Bowl Trends

Master Capper

Emperior
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Jan 12, 2002
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Historical Bowl Trends
Favorite/Underdog/Totals Results
- A total of 291 lined bowl games have been played since 1992.
- Nine teams have played bowl games on their home turf. Those hosts are 8-3 SU & 8-2 ATS.
- Underdogs own a slight ATS edge in bowl games, 143-131, 52.2% with six games that have PUSHED, and five that have been pick-em?s.
- Favorites own an edge in straight up wins, 171-109, 61.1%.
- Double-digit favorites are 38-6 SU but just 19-25-2 ATS, 43.2%.
- UNDER plays have cashed at a 53.0% clip, with a record of 150-133-2
- Games with totals less than 63 have gone UNDER 54.6% of the time, 140-116.
- Alternatively, games with extremely high totals (63 or higher) have gone OVER 62.9% of the time, 17-10.

TOP BOWL TEAM SIDES & TOTALS TRENDS
* Good Bowl Teams
- Miami and Boston College are each 7-1 SU & ATS in their last eight bowl games
- Ohio State and Fresno State are each 3-0 SU & ATS in their last three bowl games
- Utah has won four straight bowl games and is 3-1 ATS in that span
- Georgia has won seven of eight bowl games SU and is 6-2 ATS in those contests
- Boise State has won and covered four of its five bowl games
* Poor Bowl Teams
- Northwestern has lost four straight bowl games and is 1-3 ATS in that span
- Alabama has lost its last four bowl games ATS, winning just once straight up in that time frame
- UCLA (2-6 SU) and West Virginia (1-7 SU) each have compiled 2-6 ATS marks in their last eight bowl games
- Louisville is on a 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS stretch in recent bowl game action
- Notre Dame has lost seven straight bowl games and is just 1-6 ATS in that span as well
* Top Totals Trends
- Florida State is on a run of 10 UNDERs in its last 13 bowl game appearances
- Penn State has gone UNDER in its last five bowl games
- Michigan and NC State have been big OVER teams in bowl games, each converting six of its last seven
- All of Arizona State?s last six bowl games have gone UNDER the total
- Virginia (7-1 OVER) and Oklahoma (7-1 UNDER) are each on significant totals runs in bowl games

RECENT CONFERENCE BOWL GAME RECORDS
CONFERENCE SU SU % ATS ATS % OU OVER %
ACC 36-31 53.7% 33-31 51.6% 31-36 46.3%
Big East 27-26 50.9% 26-27 49.1% 28-24 53.8%
Big 12 42-45 48.3% 40-44 47.6% 46-41 52.9%
Big Ten 42-43 49.4% 38-46 45.2% 43-40 51.8%
Conf USA 14-18 43.8% 14-16 46.7% 16-16 50.0%
Independents 6-10 37.5% 7-9 43.8% 7-9 43.8%
MAC 12-7 63.2% 9-5 64.3% 6-8 42.9%
Mountain West 9-9 50.0% 10-8 55.6% 6-12 33.3%
Pac 10 30-35 46.2% 31-32 49.2% 27-37 42.2%
Sec 50-35 58.8% 46-37 55.4% 39-45 46.4%
Sun Belt 1-4 20.0% 1-4 20.0% 2-3 40.0%
WAC 22-28 44.0% 23-20 53.5% 23-20 53.5%



* Individual bowl game trends
* WYNDHAM NEW ORLEANS BOWL: 2004 Result - SOUTHERN MISS 31, NORTH TEXAS 10: North Texas has represented the Sun Belt in each of the four previous New Orleans Bowl games. The Mean Green are 1-3, SU & ATS. The UNDER has also cashed in the last three games.

* GMAC BOWL: 2004 Result - BOWLING GREEN 52, MEMPHIS 35: The representative in this bowl series has cashed in four straight times, both SU & ATS. Conference USA representatives are 1-5 SU & ATS overall.

* CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL: 2004 Result - GEORGIA TECH 51, SYRACUSE 14: Since the reincarnation of the previously named Tangerine Bowl in 2001, all four bowl series games have gone OVER the total. The favorite has won the last three games by an average margin of 35.7 PPG.

* POINSETTIA BOWL: 2004 Result ? None: This second bowl game in San Diego?s Qualcomm Stadium replaces the Silicon Valley Classic in the 2005 schedule.

* PIONEER PUREVISION LAS VEGAS BOWL: 2004 Result - WYOMING 24, UCLA 21: The favorite is on a 4-2 ATS run, and the UNDER has cashed in five of the last seven games in this ?Sin City? bowl series.

* SHERATON HAWAII BOWL: 2004 Result - HAWAII 59, UAB 40: Four straight OVERs in this normally Christmas Day bowl series. Hawaii has been the hosting team in three straight games, going 2-1 SU & 1-2 ATS.

* MOTOR CITY BOWL: 2004 Result - CONNECTICUT 39, TOLEDO 10: After dominating this bowl series for four games prior, the MAC has fallen ATS in all of the last three. The UNDER has also hit at a reliable 5-1 clip.

* INSIGHT BOWL: 2004 Result - OREGON ST 38, NOTRE DAME 21: Despite losing last season, the underdog is on a run of 6-2 ATS in this Phoenix bowl series. OVER plays have also been good to bettors, winning in six of the last seven games.

* EV1.net HOUSTON BOWL: 2004 Result - COLORADO 33, UTEP 28: Since losing the inaugural bowl game in Houston in 2000, the representative of from the Big 12 has converted four straight games in convincing fashion, going 3-0-1 ATS.

* INDEPENDENCE BOWL: 2004 Result - IOWA ST 17, MIAMI OHIO 13: The Big 12 representative has struggled in recent Independence Bowl games, going 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in the last seven Independence Bowl games. The SEC was 7-2 SU & ATS before falling short of qualifying teams last year.

