Billy Blastoffs Picks 2/5

Billy Blastoff

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Hope everyone took my warning about the BC game and bet lightly.

My selections for today

Toledo -10 1/2 should be -5
St Louis +5 should be +9

close but no bet are:
Marshall +12

I believe the line for superbowl should be 9 1/2 or 10 but Vegas wants even money dispersal. I wont bet the superbowl but My pick would be NE-7 expect line to go to 7 1/2 or 8
 
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momoney

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I can catch DePaul at -3 1/2, how strong of a play do you feel they are for you today?
 
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devil dave

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can you explain, are you saying take c. mich since you think it should be -5 and they are getting 11??
 

momoney

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I don't get your original post? If you feel St. Louis should be getting 9 and Toledo only giving 5...why bet them at +5 and -10.5 respectivly?
 

Nole

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Damn Billy, you sure can confuse some folks.

It's very easy to figure this out guys. Damn! You're making it harder than it has to be.



nole
 

devil dave

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yes, his pick is stl +5, but he posts that it shoul be +9?? if you think that it should be 9 and you're only getting 5 why bet it??
 

Nole

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devil dave said:
yes, his pick is stl +5, but he posts that it shoul be +9?? if you think that it should be 9 and you're only getting 5 why bet it??

It doesn't make sense so bet it!

nole
 

devil dave

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i'm not arguing the pick, I'M JUST TRYING TO UNDERSTAND IT. I COULD CARELESS EITHER WAY! :chairshot
 

MyAddidas

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He basically bets the games that he thinks the line is swayed too much one way and instead of taking the advantage he takes the "disadvantage" with the premise that Vegas knows what they are doing.

Today's example: He comes up with Toledo as a 5 pt fav but Vegas set the line at 10.5. Normally you would take the extra points but his theory is that Vegas knows that they should be higher favs and is trying to attract C.Mich money.

Basically he goes by the saying if it looks to good to be true then it probably is.
 

COYOTEBLUE

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HE IS POSTING THAT WAY BECAUSE HE FEELS THAT VEGAS KNOWS SOMETHING THE GENERAL PUBLIC DOESNT ABOUT THE GAME ...

AND ... IT IS WORKING :clap: :clap: :clap:
 

Billy Blastoff

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COYOTEBLUE said:
HE IS POSTING THAT WAY BECAUSE HE FEELS THAT VEGAS KNOWS SOMETHING THE GENERAL PUBLIC DOESNT ABOUT THE GAME ...

AND ... IT IS WORKING :clap: :clap: :clap:

Is hitting at over a 70 % win percentage

But remember just bet straight bets not parleys .
 
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