Billy Blastoffs Picks 12/28

[Billy Blastoff]

Qfactor line differential has W. Virginia a 8.34432 point favorite. The big difference is W. Virginia is predicted to win 7 of the 10 battle categories. W. Virginia will hit 80+ points in the game. Big question is can they keep Villanova under 72? After running a offense defense q correlation, Villanova average q score for 10 test runs was 68 with a high of 73. Puts the odds in my favor final looks something like W. Virginia 81 Villanova 69

Play W. Virginia and give the 7 1/2

No Butts about it!

 

[heleanth]

The total is 137. Why not play the over? Thanks.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Under and or over bets rely on both teams. Qfactor relies on one team outplaying the other based on battle stats. I never posted sores because I know that people would over analyse the data. Last night was a easy spread winner. predicted score total was 117 while Vegas set total at 107. the q numbers predicted Nebraska to score 45 and to lose game by 27. Nebraska only scored 40 and lost by 24. q factor differential score theory was correct but you would have lost your under over instead of cashing the easy winner. To me over under bets are like playing red or black on roulette table no system just luck.

 

[Lauderdale]

Being a Nova grad and, thus, following them closely for years, they are in for a rude awakening in that pit down there in Morgantown. Nova's kiddie corps will turn the ball over way too much in the first Big East game for their Freshman stars. Yes, Wayns will be his usual self, but that will be about it.

I am on WVU-8

 

[comfortable1]

Thanks for the picks Billy... Giving back the best way I can.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

gap is getting bigger

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Game that looks fishy is Colorado State getting 3 1/2 vs Utep. Colorado State wins 7 of the 10 battle categories, They are the better team. Is UTEP home court that much of an advantage since school is in recess. Unless the drug lords have there gangs cross the border ( 1500 ft from the campus) . I think this is the ESPN effect. UTEPS last game was on ESPN and they played well vs a power conference school.

Unless Colorado State has a key injury they win this game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[wareagle]

Game that looks fishy is Colorado State getting 3 1/2 vs Utep. Colorado State wins 7 of the 10 battle categories, They are the better team. Is UTEP home court that much of an advantage since school is in recess. Unless the drug lords have there gangs cross the border ( 1500 ft from the campus) . I think this is the ESPN effect. UTEPS last game was on ESPN and they played well vs a power conference school.

Unless Colorado State has a key injury they win this game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

line at 2.5 now

you going to play this one?

 

[tig3rs]

line at 2.5 now

you going to play this one?

2.5 @ 5dimes

3 at bovada :0074

 

[Wake Man]

Thanks Billy & GL!

 

[tig3rs]

2.5 @ 5dimes

3 at bovada :0074

back to 2' both places... kenpom has it 70-68 UTEP in 63 possessions

 

[heleanth]

Thank you for your response about the total. I see your point.

 

[Billy Blastoff]

I am just playing West Virginia

But thing Colorado State will win the game any points are a bonus. But this game makes me hate my qfactors. No reason CSU doesn't win the game but Vegas just doesn't hand out free money. It looks to easy so I stay away.I oly bet games that I feel I have a 75%-85% chance of winning on. CSU is about 90% so it scares me away but it will probably win.

 

[eeeerock]

U gonna nail this score exactly?

 

[Nole]

Ridiculous!!!


You live in a mansion?




Awesome call!!!!





:toast:

 

[eeeerock]

HEY BB your slipping a little only off by a basket,that is freaking amazing!!!!!Thanks for another one.

 

[DuckDogs]

Great Call:toast:

 

[Billy Blastoff]

Almost perfect on score :0008 , I hope some people played the second pick. Just looked to good .
:00x25