Rather than highjacking others threads as I usually do I am starting my own. I will focus on 3 games a week (about all I have time for when soccer is in full swing) that I will be playing together in a few ways (yes, I will play teasers in NCAA when I like the numbers). Will provide abbreviated write ups for each game.
Week 1 is always tough, but I have been waiting for lines to get favorable and they got where I wanted them to be today.
Florida +4.5
Maryland +18.5
Navy-9
Not buying the Michigan love despite the suspensions at FL. Florida will play great defense as always and I think Michigan will struggle some offensively to start the season as they are extremely young at most positions. I think it will take some time for them to get better as the season progresses. If Florida gets any kind of decent play from the QB position I think they win this outright.
Texas line is inflated in my opinion. Maryland played 16 freshmen last year and will be improved. They will run the ball much of the game, try to limit turnovers and hope their dual threat QB causes some problems. They also have many returning on defensive side of the ball, especially at LB, which should help limit the TX running game. While I really like the new Texas coach it will take him a while to get it together especially since he is not in love with his QB choices. Durkin is about to turn things around at Maryland (this year will be tough as they have a brutal schedule) and I think it will show. As long as it does not get out of control early I think it will be a closer game than most think. I also like the under in this game.
I really like Navy (warning, I am a Navy fan and tend to like them a lot!) this week as the Kiffin hype has gotten out of control. This line has dropped at least 5.5 points depending on where you look. Navy is a bitch to prepare for, especially when you take over a 3-9 team with lots of new players. You need to install your regular defense and then the one for the Navy game. Monty may be a defensive genius, but he can only work with what he has. Navy simply reloads every year and comes after you every play. Abey struggled some at the end of the year but did well in the bowl game. Word is he is confident and ready to go. Navy will wear them down over the game and take advantage of an undisciplined defense. Probably one of the last teams Kiffin would have picked to start the season with!
Good luck all!!
Week 1 is always tough, but I have been waiting for lines to get favorable and they got where I wanted them to be today.
Florida +4.5
Maryland +18.5
Navy-9
Not buying the Michigan love despite the suspensions at FL. Florida will play great defense as always and I think Michigan will struggle some offensively to start the season as they are extremely young at most positions. I think it will take some time for them to get better as the season progresses. If Florida gets any kind of decent play from the QB position I think they win this outright.
Texas line is inflated in my opinion. Maryland played 16 freshmen last year and will be improved. They will run the ball much of the game, try to limit turnovers and hope their dual threat QB causes some problems. They also have many returning on defensive side of the ball, especially at LB, which should help limit the TX running game. While I really like the new Texas coach it will take him a while to get it together especially since he is not in love with his QB choices. Durkin is about to turn things around at Maryland (this year will be tough as they have a brutal schedule) and I think it will show. As long as it does not get out of control early I think it will be a closer game than most think. I also like the under in this game.
I really like Navy (warning, I am a Navy fan and tend to like them a lot!) this week as the Kiffin hype has gotten out of control. This line has dropped at least 5.5 points depending on where you look. Navy is a bitch to prepare for, especially when you take over a 3-9 team with lots of new players. You need to install your regular defense and then the one for the Navy game. Monty may be a defensive genius, but he can only work with what he has. Navy simply reloads every year and comes after you every play. Abey struggled some at the end of the year but did well in the bowl game. Word is he is confident and ready to go. Navy will wear them down over the game and take advantage of an undisciplined defense. Probably one of the last teams Kiffin would have picked to start the season with!
Good luck all!!
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