Howdy MJers!
Another week of CFB looms upon us! I'm hoping to last week's inspiring 6-1 results. My only loss being an a$$ whipping, where a 36 pt favorite Cardinal team doesn't even score 36 points and loses outright to a horrible Orangemen road team!
But enough of last week, on to this Sat!
South Carolina -13.5
I was actually fairly impressed with this other USC last week as a big dog. They hung with LSU for a good portion of the game and showed some drive by never giving up as they put in a late score to cover the line. Now they go back home with a frosh QB who played decent off the bench vs the fierce Tigers (174 yds & 1 TDP) That's nothing to shrug at! Add to that Spurrier is 5-1 vs. spread last 6 following SU loss in reg.-season last 2+Ys. And SC is 4-1 ATS last 5 vs the Bulldogs!
Alaaaaaabama +3
I would have said this spread is strictly a home field advantage, but that isn't exactly the case as this game is played in Jacksonville (50/50 ticket split). Besides that, FSU is 3-9 ATS their last 12 as a 'home' favorite. The Tide has played 3 good teams (Vandy, Ark, Georgia) in 3 good games, especially their offense, avging 436 yds/game. FSU has played one good team 4 weeks ago, which they lost to (Clemson). We'll see how the Crimson bounce back after a tough loss last week, but I see a swagger back in this Tide team that I don't see in the Seminoles. Add a nice trend, Bama is 7-1 last 8 ATS on the road in Sept.
Kansas St +14.5
I feel like I'm going into this one a bit blind given that there hasn't been all that much to see with either of these teams. My top support on this one is that K St is 5-0 ATS last 5 playing the mighty Horns, so they clearly getup to play TX. K St has had plenty of prep time for this one, and I'm inclined to think that Texas is unwisely looking at next week's Red River match up even though you'd think they'd have "revenge" on their mind from last yr's loss to these Cats! Just a big spread and I'm takin' it!
Virginia -6.5 (buying the half)
I just don't have much use for Dave W, Pitt HC....and hence I don't have much use for backing the Panthers...EVER. I will say that when I've gone against the Panters (i.e. Mich St this yr) they have punished me. Pitt D is strong, but UVA has an impressive RB (461 yds last 3) and Pitt is very prone to giving up key turnovers (given away 12 last 3). Xtra back up - UVA 6-1 ATS last 7 vs Big East teams and they cover consistenly at home over last several years (21-10 since 2001).
East Carolina +14.5
Oh, I just love getting this many points for a team that has been a "go with" the past couple of years under HC Skip Holtz. The West Virginia whooooping they took last week is one thing, but getting 2+ TDs from a Houston team that is 1-4 last 5 ATS againts the Pirates just makes me salivate. (I know, that's gross, but you get the point! :topic: ) Let's add that ECU is 11-4 ATS last 15 road games and 8-3 ATS last 11 in conference! (btw - under is 8-0 last 8 ECU road games)
New Mexico +6
Lobos and Cougars almost identical on paper matching up O to D. Lots of equality here so why not side with the team at home and getting pts! This dog is 16-7 last 23 when getting the + side of the spread and they seem to like playing BYU since they are 5-1 last 6 ATS when facing the Cougs! Take-take-take the pts!
Happy Capping Y'all!! :Yep:
CFB YTD Record = 10-3
Another week of CFB looms upon us! I'm hoping to last week's inspiring 6-1 results. My only loss being an a$$ whipping, where a 36 pt favorite Cardinal team doesn't even score 36 points and loses outright to a horrible Orangemen road team!
But enough of last week, on to this Sat!
South Carolina -13.5
I was actually fairly impressed with this other USC last week as a big dog. They hung with LSU for a good portion of the game and showed some drive by never giving up as they put in a late score to cover the line. Now they go back home with a frosh QB who played decent off the bench vs the fierce Tigers (174 yds & 1 TDP) That's nothing to shrug at! Add to that Spurrier is 5-1 vs. spread last 6 following SU loss in reg.-season last 2+Ys. And SC is 4-1 ATS last 5 vs the Bulldogs!
Alaaaaaabama +3
I would have said this spread is strictly a home field advantage, but that isn't exactly the case as this game is played in Jacksonville (50/50 ticket split). Besides that, FSU is 3-9 ATS their last 12 as a 'home' favorite. The Tide has played 3 good teams (Vandy, Ark, Georgia) in 3 good games, especially their offense, avging 436 yds/game. FSU has played one good team 4 weeks ago, which they lost to (Clemson). We'll see how the Crimson bounce back after a tough loss last week, but I see a swagger back in this Tide team that I don't see in the Seminoles. Add a nice trend, Bama is 7-1 last 8 ATS on the road in Sept.
Kansas St +14.5
I feel like I'm going into this one a bit blind given that there hasn't been all that much to see with either of these teams. My top support on this one is that K St is 5-0 ATS last 5 playing the mighty Horns, so they clearly getup to play TX. K St has had plenty of prep time for this one, and I'm inclined to think that Texas is unwisely looking at next week's Red River match up even though you'd think they'd have "revenge" on their mind from last yr's loss to these Cats! Just a big spread and I'm takin' it!
Virginia -6.5 (buying the half)
I just don't have much use for Dave W, Pitt HC....and hence I don't have much use for backing the Panthers...EVER. I will say that when I've gone against the Panters (i.e. Mich St this yr) they have punished me. Pitt D is strong, but UVA has an impressive RB (461 yds last 3) and Pitt is very prone to giving up key turnovers (given away 12 last 3). Xtra back up - UVA 6-1 ATS last 7 vs Big East teams and they cover consistenly at home over last several years (21-10 since 2001).
East Carolina +14.5
Oh, I just love getting this many points for a team that has been a "go with" the past couple of years under HC Skip Holtz. The West Virginia whooooping they took last week is one thing, but getting 2+ TDs from a Houston team that is 1-4 last 5 ATS againts the Pirates just makes me salivate. (I know, that's gross, but you get the point! :topic: ) Let's add that ECU is 11-4 ATS last 15 road games and 8-3 ATS last 11 in conference! (btw - under is 8-0 last 8 ECU road games)
New Mexico +6
Lobos and Cougars almost identical on paper matching up O to D. Lots of equality here so why not side with the team at home and getting pts! This dog is 16-7 last 23 when getting the + side of the spread and they seem to like playing BYU since they are 5-1 last 6 ATS when facing the Cougs! Take-take-take the pts!
Happy Capping Y'all!! :Yep:
CFB YTD Record = 10-3
