Bases Wed 7/30

Junior44

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Dec 2, 1999
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YTD: +69.16u

Played these overnight......

Arizona/Detroit Over 8'
-The Tigers have come out of their slump in a big way, winning 3 straight and scoring 27 runs in the process. However they start new aquiree Chris Paddock, who is one of my go against pitchers. Maybe the change of scenery will be magic but I doubt it. Paddack has been terrible this year, going 3-9 with an ERA a tad under 5. He is also 0-4 in the last 30 days with a bloated ERA of 5.96. D-backs pitcher Ryne Nelson has had a decent year, but looking further he has a 4.89 ERA on the road, a 6.04 ERA during the day, and gave up 8 earned runs on 11 hits in just 4 innings to Detroit last year in a 13-0 blowout. I see both of these teams scoring runs and i recommend playing the Over.

Washington +110
-The Nats come into this game having won 3 of 4 while Houston is on a 1-5 slide. Washington starts LHP MacKenzie Gore who is 2-2 with an ERA 2.01 in his last 4 starts, with his 2 losses being 1-0 contests. The Astros start RHP Ryan Gusto who has been awful at home this year with a 6.36 ERA. In his last start (at home) he was bombed for 8 ER's on 11 hits and 2 home runs in just 2 1/3 innings in a 15-3 blowout. I like the Nats and Gore to continue their streak at a nice underdog price.

Milwaukee -120 (2x)
- The Brewers have won 3 straight pounding out 20 runs during that stretch. the Brewers start their ace Freddy Peralta who has been outstanding this year, going 12-4 with an ERA of just 2.81. In his last 5 starts, he is 4-1 with an excellent ERA of 2.51. Furthermore, he is a perfect 7-0 at home this year with a stunning ERA of 1.55. In day games?? He is 5-1 with an ERA of 2.29. The Cubs, meanwhile, have lost 4 of 6 and start LHP Shota Imanaga who is having a decent season in his own right. But he is just 2-3 with an ERA of 4.13 the last 30 days and was torched for 8 runs on 12 hits and 3 HR's in just 3 innings pitched in his last start (on the road at that) I like the Brewers and Peralta in this one at a short fave price.


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T

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Thank you for all the time and effort you put into writeups and plays. 🙏🏻
 

Junior44

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Dec 2, 1999
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LA Dodgers/Cincinnati Under 9.5
- This is a very high number considering the trend of the two teams. The Dodgers are 6-0 to the under their last 6 games, while the Reds are 1-7-2 to the under their last 10 games. Reds starter Nick Martinez has gone 3-0 his last 3 starts, alllowing just 6 ER's in 15 1/3 innings with all 3 going under 9.5. the Dodgers start Shohai Ohtani who will go at least 3-4 innings and has an 0.82 ERA in 5 starts. Play under 9.5.
 
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