Billy Blastoffs picks 2/10

Status
Not open for further replies.

Billy Blastoff

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 23, 2005
1,099
20
0
USA
Warning: Be careful if you like Pacific. Idaho should have been a 13 1/2 dog but Vegas line made them only 5 1/2. Exceeds the 8 point rule.Game becomes a tossup.

My picks for 2/10 are:

Butler -9 line should be -6
Utah state -14 line should be - 10 1/2
Washington -7 should be -4

Ash Wed really put a smudge on my face with my picks. Only 1-2 yesterday. 2nd losing day since began posting.

Time for a 3-0 day

Please just play straight bets not parleys. Its better to win less than to lose anything.
 

JOHNNYWAD119

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 30, 2003
3,725
238
63
Billy

Billy

I really enjoy your system, it's so much better than these jerkoff phone services. Would you be willing to share your system, If i give you an email address?Iif thats a loud. Thank you.
 

nchiappetta

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 22, 2005
841
2
0
I hear your warning about Pacific, but I just can't see them winning this game by less than 5, even if it is on the road.

Don't sweat the sub-500 night last night. Your system is a proven winner in the long run. Like your Butler and Washington picks tonight as well.

One question I have about your system is when you say the line should be X.5. Aren't ratings/court ratings supposed to spit out whole numbers when figuring what lines should be? So for instance, when you say Utah St. should be -10.5, is not the line already off right there by at least .5? It has been to my understanding that there should always be a whole number difference/line in a game, and when Vegas puts out a line with X.5, then they are definitely trying to get action on one side or the other. Just curious as to what your thoughts are and if your source just give you what the lines should be, or if it gives you ratings/stats to figure out what the line should be yourself.

Thanks again Billy...keep the winners rolling!
 
Last edited:

BleedDodgerBlue

Admin
Forum Member
Feb 12, 2004
7,383
82
0
49
los angeles
BB,

kudos to your success on madjacks. you brought light to some people for a concept thats been around a while, and i and others have been using for a prolonged time. if the line smells, there is usually something wrong with it.

i haven't followed you or bet any of your plays, as its not my style, i do my own homework and bet my own numbers according to my power rankings and so forth.

i don't care what your "source" is. i have my own numbers, but just an fyi, i think your line is way out of whack on that washington game. my numbers have washington should have opened at 11. i know that the difference in your system and implying the concept if the line stinks go against the sucker bet, is the power rankings or numbers. with that said, i know we both use different numbers, but i think your way off on the washington line. oregon playing only its 2nd game in 12 days. oregon has lost 5 in a row su and against the spread. washington is playing its 4th game in 12 days so maybe that effects your numbers a little different.

just for a second look, i looked at the sagarin numbers. i know they are different, but in general they are fairly close to the bets you have made in the past. they have washington should have opened as 9.5 favorites. sagarin is by no means a know all or anything, i just used it as an example of numbers that are accessible to all. my numbers had it at 11.

just surprised that your numbers came up with a 4, because in all your previous posts, at least my numbers were somewhat similar this one is just out of whack and i find it odd.

good luck in all your plays except washington, cause im taking oregon according to my numbers as i think line is skewed to get wash money and best of luck in the future
 

Billy Blastoff

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 23, 2005
1,099
20
0
USA
BleedDodgerBlue said:
BB,

kudos to your success on madjacks. you brought light to some people for a concept thats been around a while, and i and others have been using for a prolonged time. if the line smells, there is usually something wrong with it.

i haven't followed you or bet any of your plays, as its not my style, i do my own homework and bet my own numbers according to my power rankings and so forth.

i think your line is way out of whack on that washington game. my numbers have washington should have opened at 11. i know that the difference in your system and implying the concept if the line stinks go against the sucker bet, is the power rankings or numbers. with that said, i know we both use different numbers, but i think your way off on the washington line. oregon playing only its 2nd game in 12 days. oregon has lost 5 in a row su and against the spread. washington is playing its 4th game in 12 days so maybe that effects your numbers a little different.

y numbers had it at 11.

just surprised that your numbers came up with a 4, because in all your previous posts, at least my numbers were somewhat similar this one is just out of whack and i find it odd.

