Heres the way I look at it.Boise was involved in two straight Bowl games that ended up with over 80 points scored in them,This game with TCU opens at 44 and was bet up 2 to 2- points in short order.In order to go over last year,a runner for Eastcarolina fumbled for the first time all season with a minute to go running out the clock on the 45 coming out and boise st,who hadn't had a defensive score all freakin' season runs it back for a td.Then ecu scores again in the last minute to beat 'em and really go over but the game was literally one play from running out the clock and the outcome being ECU and under,not over.Losing the total on that turnover was a classic bad beat.No team does the same thing every year in a bowl and we all have seen TCU's defense,its very good(though the starting middle lb is out for this game due to grades.)Boise states D is good too especially on grass.To me setting the line so low at 44 was an attempt to get action on the over,which I've got to feel is the wrong call three years in a row,after two scoring orgies like Boise was involved in the last two bowls.I have sucked st my usually strong total play so far in the bowls,but this one stands out like a sore thumb to me.Anyone with a studied opinion on the total going over I'd be curious to hear the rationale.I'm playing the under 46.GL
Boise/TCU total
- Thread starter edludes
- Start date
I wish you the best of luck, but I think this one goes over. TCU and Boise are stout defensively. This will lead to good starting field position for two balanced offenses. A good offense will win against a good defense most of the time. Also, I believe TCU will score at least one defensive touchdown in this game. Again, good luck with your play!
- Sep 8, 2008
- 2,570
- 25
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BOWL RECORD: 5 - 1
HAVEN'T QUITE FINISHED HANDICAPPING THIS GAME YET. GONNA WORK ON IT SOME MORE TOMORROW WITH A CLEAR HEAD. BOTH TEAMS ARE STUDLY AGAINST THE RUN, WITH TCU ALLOWING ONLY 49 YDS PER GAME RUSHING AND BOISE ALLOWING 103. THIS MEANS BOTH TEAMS WILL BE FORCED TO THROW THE BALL AND THAT THROWS THE ADVANTAGE TO BOISE. THIS ALSO EQUATES TO MORE PLAYS, WHICH EQUATES TO MORE SCORING OPPORTUNITIES. PLUS THEY (BOISE) ARE 12-0. HARD FOR ME TO GO AGAINST A TEAM THAT IS UNDEFEATED AND YOU ARE GONNA THROW THEM 3 POINTS TO BOOT.......I'LL HAVE SOMETHING DEFINITE TOMORROW, BUT SO FAR THE LEAN IS BOISE AND THE OVER.
PLUS, I AGREE WITH WISE. THEIR WILL MORE THAN LIKELY B A DEFENSIVE TD, OR MAYBE SOMETHING ON SPECIAL TEAMS. BOTTOM LINE IS, THAT THIS IS GOING TO BE A LONG GAME WITH LOTS OF PASSING. FALLS RIGHT IN TO THE OVER PLAYERS HANDS.
HAVEN'T QUITE FINISHED HANDICAPPING THIS GAME YET. GONNA WORK ON IT SOME MORE TOMORROW WITH A CLEAR HEAD. BOTH TEAMS ARE STUDLY AGAINST THE RUN, WITH TCU ALLOWING ONLY 49 YDS PER GAME RUSHING AND BOISE ALLOWING 103. THIS MEANS BOTH TEAMS WILL BE FORCED TO THROW THE BALL AND THAT THROWS THE ADVANTAGE TO BOISE. THIS ALSO EQUATES TO MORE PLAYS, WHICH EQUATES TO MORE SCORING OPPORTUNITIES. PLUS THEY (BOISE) ARE 12-0. HARD FOR ME TO GO AGAINST A TEAM THAT IS UNDEFEATED AND YOU ARE GONNA THROW THEM 3 POINTS TO BOOT.......I'LL HAVE SOMETHING DEFINITE TOMORROW, BUT SO FAR THE LEAN IS BOISE AND THE OVER.
PLUS, I AGREE WITH WISE. THEIR WILL MORE THAN LIKELY B A DEFENSIVE TD, OR MAYBE SOMETHING ON SPECIAL TEAMS. BOTTOM LINE IS, THAT THIS IS GOING TO BE A LONG GAME WITH LOTS OF PASSING. FALLS RIGHT IN TO THE OVER PLAYERS HANDS.
Wise and Wiser-I will admit to getting mixed readings on this game,and really appreciate your imput.As I said to Master Capper,the way they went over last year and the one before that has made me somewhat obsessed with playing them under this year with both teams having the good d's and the number opening so low it seems like a trick line.I'll admit that might be making it too hard.Will play TCU minus the points,may back off of the total inthe amount I was planning on playing.Teemo,have definately gotten to like you,and your plays are of a winning percentage it seems,so I am interested in your imput as well.Thanks
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Never played TCU thank goodness.No defensive td,no special teams TD,it just doesn't happen every year that a team goes over the total in their bowl.Won on 'em straight and at the front of a four team parlay,in the second spot,its the Cinderella Tar Heels+1-.Then two pro plays,KC+3- and over 37-KCCinn for the money.KC has been perfect vs the total on the road this year,going under all5 times on road grass,and over both times on turf.The Bengals have had only one home over this year vs 6 unders,this game should be over with KC likely winning or at least staying within the 3.WVU won as a ML dog last year by 20 vs okla establishing themselves as a bet against this year in my mind.watch and see.GL
Nice call! I love Carolina too. Hopefully the Heels are kinder to me than the Panthers were. 
Merry Christmas Edludes.
Merry Christmas Edludes.
Thanks MC and Wise and Wiser,I was waiting for the freakin' game for a year,ever since the ECU rb fumbled for the first time in 250 carries that season with a minute to go causing the first defensive score for boise st all season and a loss on my under play.The play was 3rd and short from the 43 coming out,no timeouts for boise,if they didn't get the first down even a decent punt would have salted the bet away.North Caro is a very good play Wiseman,Merry Christmas to you and everybody else at MJ's.We can all use a little........ Peace
