Billy Blastoffs picks 12/8

Dr. Fade

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Do you think Tulane playing last night @ home (in College Station, TX) threw the system off? Essentially they were playing on a neutral court?
 

Destructor D

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Does the size of UMass concern you against UConn? I have only watched UMass once against UAB and they don't have the quality bigmen to matchup with UConn. Another concern is UConn wanting payback for their loss to UMass last year.

I have enjoyed your picks and keep up the good work! Good advise about not parlaying plays as well.
 

Rcxslam

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Destructor D said:
Does the size of UMass concern you against UConn? I have only watched UMass once against UAB and they don't have the quality bigmen to matchup with UConn. Another concern is UConn wanting payback for their loss to UMass last year.

I have enjoyed your picks and keep up the good work! Good advise about not parlaying plays as well.

ahem, sorry to answer for BB but...WHY WOULD IT CONCERN HIM? he uses a system! thank you, good day.
 

s_dooley24

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Rcxslam said:
ahem, sorry to answer for BB but...WHY WOULD IT CONCERN HIM? he uses a system! thank you, good day.

BB is all quanitative...no qualitative bias to sway the system
 

jpblitz

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First off Thanks Billy, I'm new to this website but must say that I thourouly enjoy it. Quick question, approxiametly how many picks, daily, does qfactor spit out for NCAA hoops. Thanks again.
JP
 

NJHawgFan

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Dr. Fade said:
Do you think Tulane playing last night @ home (in College Station, TX) threw the system off? Essentially they were playing on a neutral court?

In my opinion, it could have, but I have a different theory.

My theory is that it has to do with the wrong team favored angle on that play. I personally struggle with these games and have tried to swear off of them. I often end up on the wrong side.

As far as BB's system, if memory serves, he looks for a certain number of points off (4-8, I think). In this case, how do you count the number of points moving across the pick? At first glance, -2.5 to +2 looks like 4.5 points. I think that is wrong, though. I've come to count moving across the pick (-1 to +1) as a 1 point move. The reasons is picking one side in a pick'em is the same as saying they'll win by at least 1 point.

So, you end up with -2.5 to -1 (1.5 pt), -1 to +1 (1 pt) and +1 to +2 (1 pt). That is 3.5 pts and might have dropped out of the system.

And to get this completely back on topic, Good luck tonight BB! I've coattailed you on all 4 so far and will probably be riding the coattails again tonight!
 

Billy Blastoff

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NJHawgFan said:
In my opinion, it could have, but I have a different theory.

My theory is that it has to do with the wrong team favored angle on that play. I personally struggle with these games and have tried to swear off of them. I often end up on the wrong side.

As far as BB's system, if memory serves, he looks for a certain number of points off (4-8, I think). In this case, how do you count the number of points moving across the pick? At first glance, -2.5 to +2 looks like 4.5 points. I think that is wrong, though. I've come to count moving across the pick (-1 to +1) as a 1 point move. The reasons is picking one side in a pick'em is the same as saying they'll win by at least 1 point.

So, you end up with -2.5 to -1 (1.5 pt), -1 to +1 (1 pt) and +1 to +2 (1 pt). That is 3.5 pts and might have dropped out of the system.

And to get this completely back on topic, Good luck tonight BB! I've coattailed you on all 4 so far and will probably be riding the coattails again tonight!

I used neutral court number of 0 if I had put in Tulanes 3.877 home court advantage the game would have been a no play. But I dont tweek just play what computer says
 

Billy Blastoff

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NJHawgFan said:
In my opinion, it could have, but I have a different theory.

My theory is that it has to do with the wrong team favored angle on that play. I personally struggle with these games and have tried to swear off of them. I often end up on the wrong side.

As far as BB's system, if memory serves, he looks for a certain number of points off (4-8, I think). In this case, how do you count the number of points moving across the pick? At first glance, -2.5 to +2 looks like 4.5 points. I think that is wrong, though. I've come to count moving across the pick (-1 to +1) as a 1 point move. The reasons is picking one side in a pick'em is the same as saying they'll win by at least 1 point.

So, you end up with -2.5 to -1 (1.5 pt), -1 to +1 (1 pt) and +1 to +2 (1 pt). That is 3.5 pts and might have dropped out of the system.

And to get this completely back on topic, Good luck tonight BB! I've coattailed you on all 4 so far and will probably be riding the coattails again tonight!

Wow never really looked at it that way -1 to =1 IN LINEAR MATH =2 BUT YOU BELIEVE IT SHOULD BE =1. i LIKE IT. Thats what I mean thinking outside the box.
 

Billy Blastoff

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jpblitz said:
First off Thanks Billy, I'm new to this website but must say that I thourouly enjoy it. Quick question, approxiametly how many picks, daily, does qfactor spit out for NCAA hoops. Thanks again.
JP

BAD qFACTOR THROWS OUT GAMES IT DOESNT HELP SELECT THE GAME. iF MY SYSTEM HAS A TEAM AS A SELECTION i CHECK ITS QFACTOR( MY OWN SPECIAL PROGRAM SOMEDAY ILL PATTEN IT AND MAKE SOME REAL $) IF THE QFACTOR IS IN RED i THROUGH OUT THE SELECTION
 

Billy Blastoff

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Destructor D said:
Does the size of UMass concern you against UConn? I have only watched UMass once against UAB and they don't have the quality bigmen to matchup with UConn. Another concern is UConn wanting payback for their loss to UMass last year.

I have enjoyed your picks and keep up the good work! Good advise about not parlaying plays as well.

My system just useses pure data and could care less about anything else. Ill leave that up to the rest of the forum. I like my system it takes under 20 minutes a day and spits out winners.
 

JIMMYBOY

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That is really something you have there, when you patent this system, maybe you can sell me the rights to be a distributor here in Mexico..

Good luck Biilly
 

Mully

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you seem to have some following here in the college hoops forum. I look forward to your posts the rest of the season and appreciate the work you do.

Good luck. I will most certainly look to your post first from here on out.
 

defleppard

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so lets see your saying you like umass +19 tonight right?
i'm new to this site, whatever system you use the bottom line is winning thats what its all about. so far good job this year.
 

moeclarrett

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Billy - Been following your plays since you started last year, and appreciate you sharing your system with all of us. It is very helpful!

Could you also post the plays you throw out due to Q Factor, like you did last night, in future posts. Not sure if you include those plays everytime (when they exist) or not, but I know I like to see those as well. I totally agree with the logic for using it, but to me it seems more relavant later in the year, after these kids have been playing for two or three straight months. Thanks.

And thanks for everything.
 
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