Then Dont bet Washington :mj15: Thats what makes gambling fun. Different thoughts. By the way I dont care either where you get your numbers :)
 

Billy Blastoff

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 23, 2005
1,099
20
0
USA
nchiappetta said:
I hear your warning about Pacific, but I just can't see them winning this game by less than 5, even if it is on the road.

Don't sweat the sub-500 night last night. Your system is a proven winner in the long run. Like your Butler and Washington picks tonight as well.

One question I have about your system is when you say the line should be X.5. Aren't ratings/court ratings supposed to spit out whole numbers when figuring what lines should be? So for instance, when you say Utah St. should be -10.5, is not the line already off right there by at least .5? It has been to my understanding that there should always be a whole number difference/line in a game, and when Vegas puts out a line with X.5, then they are definitely trying to get action on one side or the other. Just curious as to what your thoughts are and if your source just give you what the lines should be, or if it gives you ratings/stats to figure out what the line should be yourself.

Thanks again Billy...keep the winners rolling!

I do no work. The system spits out the line and highlites off lines. I just post what the system says. No tweeking involved. I do have to enter morning line data rest is pulled from data source site.
 

Billy Blastoff

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 23, 2005
1,099
20
0
USA
nchiappetta said:
I hear your warning about Pacific, but I just can't see them winning this game by less than 5, even if it is on the road.

Don't sweat the sub-500 night last night. Your system is a proven winner in the long run. Like your Butler and Washington picks tonight as well.

One question I have about your system is when you say the line should be X.5. Aren't ratings/court ratings supposed to spit out whole numbers when figuring what lines should be? So for instance, when you say Utah St. should be -10.5, is not the line already off right there by at least .5? It has been to my understanding that there should always be a whole number difference/line in a game, and when Vegas puts out a line with X.5, then they are definitely trying to get action on one side or the other. Just curious as to what your thoughts are and if your source just give you what the lines should be, or if it gives you ratings/stats to figure out what the line should be yourself.

Thanks again Billy...keep the winners rolling!

Its just a warning to those who where going to bet heavy on Pacific. Bet who you like, just be careful.
 

Billy Blastoff

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 23, 2005
1,099
20
0
USA
JOHNNYWAD119 said:
I really enjoy your system, it's so much better than these jerkoff phone services. Would you be willing to share your system, If i give you an email address?Iif thats a loud. Thank you.

Lets not get too excited. It has produced winners but it is still just a system. My system and for now all mine. Ill keep posting so you can check if it continues to have success, which I think it will. I think my data source is the key (but thats a secret) just like the animal house its on double secret probation)
 

BleedDodgerBlue

Admin
Forum Member
Feb 12, 2004
7,383
82
0
49
los angeles
Forget I ever said anything to you. Thought I would throw some discussion out there.

you know what ACE, keep your secret data source, I could care less. I make a living doing this and have for years. So you can pull the wool over my eyes or anyone elses all you want. I wished you success in your endeavor. I just offered another thought process. Sorry you have such an ego.

BTW, WASHINGTON HAS ZERO CHANCE of covering tonight. NONE. I will never post here again if they do, so this all you will ever hear from me.

good luck when you go pay and have a nice life.
 

Billy Blastoff

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 23, 2005
1,099
20
0
USA
BleedDodgerBlue said:
Forget I ever said anything to you. Thought I would throw some discussion out there.

you know what ACE, keep your secret data source, I could care less. I make a living doing this and have for years. So you can pull the wool over my eyes or anyone elses all you want. I wished you success in your endeavor. I just offered another thought process. Sorry you have such an ego.

BTW, WASHINGTON HAS ZERO CHANCE of covering tonight. NONE. I will never post here again if they do, so this all you will ever hear from me.

good luck when you go pay and have a nice life.

