Bucks under
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Bucks game goes under (payback for my only loss of the week thus far - last night i had Clips - and up 13 at half lose by 9 to Bucks) - was kicking myself for not playing Bucks under last night, and figured this one would be a game w/ blowout potential & Bucks on back to back just liked this one under the total - got close at end as it ended w/ 210 total points..still 1W-0L in NBA tonight for +$2,000...2-0 in cbb for +$4,000 = +$6,000 tonight, and 4W-1L overall for +$7,900 for the week...off to good start & will look to keep things rolling tomorrow - haven't checked out the card of games yet but if i play anything i'll post it...
gl as always
--SAVE IT
gl as always
--SAVE IT
Save IT - Your $
Save IT - Your $
Nice hit! A regular occurrence for you. I am not trying to dig, especially the streak you are on, I wanted to tail you but I didn't see the post until after tip off unless I missed something. Why post at 7:34 after tip off? This could be my error too, didn't have the game on.
When do you typically post your plays? I miss them on occasion and value your insight. I was on the same side but with a parley had the Sonics and the bucks under 200 for 520.
Need to make up some ground this week. More importantly I value the credibility you bring to the sight. Obviously I could learn a bit from you.
Wishing you continue success!
Save IT - Your $
Nice hit! A regular occurrence for you. I am not trying to dig, especially the streak you are on, I wanted to tail you but I didn't see the post until after tip off unless I missed something. Why post at 7:34 after tip off? This could be my error too, didn't have the game on.
When do you typically post your plays? I miss them on occasion and value your insight. I was on the same side but with a parley had the Sonics and the bucks under 200 for 520.
Need to make up some ground this week. More importantly I value the credibility you bring to the sight. Obviously I could learn a bit from you.
Wishing you continue success!
ppluther - sorry didn't respond sooner - just saw your post...fyi i posted before tipoff - granted only few minutes before...this is typical for me...i wait as long as possible if i play an underdog or under as i shop lines at my outlets...every extra half ir full point counts in the long run...when i bet a fave i'll usually lock in a bit earlier...i'm pretty busy most days as i have alot of investment/business ventures going as well as do consulting in financial and IT fields and love spending time w/ my family (most important to me) so usually don't have a ton of time...but i do enjoy sports investing and have been doing it for nearly 10 years with a winning year overall every year i've been doing it...i have a knack for line reading - which is key...i approach each sport a bit differently...utilizing different strategies for each sport that have worked for me over time...
my friends think i'm the luckiest guy i ever met - i believe sports investing doesn't have to be difficult - most people lose because they get too greedy or they double up to chase losses - basically they don't have control - and they spend too much time looking at every statistic - i focus on the line itself and try to understand things like a) why was the line set at this number b) does it look way too easy on one side of the equation (sign of a trap) c) where is the majority of money going on this game and there are other things but these are the main things I try to understand...trends like the Packers are 10-1 ATS over the last 10 years vs. the NFC east on grass - those type of trends i just don't put alot of stock in - let's face it you can come up w/ a trend for almost anything...don't get me wrong if a team has played 20 games and gone under the total 15 times well there could be something to that - but some of those wacky trends that these internet sites come up w/ some of them are just downright silly...everyone has their own way that works for them (well some don't and lose lose lose, that's when it's time to a) quit sports investing or b) learn how to do it right and get some discipline
i do alot of investing as well in other markets - i have a strong financial background and enjoy taking risks on businesses, stock investing, commodity investing, currency trading as well as sports investing (as i LOVE sports) - each market is unique but each one i have same goal - pick the good spots, look for value & opportunity - exercise caution yet take some calculated risks - you have to take chances in this lifetime i live by that every single day - you can't get ahead being conservative day after day...
i probably will never post games too early - because i like to wait & watch movement alot...just check in 5 minutes before tipoffs if i have something that i play i try to post - so if i play games for 6pm usually i'll post around 5:55 or so...or if games at 8pm i'll post by 7:55 or so...you get the picture - i never have a set time - but i always try to relay if i have a strong play...
alright - gl to you ppluther & everyone as always...
--SAVE IT
my friends think i'm the luckiest guy i ever met - i believe sports investing doesn't have to be difficult - most people lose because they get too greedy or they double up to chase losses - basically they don't have control - and they spend too much time looking at every statistic - i focus on the line itself and try to understand things like a) why was the line set at this number b) does it look way too easy on one side of the equation (sign of a trap) c) where is the majority of money going on this game and there are other things but these are the main things I try to understand...trends like the Packers are 10-1 ATS over the last 10 years vs. the NFC east on grass - those type of trends i just don't put alot of stock in - let's face it you can come up w/ a trend for almost anything...don't get me wrong if a team has played 20 games and gone under the total 15 times well there could be something to that - but some of those wacky trends that these internet sites come up w/ some of them are just downright silly...everyone has their own way that works for them (well some don't and lose lose lose, that's when it's time to a) quit sports investing or b) learn how to do it right and get some discipline
i do alot of investing as well in other markets - i have a strong financial background and enjoy taking risks on businesses, stock investing, commodity investing, currency trading as well as sports investing (as i LOVE sports) - each market is unique but each one i have same goal - pick the good spots, look for value & opportunity - exercise caution yet take some calculated risks - you have to take chances in this lifetime i live by that every single day - you can't get ahead being conservative day after day...
i probably will never post games too early - because i like to wait & watch movement alot...just check in 5 minutes before tipoffs if i have something that i play i try to post - so if i play games for 6pm usually i'll post around 5:55 or so...or if games at 8pm i'll post by 7:55 or so...you get the picture - i never have a set time - but i always try to relay if i have a strong play...
alright - gl to you ppluther & everyone as always...
