Play: NOrleans +23 over FLORIDA
Florida's Road Fav-3 outright loss/no cover at Tenn seems to weaken their ats matchup strength against a NOrleans team which, according to my ats interpretations, is not all that bad. I like the fact that in their L 7 games, NOrleans has had four opportunities in the role of a Home Fav, won all 4 SU with 2 covers. 23 points is too many.
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Play: Miami +6 over PROVIDENCE
Yesterday, the Friar's outright road dog +4' win/cover over St. John's was like a Tale Of Two Cities...."It was the best of times, it was the worst of times...." Down 36-23 at intermission, in the second half, the Friars shot 61% and outscored the Johnnies 46-23 and snagged a 10 pt outright win.
Good for Providence.
But, let's look a little deeper into their portfolio....
In their previous two games, they have two consecutive loss/no covers in the role of a Home Fav by significant ats margins (-14 and -18) and that's what I'm betting against. If you lose/no cover by -1 ats, that's one thing...but 2 consecutive loss/no covers by -14 and -18 is another story.
In their previous six games, Miami has been hovering around the ats median...not real good, but not real bad either.
They've been doing what's expected of them....staying in the game, not getting blown out and I think that counts for something.
Florida's Road Fav-3 outright loss/no cover at Tenn seems to weaken their ats matchup strength against a NOrleans team which, according to my ats interpretations, is not all that bad. I like the fact that in their L 7 games, NOrleans has had four opportunities in the role of a Home Fav, won all 4 SU with 2 covers. 23 points is too many.
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Play: Miami +6 over PROVIDENCE
Yesterday, the Friar's outright road dog +4' win/cover over St. John's was like a Tale Of Two Cities...."It was the best of times, it was the worst of times...." Down 36-23 at intermission, in the second half, the Friars shot 61% and outscored the Johnnies 46-23 and snagged a 10 pt outright win.
Good for Providence.
But, let's look a little deeper into their portfolio....
In their previous two games, they have two consecutive loss/no covers in the role of a Home Fav by significant ats margins (-14 and -18) and that's what I'm betting against. If you lose/no cover by -1 ats, that's one thing...but 2 consecutive loss/no covers by -14 and -18 is another story.
In their previous six games, Miami has been hovering around the ats median...not real good, but not real bad either.
They've been doing what's expected of them....staying in the game, not getting blown out and I think that counts for something.
