Boxing; 5/07/08; Oliver-Lopez

[pfcwintergreen]

Any thoughts on this one?

I admit I don't follow super bantamweights that much (besides vazquez/marquez of course)...so someone in the know tell me if they think Lopez is a live underdog worth taking at +600.

What about the under too...doesn't seem at all likely, but I have a superstition about Espn2 match-ups and their tendency to produce K.Os. Is there a disparity in skill here great enough to produce a T.K.O?

Thoughts?

 

[punchmaster]

Any thoughts on this one?

I admit I don't follow super bantamweights that much (besides vazquez/marquez of course)...so someone in the know tell me if they think Lopez is a live underdog worth taking at +600.

What about the under too...doesn't seem at all likely, but I have a superstition about Espn2 match-ups and their tendency to produce K.Os. Is there a disparity in skill here great enough to produce a T.K.O?

Thoughts?

If you look at Lopez, he fought competitively at 115 pounds- did okay against very talented Mijares and did very well in a scrap in Russia against Kirilov who's no slouch. But now he's up at 122. I saw his scrap with Ponce De Leon. To me he showed a chin because Ponce cracked him a number of times and Ponce can punch , before he finally checked out and I thought his skill was decent and he landed some bombs on iron chinned Ponce. I feel what your saying , will Oliver let his hands fly and maybe overwhelm, etc. I think it's worth a small play. Personally I'd be nervous laying that kind of chalk on over. Good luck

 

[HurricaneEddy]

I was surprised at the line for the over 9.5 (-460) and the Oliver Decision Prop (-421)

I'd definately take the over in this situation if I was gonna take action (I'm not tonight). If Oliver was -275 or better I'd jump on the prop but why not be on the safe side and just take the over if the "opponent" has the night of his life?

 

[punchmaster]

The fight that caught my eye was Smith-Torres on the undercard. Torres to me looks like a 140 pounder for whatever reason took almost 2 years off and got some Contender action at 147, didn't fare so well, quit in the 3rd round of his first fight back from contender against a marginal oppoment and won a couple fights agains terrrible comp.

I'll take the natural welterweight 21 year old Smith at -230 and a small play on the under. Only concern is Torres is linked to promoter Cappiello.

 

[Romi]

I'm on the Oliver over @-410. Might consider a hedge on Oliver inside. Unless the guy is looking for a paycheck I see Oliver by dec. I agree it's a bit too high for an over but I took it anyway.

 

[punchmaster]

Very nice on that mismatch. .. Wednesdays have been good, luv 5 dimes! Like to see Lopez somehow pull a decision so my wingmen's overs can cash. I did Lopez by decision at +3500 or so for sh--s and giggles.

 

[Romi]

Oliver gets KTFO...go figure....ouch

 

[punchmaster]

Any thoughts on this one?

I admit I don't follow super bantamweights that much (besides vazquez/marquez of course)...so someone in the know tell me if they think Lopez is a live underdog worth taking at +600.

What about the under too...doesn't seem at all likely, but I have a superstition about Espn2 match-ups and their tendency to produce K.Os. Is there a disparity in skill here great enough to produce a T.K.O?

Thoughts?

I hope you followed your ESPN superstition, dead on ... just seemed to be brewing.

 

[pfcwintergreen]

Yep, I took the under. too bad I didn't put something on Lopez.

Bring on friday night fights!