Big West and WAC Thurs

CogentSage

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Feb 21, 2006
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As promised, here are my picks for my two conferences. Big night for both of these conferences as positioning becomes imperative.

Picks:
Cal Poly SLO (+6.5)
Hawaii (-7.5)

Reasons:

Cal Poly SLO (+6.5) @CSUN
This will be a good game and Braswell's Matadors are a tough bunch at home, but I am telling you Cal Poly is playing their best ball at the right time. Stockalper will have a great game and the key to this matchup will come down to rebounding and defense. This is where the Mustangs have a significant advantage over CSUN. Cal Poly has an incredible pressure defense and rebounds extremely well. The Matadors are perhaps the worst rebounding team in the Big West. Heard and Efevberha are great scorers, but that is symbolic of how this Matadors team is this year. They play individual offense and no team defense. In the last meeting, Cal Poly won at home 73-54 and were out rebounded 37-22. Expect more of the same tonight. I also like Whiten who has gotten better with each game. Turnover free play and might surprise the conference with freshman of the year award. I am all over Cal Poly tonight.

New Mexico St. @ Hawaii (-7.5)

This should be a fantastic game and huge two game stretch for Hawaii. This game is a battle for second place and UH controls their own destiny. The Warriors are undefeated at home in conference play with impressive victories against Utah St and Nevada. This team becomes a different team at home. They are so fluid and seem to always be playing a step above their competition whenever any team visits Stan Sheriff Center. I feel the three headed monster of Sensley, Gueye, and Lojeski will be too much for the Aggies. The Warriors are lights out at home. In conference games at Stan Sheriff Center they shoot 48.8% from the field where their opponents shoot a dismal 36.9%. New Mexico also is 3-4 on the road in conference and 5-8 overall. My only concern is their success at the charity stripe. Hawaii's free throw shooting is an embarassing 64% and must do better than that when given the opportunity for free points. I don't think it should be a problem in this game as the Warriors shoot 76% from the free throw line at home. A significant increase from their overall average. I really like Hawaii.

I have a small lean play that I will be laying down as well:

San Jose State/Nevada Under 138.5

GL Guys


Grayden
 

gman2

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Nov 12, 2002
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win or lose, good information is always appreciated. first hawaii/nmsu meeting was really weird. blistering tempo and both teams shot exceptionally well. nmsu had a 37-13 advantage in free throws attempted. thats not gonna happen on the island. like the hawaii play. good luck.
 

CogentSage

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Feb 21, 2006
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Thanks Gman. Yeah the first meeting between Hawaii and the Aggies was very uncharacterisitic. The 37-13 differential in free throw attempts was a major factor in that game. With New Mexico getting 22 more points than the Warriors in that game on free throws. NMSU (30-37) and UH (8-13) should of made this game one sided, but Hawaii still almost pulled it out. That six minute drought in the second half by the Warriors along with going 81% from the stripe in the second half was the deciding factor. Even though all that and they still only lost by 3. Final Score 87-84
 

seoulbrotha

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Aug 26, 2005
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i also heard that hawaii has a big size advantage, nm st starts 3 or 4 players 6'6 and shorter and hawaii starts 3 or 4 players that are 6'6 and taller

just thought i'll share that with u guys, im leaning on the warriors also
 

CogentSage

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Feb 21, 2006
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Yeah Seoulbrotha. Hawaii is definitely bigger, especially when Botez starts. Keep a close eye on this game, Ingram is still having problems with his hamstring. Might not play tonight and if he does, might not contribute to the degree that he normally does. I was already all over Hawaii, but this just makes it much more appealing.
 

CogentSage

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Feb 21, 2006
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Well Cal Poly covers again, but what a game between New Mexico State and Hawaii. I really thought Hawaii had them by more. The Aggies came into a tough place to play and played exceptinal. What impressed me with NMSU was how they put themselves in position to win down the stretch without Ingram. Tough game, tough no cover.
 
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