* PACIFIC LIFE HOLIDAY BOWL: 2004 Result - TEXAS TECH 45, CALIFORNIA 31: Seven straight underdog covers in this bowl game series played in San Diego. Four of the last six games have seen a double digit favorite fail to cover the spread.

* MEINECKE CAR CARE BOWL: 2004 Result - BOSTON COLLEGE 37, N CAROLINA 24: The ACC rep, the underdog, and the OVER have each cashed in two of the three tickets of this relatively new bowl series formerly known as the Continental Tire Bowl.

* MASTERCARD ALAMO BOWL: 2004 Result - OHIO ST 33, OKLAHOMA ST 7: The Big Ten team is 7-2 SU & ATS in the last nine games of the Alamo Bowl since the format changed, matching representatives of the Big 12 and Big Ten.

* GAYLORD HOTELS MUSIC CITY BOWL: 2004 Result - MINNESOTA 20, ALABAMA 16: The SEC representative is just 1-6 SU & ATS in recent Music City Bowl games. The UNDER has also cashed in the last four times.

* PLAINSCAPITAL FORT WORTH BOWL: 2004 Result - CINCINNATI 32, MARSHALL 14: Though struggling in bowl games for the most part overall, Conference USA has been the proper ATS side in each of the two games of this fresh bowl series.

* MPC COMPUTERS BOWL: 2004 Result - FRESNO ST 37, VIRGINIA 34: Formerly known as the Humanitarian Bowl, the team designated as the home team has covered the last seven games. The OVER has also performed at a nice 6-2 clip.

* VITALIS SUN BOWL: 2004 Result - ARIZONA ST 27, PURDUE 23: The Sun Bowl could legitimately be renamed the underdog bowl, as the dog has compiled a mark of 7-3 SU & 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 games!

* AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL: 2004 Result - LOUISVILLE 44, BOISE ST 40: Despite having gone OVER the total this past year, the Liberty Bowl has been one of the lowest scoring bowl games, going UNDER in 11 of the last 13! The average scoring output has been 14.5 points below the posted total.

* PEACH BOWL: 2004 Result - MIAMI 27, FLORIDA 10: The favorite is just 3-8-1 ATS since ?92 in the Peach Bowl, and the designated ?home? team is just 1-5 SU & ATS. Also, the representative of the ACC has gone 4-0 SU & ATS the last four years.

* EMERALD BOWL: 2004 Result - NAVY 34, NEW MEXICO 19: The Mountain West Conference is still looking for its first straight up win in this San Francisco treat, having lost all of the first three games. The MWC is 1-2 ATS in that span.

* SBC COTTON BOWL CLASSIC: 2004 Result - TENNESSEE 38, TEXAS A&M 7: The Cotton Bowl game series has been a low scoring one, going under in eight of the last 10 years. The 10-3 classic between Oklahoma and Arkansas in 2002 is the lowest scoring bowl game in the last 13 years.

* OUTBACK BOWL: 2004 Result - GEORGIA 24, WISCONSIN 21: It?s been a nice stretch of Outback Bowl games for underdogs, having gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS over the last six years. The OVER has also converted in four straight games.

* TOYOTA GATOR BOWL: 2004 Result - FLORIDA ST 30, W VIRGINIA 18: Not counting the 2002 game in which Florida State beat Virginia Tech 45-17 in a pick-em? spread, the favorite is on a huge 8-0 SU & ATS run in the last eight Gator Bowl games. The UNDER is also on a 5-1 run.

* CAPITAL ONE BOWL: 2004 Result - IOWA 30, LSU 25: Even two solid defensive teams like Iowa and LSU couldn?t slow a trend that has seen six of the last seven games go OVER the total. The Big Ten representative is on a 1-4 ATS run.

* ROSE BOWL: 2004 Result - TEXAS 38, MICHIGAN 37: Something about the home uniforms have driven those designated teams to success as they are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 Rose Bowl games. The favorite has also won nine of the last 11 games straight up.

* NOKIA SUGAR BOWL: 2004 Result - AUBURN 16, VIRGINIA TECH 13: Two straight underdog covers have turned this series around after the favorite had won the previous four ATS. The UNDER has been the total of choice, 8-3-1 since ?93.

* TOSTITOS FIESTA BOWL: 2004 Result - UTAH 35, PITTSBURGH 7: Including last year?s Utah victory, an amazing trend has formed in which the team with the better straight up record has won nine Fiesta Bowl games in a row, both SU & ATS!

* FEDEX ORANGE BOWL: 2004 Result - USC 55, OKLAHOMA 19: The designated home team is the only prominent trend performer in recent Orange Bowl action, having gone 11-2 SU & 9-4 ATS in the last 13 years
 

AU2001

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Dec 3, 2004
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Birmingham AL
Sec 50-35 58.8% 46-37 55.4% 39-45 46.4% :clap:

Pac 10 30-35 46.2% 31-32 49.2% 27-37 42.2% :s8:

- Notre Dame has lost seven straight bowl games and is just 1-6 ATS in that span as well :(
 

DerekNJND

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Oct 21, 2005
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AU2001 said:
Sec 50-35 58.8% 46-37 55.4% 39-45 46.4% :clap:

Pac 10 30-35 46.2% 31-32 49.2% 27-37 42.2% :s8:

- Notre Dame has lost seven straight bowl games and is just 1-6 ATS in that span as well :(

Nobody denied it was true, but MC has demonstrated an OBJECTIVE way to post the trends. All the ND shredding and crying in the world isnt gonna take ND out of the BCS and put Auburn in. :s4:

No need to take cheapshots at teams while doing so.

Thanks for the info MC.
 
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