--SAVE IT
Save It-
Thank you for taking the time to respond as you provide valuable insight. No worries about the delay as I was not trying to call you out, merely trying to learn more about when you post plays and the rational for the side. I was turned on to this site several years ago and have found tremendous value from those who provide strong reason and rational to their post. Your posts do stand out, as do others.
Clearly this site is valuable to all. The most difficult aspect is trying to identify who has earned credibility and clearly articulates the rational for one side or the other.
I too believe in taking risk and chances in life. The calculated risk that in the end will help provide a better future for the family while providing a sound nights rest and some extra investment money. At this point, I defiantly consider myself a novice when it comes to sports investing. I do think there is a tremendous opportunity to master a new skill to realize sound returns in the sports market. Yes, I fall into to the greedy category. Greedy because when I am on the house money, I go for it, whether I am in Vegas or catching the action at home, I enjoy the thrill of going for the big win! To that end, I have blown several bankrolls just to breakeven. Yes, I had fun, but the time and effort frequently end in a loss. No one likes to lose.
This is why I am trying to educate myself to gain stronger perspective on "how to pick" the right spots to take a calculated risk. My gut is frequently right. Obviously I need to practice stronger control and know when to say when. For example, I felt there would be no way NE does not blow out the Ravens on Monday, regardless of the wind, the emotion etc. NE is simply 3 touchdowns better than 90% of the NFL. My gut said take the Ravens, my opinion take NE. I lost because I let opinion outweigh my gut. In the end, I realize all I did was ?flip the coin?. Hence the line movement. This line was all over the board and extremely high for the NFL. Weather it is subtle movement or large movement this is what I am trying to gain greater perspective on how to read the line and make stronger plays based on a clearer understanding of the movement. I have several examples of a push, a win, or a loss based on my gap in understanding the lines. In this case, the line did not matter but I believe there is a story to the movement and the opening line.
As most, we all have busy days and can not spend the entire day researching the statistics or trends, as I do not put a ton a value in them. My opinion, the line movement and opening line tells a sound story. I would welcome the opportunity to learn more. I see you post plays on the NBA, CFB, NFL, CB, and I am sure other places too. How do you pick the spots? For example, Friday will be a busy day in the NBA and CB how do you decide what line to watch or do you watch them all? The other night you picked Boise St. and W.V. both winners and both games I would have never had a clue to what side to play. If my memory is right, they were both blow out wins with a cash ending.
Certainly, this is a long post but would welcome the education. Wishing you continued success and adoption of a few apprentices!:toast:
Thank you for taking the time to respond as you provide valuable insight. No worries about the delay as I was not trying to call you out, merely trying to learn more about when you post plays and the rational for the side. I was turned on to this site several years ago and have found tremendous value from those who provide strong reason and rational to their post. Your posts do stand out, as do others.
Clearly this site is valuable to all. The most difficult aspect is trying to identify who has earned credibility and clearly articulates the rational for one side or the other.
I too believe in taking risk and chances in life. The calculated risk that in the end will help provide a better future for the family while providing a sound nights rest and some extra investment money. At this point, I defiantly consider myself a novice when it comes to sports investing. I do think there is a tremendous opportunity to master a new skill to realize sound returns in the sports market. Yes, I fall into to the greedy category. Greedy because when I am on the house money, I go for it, whether I am in Vegas or catching the action at home, I enjoy the thrill of going for the big win! To that end, I have blown several bankrolls just to breakeven. Yes, I had fun, but the time and effort frequently end in a loss. No one likes to lose.
This is why I am trying to educate myself to gain stronger perspective on "how to pick" the right spots to take a calculated risk. My gut is frequently right. Obviously I need to practice stronger control and know when to say when. For example, I felt there would be no way NE does not blow out the Ravens on Monday, regardless of the wind, the emotion etc. NE is simply 3 touchdowns better than 90% of the NFL. My gut said take the Ravens, my opinion take NE. I lost because I let opinion outweigh my gut. In the end, I realize all I did was ?flip the coin?. Hence the line movement. This line was all over the board and extremely high for the NFL. Weather it is subtle movement or large movement this is what I am trying to gain greater perspective on how to read the line and make stronger plays based on a clearer understanding of the movement. I have several examples of a push, a win, or a loss based on my gap in understanding the lines. In this case, the line did not matter but I believe there is a story to the movement and the opening line.
As most, we all have busy days and can not spend the entire day researching the statistics or trends, as I do not put a ton a value in them. My opinion, the line movement and opening line tells a sound story. I would welcome the opportunity to learn more. I see you post plays on the NBA, CFB, NFL, CB, and I am sure other places too. How do you pick the spots? For example, Friday will be a busy day in the NBA and CB how do you decide what line to watch or do you watch them all? The other night you picked Boise St. and W.V. both winners and both games I would have never had a clue to what side to play. If my memory is right, they were both blow out wins with a cash ending.
Certainly, this is a long post but would welcome the education. Wishing you continued success and adoption of a few apprentices!:toast:
