT BETTER LATELY BUT LETS LOOK AT HIS ROAD AND DAY NUMBERS..
COUPLE OF TRENDS THAT I NOTICED..
HE IS 5-13 IN ROAD GAMES AFTER A GAME HE HAS GIVEN UP 1 RUN OR LESS OVER THE LAST 3 SEASONS
OVER THE LAST 3 SEASONS HE IS 2-12 ON THE ROAD VS TEAMS WITH A WINNING % BETWEEN 52-62
OVER ALL HE IS 4-6 WITH A 4.84 ERA..HE HAS PITCHED 8 INNINGS IN 2 OF HIS LAST 4 GAMES...IN HIS LAST 3 STARTS HIS ERA IS AT 4.74...
THIS IS WHERE IT GETS INTERESTING...
1.) ROAD GAMES....6.27 ERA ..IN 33 INNINGS PITCHED HE HAS GIVEN UP 44 HITS AND 23 EARNED RUNS...5 HOME RUNS
WHIP IS 1.58...OPPONENTS ARE BATTING 324 AGAINST HIM
2.) DAY GAMES ...7.20 ERA .IN 20 INNINGS PITCHED ...16 EARNED RUNS ... AND 4 HOME RUNS...BAA IS 300..1.68 WHIP
HIS TEAM IS 0-4 WHEN HE PITCHES IN DAY GAMES...AND THE OVER IS 3-1
HE IS 1-2 VS THE CUBS IN HIS CAREER
LOOKING AT THE AVG'S FOR THE CUBS IN LIMITED EXPOSURE TO THIS GUY I NOTICED...THAT THE TWO BIG BATS IN THE CUBS LINE-UP
SOSA...4 FOR 7...1 HOME RUN
ALOU 3 FOR 5 ..2 HOMERS
A LOOK AT ESTES...
HOME GAMES...4.27 ERA .... 40 INNINGS PITCHED ...19 EARNED RUNS ..AND 41 HITS...1 HOME RUN
DAY GAMES...6.24 ERA ....49 INNINGS PITCHED...64 HITS...WOW!!!!.....AND 34 EARNED RUNS...ONLY 2 HOME RUNS ..TEAM IS 3-6..OVER IS 4-5
NONE OF THE BETTER HITTERS ON THE CHISOX HAVE SEEN ESTES..
ESTES NUMBERS CERTAINLY LEAVE A LOT TO BE DESIRED...BUT I NOTICED THAT EVEN THOUGH HE HAS GIVEN UP QUITE A FEW RUNS IN DAY GAMES ....AND HITS IN BOTH DAY AND HOME...HE HAS GIVEN UP ONLY 3 HOME RUNS COMBINED...
IF THERE WAS ONE THING I NOTICED ABOUT THE CHISOX THIS WEEK WHEN THEY PLAYED THE REDSOX...IS THAT THEY HAVE BARELY ANY TIMELY HITTING AND JUST REALLY STRUGGLE TO SCORE....AND THEY HAVE NO PATIENCE AT THE PLATE
IT WOULD SEEM THE LOGICAL CONCLUSION HERE THAT TEAMS HAVE BEEN GETTING TIMELY HITS OF ESTES WITH MEN ON BASE...BECUASE DAMAGE HAS NOT BEEN DONE WITH THE LONG BALL AGAINST HIM....THAT IS THE WEAKNESS OF THIS CHISOX TEAM....
THINKING ABOUT THIS ONE....ALL THOUGHTS WELCOME...
COOZ
looking at the day game...
8.5 looks way way to low for these pitchers...looking strictly at the numbers here...
GARLAND HAS BEEN PITCHING A LOT BETTER LATELY BUT LETS LOOK AT HIS ROAD AND DAY NUMBERS..
COUPLE OF TRENDS THAT I NOTICED..
HE IS 5-13 IN ROAD GAMES AFTER A GAME HE HAS GIVEN UP 1 RUN OR LESS OVER THE LAST 3 SEASONS
OVER THE LAST 3 SEASONS HE IS 2-12 ON THE ROAD VS TEAMS WITH A WINNING % BETWEEN 52-62
OVER ALL HE IS 4-6 WITH A 4.84 ERA..HE HAS PITCHED 8 INNINGS IN 2 OF HIS LAST 4 GAMES...IN HIS LAST 3 STARTS HIS ERA IS AT 4.74...
THIS IS WHERE IT GETS INTERESTING...
1.) ROAD GAMES....6.27 ERA ..IN 33 INNINGS PITCHED HE HAS GIVEN UP 44 HITS AND 23 EARNED RUNS...5 HOME RUNS
WHIP IS 1.58...OPPONENTS ARE BATTING 324 AGAINST HIM
2.) DAY GAMES ...7.20 ERA .IN 20 INNINGS PITCHED ...16 EARNED RUNS ... AND 4 HOME RUNS...BAA IS 300..1.68 WHIP
HIS TEAM IS 0-4 WHEN HE PITCHES IN DAY GAMES...AND THE OVER IS 3-1
HE IS 1-2 VS THE CUBS IN HIS CAREER
LOOKING AT THE AVG'S FOR THE CUBS IN LIMITED EXPOSURE TO THIS GUY I NOTICED...THAT THE TWO BIG BATS IN THE CUBS LINE-UP
SOSA...4 FOR 7...1 HOME RUN
ALOU 3 FOR 5 ..2 HOMERS
A LOOK AT ESTES...
HOME GAMES...4.27 ERA .... 40 INNINGS PITCHED ...19 EARNED RUNS ..AND 41 HITS...1 HOME RUN
DAY GAMES...6.24 ERA ....49 INNINGS PITCHED...64 HITS...WOW!!!!.....AND 34 EARNED RUNS...ONLY 2 HOME RUNS ..TEAM IS 3-6..OVER IS 4-5
NONE OF THE BETTER HITTERS ON THE CHISOX HAVE SEEN ESTES..
ESTES NUMBERS CERTAINLY LEAVE A LOT TO BE DESIRED...BUT I NOTICED THAT EVEN THOUGH HE HAS GIVEN UP QUITE A FEW RUNS IN DAY GAMES ....AND HITS IN BOTH DAY AND HOME...HE HAS GIVEN UP ONLY 3 HOME RUNS COMBINED...
IF THERE WAS ONE THING I NOTICED ABOUT THE CHISOX THIS WEEK WHEN THEY PLAYED THE REDSOX...IS THAT THEY HAVE BARELY ANY TIMELY HITTING AND JUST REALLY STRUGGLE TO SCORE....AND THEY HAVE NO PATIENCE AT THE PLATE
IT WOULD SEEM THE LOGICAL CONCLUSION HERE THAT TEAMS HAVE BEEN GETTING TIMELY HITS OF ESTES WITH MEN ON BASE...BECUASE DAMAGE HAS NOT BEEN DONE WITH THE LONG BALL AGAINST HIM....THAT IS THE WEAKNESS OF THIS CHISOX TEAM....
THINKING ABOUT THIS ONE....ALL THOUGHTS WELCOME...
COOZ
