Billy Blastoff Picks 12/23

[Billy Blastoff]

On the 10th day of Christmas Blastoff gave to me :

NOTHING
No Qfactor plays today

Current record 10-4 with 2 days left of picks.

Thoughts on today's games ( but to me a gamble and not worth investing in)

TCU is underrated by RPI but giving 11 points to Bradly is a steep order.
Yes Bradley just pretends to play defense but this game to me revolves around
The TCU mental letdown. They just played their first game in their new Arena (I'm sure players really where juiced for that game) . Now they are playing the night before Christmas Eve against a team that has a home fan base of under 1000 .

On the other hand Bradly lost by 20 last game and could have been 30+ against Boise which didn't have their gym to practice in (graduation) and the coach gave them 2 days off to study for finals.

TCU this year should not ever give double digits and I hope Bradly plays enough defense to beat the spread. If Bradly does cover tonight. Bet against them vs Northern Iowa who will be a 20 point favorite over them but should score at will.

Since I only have a few days left before I'm called home and blastoff.

What's up with so many picks from everyone on this forum. How about picking one or two teams, not every time you take a shit posting an added game or 2 . Stop playing halves they are sucker bets. Hopefully No one takes offense to this but picking 3 or more games in a day is like throwing a grenade into a crowd. Yes you will hit something. Everyone seems to like giving away so much vig money.

Also is it too hard to give a reason why you picked a team and is it too hard to actually type out the teams name and not a few letters of the name.this is an outstanding forum with many players who have posted for 5 or more years and are very knowledgable

One last thought there is no such thing as a lock unless it on a door and if you need to state best bet when selecting does that mean your other picks are worst bets or medium bets?

Have a happy holiday to all

 

[Billy Blastoff]

 

[smax]

THESE are the pix I love.

Thanks Billy

 

[gk51]

Billy thanks for posting your plays. Been following you for years and you have been very successful.

Don't know if this has been answered before or not but will ask, is there a reason why you don't continue to post here on a regular basis. You are a breath of fresh air and your record speaks for itself. Continued success with your plays and hope to see you here more often.

Happy holidays and thanks for what you have done here.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Billy thanks for posting your plays. Been following you for years and you have been very successful.

Don't know if this has been answered before or not but will ask, is there a reason why you don't continue to post here on a regular basis. You are a breath of fresh air and your record speaks for itself. Continued success with your plays and hope to see you here more often.

Happy holidays and thanks for what you have done here.

My Qfactor (quitters factor) does not have a variable for conference games.

The only thing that can work is when a team with improving Qfactor plays a team with descending Qfactor .As long as the improving team is a favorite and are at home but not more than a 7 point favorite. Results with this conference system barely end up above 55% winners. To me it's not worth the gamble. I prefer to bet my pre conference plays heavy then call it quits till next year.

 

[3 putt pete]

Agree with a lot that you said. IMO the cappers who I really take notice of are the ones that limit their acton and are not afraid to pass a card if there is no real value to be found.

For example, Hawkeye didn't post anything for nearly the entire first month while he studied how the rule changes ( fouls, shot clock) would affect his totals. Guys like that are few and far between and worth following.

Anyways, well stated and best of luck:0074

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Agree with a lot that you said. IMO the cappers who I really take notice of are the ones that limit their acton and are not afraid to pass a card if there is no real value to be found.

For example, Hawkeye didn't post anything for nearly the entire first month while he studied how the rule changes ( fouls, shot clock) would affect his totals. Guys like that are few and far between and worth following.

Anyways, well stated and best of luck:0074

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