Bases Sat 7/19

Junior44

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Dec 2, 1999
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FRI: -1.15u
YTD: +47.10u

Put these in overnight...........

Toronto +105 (2x)
-Toronto comes into today's game a nice 7-3 their last 10 games, and a sparking 17-4 in their last 21 home games. They have opened up a 3 game lead in the AL East. The Giants, meanwhile have lost 3-straight, scoring just 3 runs runs in those games. They are now just 6 games over .500 and are terrible on the season vs lefties, standing at just 4-11 on the year and hitting just .213 as a team. Toronto starts LHP Eric Lauer who is in excellent recent form, going 4-1 L5 with a nice ERA of 3.28 and is 4-2 with an ERA of 2.78 on the season. In addition, he pitches much better at home this season, with ERA of 2.45, striking out 25 and allowing just 13 hits in 22 IP. The Giants start RHP Logan Webb who is much better pitcher at home, going just 6-7 on the road with an ERA of 3.69. In his last outing, he was shelled for 6 ER's in 5 1/2 IP.

NY Mets RL +121
-Cincinnati comes into this game winning 5 of 6, but most of that work was at home vs the Rockies and Marlins. They are still only 23-24 on the road while the Mets are one of the best home teams in the majors with a 33-15 record. Cincinnati starts RHP Nick Martinez who has a miserable ERA of 7.81 ERA in his last 5 starts and just 2-5 with a 4.89 ERA on the road this year. In addition, 7 of 8 of his last 8 losses were by more then 2 runs. The Mets start RHP Clay Holmes who has had a nice year, going 8-4 with an ERA of 3.31. Holmes is even better at home, going 4-1 thus far with an ERA of 3.16 and an opponents batting average of just .193! Furthermore 9 of his last 10 wins have come by more than 2 runs. I like the Mets to cruise to an easy victory. Play NY Mets on the runline.

Kansas City/Miami Over 8
-Despite the current Under trends of both of these teams, the 2 pitchers and their current form and splits suggest otherwise. Kansas City starter Michael Wacha is just 0-4 with an ERA of 5.15 in his last 4 starts and is 2-5 with an ERA of 4.99 on the road this season. Miami starter Cal Quantrill has an ERA of 5.64 his last 5 starts and all 3 of his starts vs the Royals have gone over the total. In his last start he surrendered 6 ER's in just 5 IP. Last night's game between these 2 teams tallied 15 runs and we look for a similar outcome today with the bullpen logging a few innings last night.

Edit to make toronto a (2x) wager

Please check back later for more plays.

G/L to all............
 
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Junior44

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San Diego/Cleveland +209
- The Padres come into this contest having won 4 of their last 5 games and have moved to within 4.5 games back from the Dodgers in the NL West. San Diego starts RHP Yu Darvish (in his 3rd start of the year) who is gaining strength and whose team won his last start. I'm not sure how many innings he will go tonight, but the Padres have a very good and rested bullpen. Washington starts LHP Mitchell Parker, who in his last 2 starts has given up 16 ER's on 18 hits in just 10 2/3 IP. (Both losses) The Nats are just 1-9 their last 10 games and are 1-9 their last 10 vs the Padres. In the other game, Cleveland had gone 7-1 in their last 8 contests, start lefty Logan Allen, who has a nice ERA of 3.41 L5, Furthermore the Guardian are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs the A's. The A's start Luis Severino who is just 2-11 on the year with a high ERA of 5.16 and is even worse in his L5 starts, going 0-5 with and ERA of 7.94.
 
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Junior44

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Detroit +100
-The Tigers have lost 4 straight, but I believe they get off the schnide in this one. Huge pitching miss-match in this one, with the Tigers starting Keider Montero who has gone 5-0 with an ERA of 0.96 in his last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Rangers start RHP Kumar Rocker who has a dreadful ERA of 6.29 his L5. In addition, Rocker is just 1-4 with an ERA of 11.14 at night this season. The Tigers still have a nice road record of 27-21 and we will take the team who is hungry for a win.
 
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Junior44

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Arizona +115
-briefly: Arizona pitcher Ryne Nelson is 4-1 at home this season with an ERA of 2.17, while Sonny Gray is just 2-3 with a rather high ERA of 4.57 on the road. Gray, these days, rarely goes more than 5 innings and I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Take the dog.
 
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