I ment to say its good that you have a different view. always stick to your guns.It may have come out wrong
 

BleedDodgerBlue

Admin
Forum Member
Feb 12, 2004
7,383
82
0
49
los angeles
maybe I read it wrong, but it sounded to me like you were being arrogant. re-read it and i guess maybe i was a little harsh. apologize. i just seen this too much in my days. you know what im talking about, and although the theory is sound, sound numbers make things work. you know what i mean. i just find a real difference with perspective in one of your games.

gl 2 u
 

Scott4USC

Fight On!
Forum Member
Sep 11, 2002
5,410
18
38
44
I don't understand why people get upset or feel threatened if Billy Blastoff posts a pick or line that is different than what they think it should be. Billy Blastoff never said he will post 100% winners and he never said he handicaps the games. He just takes the data from the site and goes with the plays the data spits out. Simple as that. All Billy Blastoff cares about is having winning nights. He never said he is going to win every game. In fact he repeatedly says "not" to parlay his picks. His record on MJ's speaks for itself.

For some odd reason people feel threatened when his pick goes against their own pick. He doesn't have analysis supporting his plays yet posters come into his threads explaining why his "line" is wrong and why his pick will lose. His picks are based on a system where he has NO CONTROL over. He is disciplined to FOLLOW his system which seems to be working. Another issue I don't understand is why people are concerned whether or not he goes pay. Who cares.

It all boils down to jealousy.

It is nice of him to take the time to post his plays. Yet people want to come into his thread and start something. Makes no sense. Either bet his picks, fade them, or don't open his thread.

Good luck on your plays Billy Blastoff.
 
Last edited:

catfish

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 1, 2003
12
0
0
53
Minneapolis
Confusion

Confusion

My picks for 2/10 are:

Butler -9 line should be -6
Utah state -14 line should be - 10 1/2
Washington -7 should be -4

Billly, Apologize for the ignorance, but i'm a little confused.
when you say "butler -9, should be -6" doesn't that mean you will be riding Butler's opponent?

i must be missing something...
 

Beebs

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 4, 2005
856
2
0
i must be missing something...

yep

read old posts where this is explained ad nauseum
 

Save It

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 21, 2004
1,722
2
0
WI
First of all - Billy - thanks for posting on a regular basis - your plays have been very solid - and the info is much appreciated by those who really respect that you are posting for one main reason - to share info and help others succeed.

Scott4USC I agree totally 100% with your comments - that everyone should appreciate that Billy is posting what he believes to be the best plays to play that day based on the system and numbers he is using. People should realize by now that the games posted are the only games that fit his system and the results have been very good.

A lot of people have different numbers and methods and there are bound to be number discrepancies - but like Billy says bet what you want. I'd advise people to go with what they think is the best play - if your numbers are differen't than Billy's and you are confident in them, go with it. Like tonight, i do like Pacific to cover the number - but i am not going to challenge Billy's system or question it - the results have been great - but I may make a play on it because I have concluded it is a strong play.

People are quick to criticize on this site and love to flock to negativity - like if a guy has a bad night or misses on a game...I hate when i see threads where people are bashing each other after bad nights - I will once in a while see a "nice job" or something - we need more of this encouragement when people are doing well and posting winners, rather than bashing after losses - just wanted to throw that out there.

I have been posting a solid 58% winners - I do my homework and ultimately i play what i feel is the right side - i use the site for info and read lots of posts - but in the end play what you believe in. I believe one of the reasons i am a successful sports investor is because i do my homework, review my plays and learn from losses and wins, and I always stay positive that every day will be a winning day.

I have one goal - to help others win, just like Billy does - and it seems like around here that people just love to wait for every opportunit to bash a guy after a losing night and they take for granted the valuable picks posted by the solid cappers.

People should appreciate the good work Billy has done and go w/ his plays if they want to - if he hasn't posted a game - he hasn't found an edge...Billy probably gets tired of answering "what numbers do you have for this game" - because if he finds a good edge it gets posted.

Best of luck to you Billy - and everybody - let's keep posting winners and keep this a very positive place - and if a guy has a losing night or a slump - let's stay positive and keep encouraging them - instead of pointing out why they lost or saying i knew it wouldn't cover...like BleedDodgerBlue - no offense - but don't tell people a line has 0 percent chance of a cover, instead just wish them good luck and play the other side if you believe it is a strong play...I wish you luck w/ your picks tonight & always by the way...Billy's picks won't cover all the time, but i believe he'll win a lot more than lose

GL guys - i'm still working on capping the games for today - will probably have a play or two later..

Wish nothing but good luck and success to everyone here - and thanks to everyone for the hard work you all do posting winners!

--SAVE IT
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Bet on MyBookie
Top