Bowl Handicapping Hints

Captain Crunch

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I received a complimentary copy of Sportsform the other day and am a little PO that I didn't open it sooner. One of the articles was titled "Five Bowl Handicapping Hints". Thought they might be of interest and help to everyone during the bowl season. A little late for some of the plays, but so far the info seems to be right on track. It was a fairly lengthy article so I am not going to be able to translate everything, just the theory and plays.

1) Go against any bowl team with a first year head coach. Play against Georgia Tech, Florida, and Notre Dame (this one might be up for argument beings he was previously at Stanford: I think the author means first year at that school)

2) Go against any team that played in a BCS game last year and is now playing in a December bowl. Play against Oregon, Colorado, Maryland, and Nebraska.

3) Go with teams that are in "something-to-prove" mode. This one is a big subjective but check out pre-season polls and then match up with final records. One common thread with these teams is they were actually embarassed by their play this past regular season. Play on Florida St, Tennesse, and Wisconsiin.

4) Go with teams that may have a hidden reason to win. Another big subjective but the theory behind this one is to go with teams that are coached by gentlemen with ties to the opposing team. New Mexico HC was an assistant at UCLA and Georgia HC was an assistant at Florida St.

5) When in doubt take the power conferences plus the points. Power Conferences are Big 10, Big 12, Pac 10 and the SEC. Plays would be on Mississippi, Arizona St., Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa St., Purdue, LSU, Michigan, Auburn, Washington St., Iowa, and Ohio St.

I realize some of these games have already been played and a few of them contradict themselves but I am posting them to use as you wish now and in the future. Good Luck.


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IE

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going against larger favs(more than 7.5 / 8.0) coming off a straight up loss has been quite profitable last while...

strange enough we have both today fitting this.
 

ferdville

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"Go with teams that have a hidden reason to win?" Huh? If it is hidden, how would we know it?
 

Captain Crunch

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ferdville said:
"Go with teams that have a hidden reason to win?" Huh? If it is hidden, how would we know it?

Here Ferdville, I will transcript the entire paragraph so maybe it will come out from under the bed for you. This one might require a little bit of research to find in the future. Here is the first paragraph in its entirety:

Simply put, teams that are coached by gentlemen with ties to the oppoosing team generally want to win these games (see Mississippi State's Jackie Sherrill beating old employers Texas A&M two years ago in the snowy Independence Bowl) or who lost in the bery same bowl game a year ago generally are good bets in bowl games.

IMO, I would think most coaches would want to win the games they play in, but that is the way it was written. Hope your out of the dark now.:D
 

Doubledown21

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First thing throw out everthing you now about capping this is the bowl season. Just take every dog straight up and on the ML and you will make money. So far Dogs are 9-5 for a profit of $350 at 100 per unit. ML is 8 ML winners for a profit of 1555 at 100 per bet. No ML on Arizona St or it would have been more. North Texas St +265, Tulane +475, Pitt +115, Mississippi +260, Virginia +190, Wisconsin +225, Minnesota +295, Wake Forest +230. All lines are from Carib when I had bet. 14 games the spread has only come into play one time. (az St.)
 

ferdville

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Thanks, Captain. Makes more sense to me now. I need all the help I can get capping these bowl games.
 

homeboy

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Guys.... if you parlayed DoubleDowns...winners on a parlay for $10.....it comes out to ...are ya ready!!!......$200 LARGE..... Thats $200K.....hindsight is always 20/20.....Homeboy....:cool:
 
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